RBC Canadian Open 2025 DFS Picks: Predictions, Values & Projections
Published: Jun 03, 2025
Heading from Jack’s Place to the Great White North, we head on up to TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley in Caledon, Ontario, Canada for the RBC Canadian Open. No shade to TPC Toronto, but Muirfield is a tough act to follow. With that being said,I think we’re in for a treat. With a potential spot in the U.S. Open, a share of a $9,800,000 purse and 500 FedExCup points up for grabs, will there be some drama this week?
Let’s dive in!
RBC Canadian Open 2025: Daily Fantasy Golf Picks & Projections
Having first taken place in 1904, this event has been held annually outside of war time and the pandemic in 2020. This makes it the 3rd oldest continuously running tournament after The Open Championship and U.S. Open. As the national open for Canada, this event draws a ton of interest and names, even without being a signature event for the tour. Funny enough, this event is known as perhaps the most prestigious event that was never won by Jack Nicklaus, who was a 7 time runner up. Having been held at 38 different venues as of this year, this years event will be the first held at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley's North Course, one of 3 on the property and a top 25 course in Canada. 2024's winner was Robert MacIntyre, who will look to defend his title in a weaker than average field. Will he pull off the repeat at a new course? Let's look at the venue to decide.
TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley: Course Breakdown This Week
TPC Toronto takes center stage this week as the 38th venue to host the RBC Canadian Open. Given the general lack of historical stats as this is the PGA Tour debut for this venue, we’re going to focus a little more heavily on the general layout of the event. TPC Toronto measures just under 7,400 yards and will play as a par 70. We see bluegrass and bentgrass fairways, roughs with fescue, and bentgrass green. Low 70/high 60s temps and mild winds are in the forecast for this event as well. Tree-lined throughout, this is a very straight forward course.
It’s layout of 4/12/2 consists of par 3s ranging between 144 and 237 yards, par 4s ranging between 350 and 530 yards, and 2 par 5s playing 542 and 581 yards respectively. As a longer par 70 venue, there will likely be a premium on distance this week given the overall lack of defense in the landing areas and above average sized fairways. The green sizes are essentially tour average as well, making this a very “typical” course style for this event.
The defense of this course is obviously a bit unknown, but we do know that this has the 3rd least bunkers on the course, the rough is roughly 4 inches long, and that we have seen a professional event on this venue as this was the host of the Fortinet Cup Championship which is the final seasonal event of the PGA Tour Americas. That event showed a final winning score of just 5 under 275, but this field will consist of stronger talent than that event. Water will defend some of the greens, but isn’t a true defense given that there are attack angles of the greens on both sides. We don’t know if this will truly be an easier course, or if the 5 under score will be more of what we expect.
As a result, we will focus more on the traditional scoring stats of Birdies or Better Gained as well as Bogey Avoidance. Given the distance of the event, we will focus on the tee shots again, with total driving and distance approach being key stats for us. With the 12 par 4’s in play this week, par 4 scoring will take a premium as well. While I am not expecting this to be a higher scoring event, I don’t anticipate much drama this week either, so we will be going with our standard gambit of stats.
RBC Canadian Open 2025 Field: Golf DFS
Being that this event is showing up just prior to the U.S. Open at Oakmont, it should be no surprise that this field is softer than most, though some big names do still make an appearance. Rory McIlroy is the betting favorite this week, and is joined by just Ludvig Aberg as top 10 OWGR players in the field this week. In fact, only 16 players in the OWGR top 50 are in the field this week, showing us just how “soft” this field is in comparison. Rory, a two time winner of this event, is joined by previous winners Robert MacIntyre, Nick Taylor, and Brandt Snedeker. Two notable debuts this week are Luke Clanton and Gordon Sargent, who are making their PGA Tour debuts as professional players after earning their PGA Tour cards via the PGA TOUR University Accelerated program, though both have appeared in PGA Tour events prior. David Ford also debuts as a pro after finishing No. 1 in the PGA TOUR University Class of 2025. With a lot of fun names in the field this week, lineups can certainly look interesting, though we will likely see near 50% rostership of Rory in some games.
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PGA Best Bets & Predictions: 2025 Memorial Tournament (14-25 Overall, -.60 Units)
- Corey Conners: Top 20 (+105)
- Luke Clanton: Top 20 (+190)
- RBC Canadian Open One and Done Picks:
- Sam Burns (High End)
- Davis Riley (Low End)
GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: Top Tier
Rory McIlroy ($11,900 DraftKings/$13,000 FanDuel)
Rory is one of the best players on the planet, and this course seems to be designed specifically for him. With driving, long approach, and short game at a premium this week, he projects to be in contention, esp as he ramps up for Oakmont. Even as the most expensive player in the field, I see no concerns fitting him into lineups given the expected randomness of this event.
Corey Conners ($10,100 DraftKings/$12,100 FanDuel)
Conners may have the best chance of anyone besides Rory to take the win this week. He typically avoids a ton of mistakes, ranking in the top 20 in the field in Bogey Avoidance, is 9th in SG: Off The Tee, and is one of the best long iron approach players on tour. His putting is where he’s weakest, but he still projects to be above field average on the greens and the flat greens we should see this week should cause minimal issues for him. I’m going to imagine that Conners is my highest rostered player of the week.
Sam Burns ($11,700 DraftKings/$9,300 FanDuel)
Burns has been on fire on the greens, gaining insane amounts of strokes on the field over his last 6 events, gaining as many as 8.1 strokes on the greens with multiple other events over 5. His overall tee-to-green performance has generally improved, and had one of his best weeks on approach in 2025. He’s trending in the right direction and we’ve seen him win multiple times on tour, and he’s consistently performed at RBC venue’s. Burnsy is going to shock some people this week.
GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: MID-TIER
Luke Clanton ($9,000 DraftKings/$11,200 FanDuel)
Clanton is one of my favorite players to watch and I’m stoked to see him as a full-time tour player. He’s top 10 in 200+ approach proximity in this field, one of just 7 players in the field who rank above average in SG: Approach, Driving Distance, SG: Putting (bent), and SG:Tee-to-Green on comp courses. He’s an absolute stud, and this could be his week to truly cement his name into household status.
Eric Cole ($8,100 DraftKings/$9,300 FanDuel)
Cole is one of the more interesting names to stand out in my model this week. He’s been one of the worst drivers on tour this year, but he’s been an absolute stand out on approach and has been one of the most consistent putters on tour. Where I have some hope is that he seems to thrive up in Canada, as he’s performed well in the RBC showing up for a T6th finish in 2023. When he struggles with the driver, it tends to be lack of distance more than dispersion, so if he can keep it in the fairway this week like he has consistently this year, we should see Cole be a fun little low rostered name to get into lineups.
Davis Riley ($7,900 DraftKings/$10,000 FanDuel)
Riley is a masher of the golf ball, who has consistently played well enough with the remainder of his game. He’s top 50 on tour in Driving Distance, and while the accuracy has struggled, he’s to struggle with a left miss that actually plays very well in this layout. He’s strong around the green, and is one of the best scramblers in the field and is top 10 this year in putting average. He’s definitely a better value on DraftKings as opposed to FanDuel, but he’s going to be an interesting option as a low volatility play.
GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: VALUE TIER
Karl Vilips ($7,100 DraftKings/$8,500 FanDuel)
Vilips is another masher who has struggled with accuracy at times this year. Where I’m willing to take that risk is that he’s one of the best distance approach players, in the 150-200 yard range where he should find himself frequently. He’s also solid enough out of the rough that errant drives should be less of an issue this week. He hasn’t gained strokes with the flat stick, but he’s top 30 in putting average and is a great scorer, though he doesn’t avoid bogey’s well. He’s going to be a boom-bust play, but he’s going to be a fun name to throw in with Rory.
Justin Rose ($7,700 DraftKings/$9,600 FanDuel)
Rose has certainly struggled off the tee this year, but he should be able to take advantage of these wide greens and course that favors the left miss that has been his issue in 2025. He’s got a solid history of long iron approach play, scores a ton, and has top 20 rankings in both one putt percentage and putting average. He’s going to be in a lot of lineups this week.
Nicolai Hojgaard ($7,400 DraftKings/$8,900 FanDuel)
I went back and forth, and while I think both Hojgaard brothers should be in play this week, I think Nicolai is the more exciting option. He’s one of the longest players on tour, one of the best approach players on tour, and has been sneaky good with the flat stick this year (35th in SG: Putting). He’s struggled to avoid bogeys, but has scored at an elite rate and is 2nd on tour in par 5 scoring. He’’s certainly going to be a fun name to watch.
Player Pool
| $ Tier | G |
|---|---|
| High |  Rory McIlroy  $11,900 |
| Harry Hall $9,200 | |
| Corey Conners $10,100 | |
| Taylor Pendrith $9,600 | |
| Sam Burns $9,300 | |
| Medium | Luke Clanton $9,000 |
| Mackenzie Hughes $8,900 | |
| Wyndham Clark $8,600 | |
| Max Homa $8,200 | |
| Eric Cole $8,100 | |
| Rasmus Hojgaard $8,000 | |
| Low | Davis Riley $7,900 |
| Justin Rose $7,700 | |
| Ryan Fox $7,700 | |
| Alex Smalley $7,600 | |
| Nicolai Hojgaard $7,400 | |
| Karl Vilips $7,100 |
