PGA DFS Playbook BMW Championship: Top DraftKings & FanDuel PGA DFS Picks
Published: Aug 17, 2022
I have to admit that I was thrilled to see Will Zalatoris break through last weekend and win his first PGA Tour event. He had come so close so many times and to see his emotions burst out like that in the playoffs was great to see. Will moved from number 12 in FedEx Cup Standings to number one with that victory and put himself in the driver's seat for the Tour Championship. The fact that he jumped over Scottie Scheffler and his four victories this season in the standings shows how great of a season Will really had.
The FedEx Cup playoffs now moves from Memphis, Tennessee to Wilmington, Delaware for the second week of this journey. Wilmington Country Club plays host to the 2022 BMW Championship and the first time this course has hosted a PGA Tour event despite being around since 1901. It is overall a relative unknown to basically everyone in the field.
Wilmington Country Club measures 7,534 yards, plays as a par 71 with bentgrass greens and was designed by Robert Trent Jones Sr. Some of the other championship level courses he’s designed are Baltusrol, Bellerive, Congressional, Firestone, and Hazeltine. We know the greens are an average of 8,100 square feet which is basically gigantic by PGA Tour standards but it could lead to more three putts this weekend. Accuracy will come into play as the fairways are thin and unforgiving with tall fescue throughout the course. There are also 91 bunkers scattered throughout and four holes with water in play. Distance will be important this weekend because we’ve got two Par 5s over 630 yards in length. Strokes Gained: Off the Tee, Strokes Gained: Approach, Driving Distance, Scrambling and Three Putt Avoidance are my primary stat targets for my playbook.
There are 70 players teeing it up in Wilmington and every one of them will play four rounds as there is no cut this weekend. This stellar field is competing for the right to play in next week’s Tour Championship at East Lake in Atlanta. When setting your lineups this weekend, some of the names to keep in mind are J.J. Spaun, Aaron Wise, Maverick McNealy, K.H. Lee, Lucas Glover, Denny McCarthy, Seamus Power, Shane Lowry, Keith Mitchell, and Cameron Tringale as they are all within 10 spots of the Tour Championship Top 30 field. Remember you can be a little more risky with your lineups knowing that your golfers will play every round. We’ve got just two weeks until someone is rewarded with the 15 million dollar prize, all these players are putting their best foot forward.
You won’t have to worry about the weather this weekend for the most part. We will see temperatures in the mid to upper 80s throughout the tournament with winds under 10 miles per hour. We may see some rain on Sunday morning but should clear by the early afternoon.
ONE & DONE PICK: Patrick Cantlay
Pos (Click to sort ascending) | Player (Click to sort ascending) | DK (Click to sort ascending) | Draft % (Click to sort ascending) | FD (Click to sort ascending) | Draft % (Click to sort ascending) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
G | Rory McIlroy | 10500 | 21.5% | 11800 | 33.7% |
Yep, Rory missed the cut at the St. Jude but I’m going to chalk that up to rust from not playing for a month. In his last seven starts since his runner up at the Masters, he’s finished 5th-8th-18th-1st-5th-19th-3rd-MC. McIlory finished outside the Top 25 this season in just three of his 14 starts. He ranks Top 10 in Off the Tee, Tee to Green, Driving Distance, Birdie Average and leads the tour in Scoring Average. He’s also Top 20 in Approach, Greens in Regulation, and Putting. This course should play more to his strengths which is distance off the tee. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Patrick Cantlay | 9900 | 14.5% | 11100 | 25.3% |
Prior to his 57th place finish at the St. Jude last weekend, Cantlay was on one hell of a run. Since the Memorial he had finishes of 3rd-14th-13th-4th-8th-2nd. The 2021 FedEx Cup Champion is making a late run for back to back titles sitting in 7th place heading into this weekend. He ranks 4th in Birdie Average, 6th in Scoring Average, 12th in Putting, 21st in Off the Tee, 23rd in Tee to Green, and 34th in Greens in Regulation. Everyone will be looking at Will Zalatoris at his price tag but I’ll take the discount on Patrick with the lower ownership levels. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Tony Finau | 9700 | 16.6% | 11000 | 24.1% |
Finau backed up his back to back victories at the 3M Open and Rocket Mortgage Classic with a 5th place last weekend at the St. Jude. The field strength didn’t bother him at all, so I doubt it will this week. He has also made the cut in five straight starts. All of his stats have shot up ranking 5th in Greens in Regulation, 6th in Tee to Green, 8th in Approach, 12th in Birdie Average, 13th in Off the Tee, and 13th in Scoring Average. The price tag combined with his red hot play makes for an easy play this weekend. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Collin Morikawa | 9400 | 22.8% | 10600 | 20.5% |
It has been a disappointing season for Collin but that’s kinda hard to say when you see that he has eight Top 10s and ranks 20th in FedEx Cup Points. He has been the ultimate boom or bust play this season, just look at his last five starts, two Top 5s and three missed cuts. Despite the struggles, he still ranks 3rd in Approach, 12th in Scoring Average, 19th in Tee to Green, 25th in Birdie Average, 30th in Off the Tee, and 32nd in Driving Distance. I’m willing to take the shot on him because you know you’ll get four rounds out of him no matter what. This course is a perfect fit for Morikawa. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Sungjae Im | 9100 | 15.2% | 10100 | 23.5% |
The ball striking is on point right now Sungjae. Before his 12th place last week at the St. Jude, he had back to back runner up finishes at the Wyndham and 3M Open. The driver has been superb down the stretch ranking 9th in Off the Tee for the season, also 8th in Around the Green, 9th in Greens in Regulation, 9th in Tee to Green, 16th in Scoring Average, and 29th in Driving Distance. When you get a golfer playing as well as he is right now for $9100, that seems like a steal to me. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Cameron Young | 8900 | 22.1% | 10400 | 21.7% |
He will be extremely popular this weekend and for good reason. Young’s game fits Wilmington Country Club like a glove. He ranks 2nd in Off the Tee, 4th in Driving Distance, 5th in Birdie Average, 13th in Tee to Green, and 15th in Scoring Average on the season. Young finished 3rd at the PGA Championship, runner up at the Open Championship and runner up again at the Rocket Mortgage. While last week’s performance wasn’t impressive, he should have much better results on this course. The lock for PGA Tour Rookie of the Year is rumored to be heading to the LIV Tour but I won’t hold that against him this weekend. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Joaquin Niemann | 8600 | 25.9% | 9600 | 21.1% |
It still baffles me that Niemann is just 23-year-old with all that potential. He picked up his second career victory earlier this year at the Genesis Open. Niemann has Top 20 finishes in two of his last three starts including last weekend in Memphis. An excellent driver of the golf ball ranking 16th in Off the Tee for the season. He is also 11th in Tee to Green, 15th in Birdie Average, 19th in Scoring Average, 23rd in Approach, and 35th in Around the Green. A lot of ownership I feel will be on Max Homa which should give you an advantage playing Niemann instead. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Adam Scott | 8000 | 8.6% | 9200 | 7.3% |
The 42-year-old Australian could be making his last FedEx Cup Playoff appearance when he makes the jump to the LIV Tour. That’s the rumor at least. Scott picked up his 4th Top 10 of the season last weekend at the St. Jude in Memphis. That finish got him into the field this weekend and he’s got an outside shot of Tour Championship. Adam can still get the ball out there off the tee ranking 16th in Driving Distance even with all these young guns out there. 33rd in Birdie Average, 44th in Approach, 45th in Putting, 57th in Scoring Average, and 63rd in Tee to Green. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Cameron Davis | 7600 | 17.3% | 8900 | 12.7% |
Cam has made the cut in nine straight events coming into this weekend and the last five were Top 16 or better. He finished this season with a career high 5 Top 10 finishes including a 3rd at the RBC Heritage. He can really bomb the ball off the tee ranking 40th on Tour in Driving Distance and 66th in Off the Tee. He also ranks 35th in Birdie Average, 48th in Tee to Green, and 50th in Approach. The upside is high with this one and knowing you’ll get four rounds out of him makes him even more appealing. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Keith Mitchell | 7400 | 6.6% | 8600 | 9.9% |
Keith is looking to make the Tour Championship for the first time in his career which spans five seasons. He currently sits just outside the field at 39th. He has a chance due to his career high 6 Top 10 finishes on the season. While he ended the regular season on a down note finishing 54th at the Wyndham, he bounced back with a 31st last week at the St. Jude. This course should fit him even better than TPC Southwind especially with his ability with the driver. He ranks 3rd in Off the Tee and 19th in Driving Distance on the season. Mitchell is also 18th in Scoring Average, 22nd in Birdie Average, 32nd in Tee to Green and 40th in Putting. I love his upside especially knowing you won’t have to worry about the cut. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Sahith Theegala | 7300 | 10.4% | 8900 | 9.0% |
If it weren’t for Cameron Young’s fantastic season, Sahith would be a front runner for the PGA Tour Rookie of the Year. He has 10 Top 25 finishes this season including last week at the FedEx St. Jude which has him in the field for the Tour Championship. Theegala will need another good week to make it to Atlanta. When you look over his stats on the season, there is no one part of his game that stands out above the rest but pretty solid across the board. I think he provides you solid value in the low 7Ks range, especially when you see what he’s done throughout his rookie campaign on the PGA Tour. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Kevin Kisner | 6800 | 1.4% | 8000 | 1.2% |
While this has been a season to forget for Kevin Kisner, he is still amazingly in the field for the Tour Championship as of now. That’s thanks in large part to his four finishes of 6th place or better this season. He is looking to get to the Tour Championship played in his home state of Georgia for the sixth time in the last eight seasons. When you look at this huge course, Kisner would not be at the top of your list of options because of his limitations off the tee. While he lacks distance, he makes up for in accuracy which is rewarded on this track. He ranks 10th in Putting, 28th in Driving Accuracy, and 38th in Birdie Average. Kisner is coming off of a Top 20 finish last weekend in Memphis. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Emiliano Grillo | 6600 | 13.2% | 8300 | 4.3% |
Putting has always been his Achilles heel but the ball striking is what keeps him in contention on a weekly basis. While he had a rough patch over the spring and early summer, things have turned a corner. He has runner up finishes in two of his last four starts. Grillo ranks 17th in Off the Tee, 24th in Birdie Average, 37th in Driving Accuracy, 51st in Green in Regulation, and 53rd in Tee to Green. Grillo typically makes for a nice tournament play because of his boom or bust potential but we know he’s going to get all four rounds in and that makes him more appealing to me. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Wyndham Clark | 6500 | 7.6% | 7600 | 2.6% |
Clark snuck his way into the field this weekend after a Top 30 last weekend in Memphis. We all know that Mr. Clark can hit the ball a mile and putt better than about 90 percent of the tour players out there. The ball striking inconsistencies is where things get a little hairy for him. Clark has made the cut in six straight starts with a Top 20 at the Scottish Open and a Top 10 at the Rocket Mortgage. I love his price tag this weekend, especially being able to fit in an extra top tier player. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Trey Mullinax | 6200 | 12.5% | 8600 | 1.1% |
There’s one thing you can trust when it comes to Trey, he can straight up rip the ball off the tee. He’s Top 10 in Driving Distance and Top 30 in Off the Tee against the best in the world on the PGA Tour. Mullinax picked up his first career PGA Tour victory just a few weeks ago at the Barbasol, finished Top 25 at the Open Championship and his 5th place at the St. Jude got him into the field this weekend. Trey also ranks 11th in Eagles and 25th in Birdie Average on the season. Game Type: CASH & GPP |
G | Rory McIlroy, G | 10500 | 11800 | ||
Yep, Rory missed the cut at the St. Jude but I’m going to chalk that up to rust from not playing for a month. In his last seven starts since his runner up at the Masters, he’s finished 5th-8th-18th-1st-5th-19th-3rd-MC. McIlory finished outside the Top 25 this season in just three of his 14 starts. He ranks Top 10 in Off the Tee, Tee to Green, Driving Distance, Birdie Average and leads the tour in Scoring Average. He’s also Top 20 in Approach, Greens in Regulation, and Putting. This course should play more to his strengths which is distance off the tee. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | 9900 | 11100 | |||
Prior to his 57th place finish at the St. Jude last weekend, Cantlay was on one hell of a run. Since the Memorial he had finishes of 3rd-14th-13th-4th-8th-2nd. The 2021 FedEx Cup Champion is making a late run for back to back titles sitting in 7th place heading into this weekend. He ranks 4th in Birdie Average, 6th in Scoring Average, 12th in Putting, 21st in Off the Tee, 23rd in Tee to Green, and 34th in Greens in Regulation. Everyone will be looking at Will Zalatoris at his price tag but I’ll take the discount on Patrick with the lower ownership levels. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Tony Finau, G | 9700 | 11000 | ||
Finau backed up his back to back victories at the 3M Open and Rocket Mortgage Classic with a 5th place last weekend at the St. Jude. The field strength didn’t bother him at all, so I doubt it will this week. He has also made the cut in five straight starts. All of his stats have shot up ranking 5th in Greens in Regulation, 6th in Tee to Green, 8th in Approach, 12th in Birdie Average, 13th in Off the Tee, and 13th in Scoring Average. The price tag combined with his red hot play makes for an easy play this weekend. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | 9400 | 10600 | |||
It has been a disappointing season for Collin but that’s kinda hard to say when you see that he has eight Top 10s and ranks 20th in FedEx Cup Points. He has been the ultimate boom or bust play this season, just look at his last five starts, two Top 5s and three missed cuts. Despite the struggles, he still ranks 3rd in Approach, 12th in Scoring Average, 19th in Tee to Green, 25th in Birdie Average, 30th in Off the Tee, and 32nd in Driving Distance. I’m willing to take the shot on him because you know you’ll get four rounds out of him no matter what. This course is a perfect fit for Morikawa. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Sungjae Im, G | 9100 | 10100 | ||
The ball striking is on point right now Sungjae. Before his 12th place last week at the St. Jude, he had back to back runner up finishes at the Wyndham and 3M Open. The driver has been superb down the stretch ranking 9th in Off the Tee for the season, also 8th in Around the Green, 9th in Greens in Regulation, 9th in Tee to Green, 16th in Scoring Average, and 29th in Driving Distance. When you get a golfer playing as well as he is right now for $9100, that seems like a steal to me. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | 8900 | 10400 | |||
He will be extremely popular this weekend and for good reason. Young’s game fits Wilmington Country Club like a glove. He ranks 2nd in Off the Tee, 4th in Driving Distance, 5th in Birdie Average, 13th in Tee to Green, and 15th in Scoring Average on the season. Young finished 3rd at the PGA Championship, runner up at the Open Championship and runner up again at the Rocket Mortgage. While last week’s performance wasn’t impressive, he should have much better results on this course. The lock for PGA Tour Rookie of the Year is rumored to be heading to the LIV Tour but I won’t hold that against him this weekend. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | 8600 | 9600 | |||
It still baffles me that Niemann is just 23-year-old with all that potential. He picked up his second career victory earlier this year at the Genesis Open. Niemann has Top 20 finishes in two of his last three starts including last weekend in Memphis. An excellent driver of the golf ball ranking 16th in Off the Tee for the season. He is also 11th in Tee to Green, 15th in Birdie Average, 19th in Scoring Average, 23rd in Approach, and 35th in Around the Green. A lot of ownership I feel will be on Max Homa which should give you an advantage playing Niemann instead. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Adam Scott, G | 8000 | 9200 | ||
The 42-year-old Australian could be making his last FedEx Cup Playoff appearance when he makes the jump to the LIV Tour. That’s the rumor at least. Scott picked up his 4th Top 10 of the season last weekend at the St. Jude in Memphis. That finish got him into the field this weekend and he’s got an outside shot of Tour Championship. Adam can still get the ball out there off the tee ranking 16th in Driving Distance even with all these young guns out there. 33rd in Birdie Average, 44th in Approach, 45th in Putting, 57th in Scoring Average, and 63rd in Tee to Green. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | 7600 | 8900 | |||
Cam has made the cut in nine straight events coming into this weekend and the last five were Top 16 or better. He finished this season with a career high 5 Top 10 finishes including a 3rd at the RBC Heritage. He can really bomb the ball off the tee ranking 40th on Tour in Driving Distance and 66th in Off the Tee. He also ranks 35th in Birdie Average, 48th in Tee to Green, and 50th in Approach. The upside is high with this one and knowing you’ll get four rounds out of him makes him even more appealing. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | 7400 | 8600 | |||
Keith is looking to make the Tour Championship for the first time in his career which spans five seasons. He currently sits just outside the field at 39th. He has a chance due to his career high 6 Top 10 finishes on the season. While he ended the regular season on a down note finishing 54th at the Wyndham, he bounced back with a 31st last week at the St. Jude. This course should fit him even better than TPC Southwind especially with his ability with the driver. He ranks 3rd in Off the Tee and 19th in Driving Distance on the season. Mitchell is also 18th in Scoring Average, 22nd in Birdie Average, 32nd in Tee to Green and 40th in Putting. I love his upside especially knowing you won’t have to worry about the cut. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | 7300 | 8900 | |||
If it weren’t for Cameron Young’s fantastic season, Sahith would be a front runner for the PGA Tour Rookie of the Year. He has 10 Top 25 finishes this season including last week at the FedEx St. Jude which has him in the field for the Tour Championship. Theegala will need another good week to make it to Atlanta. When you look over his stats on the season, there is no one part of his game that stands out above the rest but pretty solid across the board. I think he provides you solid value in the low 7Ks range, especially when you see what he’s done throughout his rookie campaign on the PGA Tour. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | Kevin Kisner, G | 6800 | 8000 | ||
While this has been a season to forget for Kevin Kisner, he is still amazingly in the field for the Tour Championship as of now. That’s thanks in large part to his four finishes of 6th place or better this season. He is looking to get to the Tour Championship played in his home state of Georgia for the sixth time in the last eight seasons. When you look at this huge course, Kisner would not be at the top of your list of options because of his limitations off the tee. While he lacks distance, he makes up for in accuracy which is rewarded on this track. He ranks 10th in Putting, 28th in Driving Accuracy, and 38th in Birdie Average. Kisner is coming off of a Top 20 finish last weekend in Memphis. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | 6600 | 8300 | |||
Putting has always been his Achilles heel but the ball striking is what keeps him in contention on a weekly basis. While he had a rough patch over the spring and early summer, things have turned a corner. He has runner up finishes in two of his last four starts. Grillo ranks 17th in Off the Tee, 24th in Birdie Average, 37th in Driving Accuracy, 51st in Green in Regulation, and 53rd in Tee to Green. Grillo typically makes for a nice tournament play because of his boom or bust potential but we know he’s going to get all four rounds in and that makes him more appealing to me. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | 6500 | 7600 | |||
Clark snuck his way into the field this weekend after a Top 30 last weekend in Memphis. We all know that Mr. Clark can hit the ball a mile and putt better than about 90 percent of the tour players out there. The ball striking inconsistencies is where things get a little hairy for him. Clark has made the cut in six straight starts with a Top 20 at the Scottish Open and a Top 10 at the Rocket Mortgage. I love his price tag this weekend, especially being able to fit in an extra top tier player. Game Type: CASH & GPP | |||||
G | 6200 | 8600 | |||
There’s one thing you can trust when it comes to Trey, he can straight up rip the ball off the tee. He’s Top 10 in Driving Distance and Top 30 in Off the Tee against the best in the world on the PGA Tour. Mullinax picked up his first career PGA Tour victory just a few weeks ago at the Barbasol, finished Top 25 at the Open Championship and his 5th place at the St. Jude got him into the field this weekend. Trey also ranks 11th in Eagles and 25th in Birdie Average on the season. Game Type: CASH & GPP |