CFB Best Bets - Saturday, 10/12: Expert Picks, Predictions & Player Props
Man, we were so close to yet another profitable rendition of our CFB predictions last week.
Rutgers had one of the most mind-boggling gameplans I’ve seen this year and weren’t able to cover, only push. Clemson had a whole second half to score 9 points and were unable to. But that’s just how it goes sometimes.
I also had a couple of terrible reads, which I’m fine with admitting. South Carolina looked lost at home against Ole Miss, and the Michigan offense was once again terrible (Alex Orji was benched).
All in all, we lost a little over a unit last week. But the good thing about our hot start is that we’re still up nearly 9 units on the season overall! And this week’s slate is a juicy one, so I’m eager to get these CFB best bets back on the right track here in Week 7!
CFB Picks, Predictions & Best Bets: Saturday, 10/12
This article on CFB best bets will focus on the Saturday games happening on October 12th. The matchups this week shape up to be a lot more thrilling than last week’s, and I’m really looking forward to the action!
Check out my Washington vs. Iowa prediction, Penn State vs. USC prediction, Florida vs. Tennessee prediction and more below. Without further ado, here are my Week 7 CFB predictions!
- Season Record: 31-21-1
- Units W/L: +8.9 Units
*All CFB best bets to be placed at 1 Unit unless otherwise specified. Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @stevenw_hall!
Washington vs. Iowa Prediction: Saturday, October 12th
I love this matchup right here. Not from a spectator point of view, because it should be about as boring as it gets, but more so from a CFB best bets perspective. We all know about Iowa’s offense – or lack thereof. It’s something that’s plagued them for years and nothing’s really changed this season.
Their singular strength is on the ground, but even if they find success there, that’s a lot of time being taken off the clock with all the run plays. We just saw Washington play a team with a similar style of play in Michigan, and they held them to just 17 points.
On the Huskies’ side of things, while their offense at least has had a pulse, they still aren’t great, scoring just 25.5 points per game. Plus, their kicker has been anything but reliable the past couple of games. The Hawkeyes are allowing just 18 points per game, so I don’t see this one being a high-scoring affair.
The under even hit in their game last week against Ohio State, one of the best offenses in the entire country. It was the first game for Iowa in which the under was the result this season, but that stat can be a little misleading considering all of their previous matchups’ totals were set in the 30s.
Conversely, UW’s win against Michigan was their first ‘over’ result this season, making the under 5-1 for them on the year. I think that’ll get moved to 6-1 when this game wraps up.
- Expert Washington vs. Iowa Prediction: Under 42.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
Penn State vs. USC Prediction: Saturday, October 12th
Let’s keep the trends from the first of my CFB picks going right here into the second with another game total pick. Penn State will take their struggling offense and travel across the country to take on USC.
This PSU schedule has been quite soft thus far, specifically playing teams that don’t care all that much for defense. That is, except for Illinois, who held the Nittany Lions to just 21 points. They had a get-right opportunity last week against a bad UCLA team, but still only put up 27.
Now defensively, Penn State is top-tier. They’ve allowed more than 12 points just one time this season and rank top 10 in both rushing yards allowed (76, 4th) and points allowed (11.4, 8th) per game.
On the other side, give USC a ton of credit. Their defense isn’t great, but it’s certainly better than it has been in years past. It’s really their offense that’s failed them up to this point when facing good defenses. They scored 24 against Michigan and then just 17 last week against Minnesota.
While I really like Penn State’s defense and think the Trojans’ is solid, this bet really comes down to me not having faith in these offenses. Nothing I’ve seen the past few weeks has enlisted much confidence on that side of the ball, so I’ll ride the under here, which is a combined 7-3 for these two squads up to this point.
- Expert Penn State vs. USC Prediction: Under 51 (-110 at Fanatics)
Florida vs. Tennessee Prediction: Saturday, October 12th
When it comes to betting ATS, I prefer to take home underdogs. I don’t quite get that here in the Florida vs. Tennessee game, but I at least get half of that equation.
The Volunteers are looking to rebound after losing at Arkansas last week, but they’re really coming off of back-to-back weeks where their offense hasn’t looked like it once did. Funny enough, that coincides with the start of SEC play. And, would you look at that? Here’s another SEC game!
Florida has come a long way since their blowout loss to Miami in Week 1. Even their loss to Texas A&M doesn’t look all that bad now after the Aggies just dismantled Missouri. They had a solid win last week as underdogs against UCF as both QBs in Graham Mertz and DJ Lagway have looked great in back-to-back outings.
Defense has been a struggle, but maybe their effort last week sparks something the rest of the way (allowed 13 points, 4.4 yards per play).
I think the Volunteers, playing at home, come out of here with an eventual hard-fought victory. But this is a lot of points for a conference matchup between two teams that have looked different recently than they did to start the season. Give me the Gators to finalize our Week 7 CFB best bets.
- Expert Florida vs. Tennessee Prediction: Gators +15.5 (-120 at FanDuel)
Best CFB Prop Bets & Other Picks - Saturday, 10/12
- Emeka Egbuka (OSU) 70+ Receiving Yards (+105 at Fanatics Sportsbook)
- Wisconsin vs. Rutgers: Scarlet Knights -2 (-112 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Miami (OH) vs. Eastern Michigan: Eagles ML (+115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
- Miami (OH) vs. Eastern Michigan: Under 46.5 (-108 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Old Dominion vs. Georgia State: Over 55.5 (-110 at Bet365 Sportsbook)