NHL DFS Picks, Projections, Lineups & Stacks Today: Wednesday Playbook
Published: Dec 04, 2024
We have a smaller four-game slate for NHL DFS picks today, but it still features plenty of star power to build your lineups around.
We'll see some pretty chalky players but that is to be expected for a smaller slate.
NHL DFS Picks & Daily Fantasy Playbook Today, December 4th
With a smaller slate, it can be tough to get away from what are the clear best plays, but going against the grain has it benefits in tournaments.
This is the type of slate where a three-max can be fun. Roll with two lineups where you go with the chalk, then one full contrarian.
NHL DFS Pick'em Picks On Sleeper Fantasy
- Jonathan Marchessault Over 2.5 Shots On Goal
- Pavel Dorofeyev Over 2.5 Shots on Goal
- Mitch Marner Over 0.5 Assists
The Nashville Predators' slow start to the season has been well chronicled by many but that doesn't mean they don't bring some fantasy value to the table. Over the last 10 games, Jonathan Marchessault has a team-high 35 shots on goal, while seeing time on the second forward line and the first power-play unit. They are up against the Toronto Maple Leafs, who are allowing 62.14 Total Shot Attempts per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations over the last two weeks, which is the fifth-worst in the league.
Pavel Dorofeyev and the Vegas Golden Knights are coming off a big win last night over the Edmonton Oilers and they can look to build on that tonight against the Anaheim Ducks. Dorofeyev has been super solid for the Golden Knights with 29 shots on goal in the last 10 games, which includes six straight games with at least three shots on goal.
Mitch Marner has always been an assist machine and with Auston Matthews back in the lineup, that is amped up even more. While they don't skate on the same forward line, the power-play time is always there and with a solid 3.1 implied goal total tonight, the Maple Leafs should be able to get some scoring going versus the Nashville Predators. Marner comes in with 24 assists in 24 games this season, a rate he can push higher tonight.
Wednesday Salary Cap DFS Picks
Goalie Of the Day: Ilya Samsonov - VGK
There's no doubt that Ilya Samsonov is coming off a few rough starts but the matchup against the Anaheim Ducks is very clearly a get-right spot. Seeing 4+ goals allowed in four of his last five starts isn't great, the Ducks are the second-lowest scoring team in the league.
They have a total of 60 goals in 23 games – 2.6 per game – their power will is also sitting at 15.7%, which is 27th in the league. They are legitimately one of the worst offenses in the league and it should put Samsonov in a spot to come away with a “cleaner” game and the win.
Play Of The Day: Auston Matthews - TOR
Auston Matthews missed nearly a month of games and returned with three points and five shots on goal in his first two games back. He hasn't missed a step and is looking like he never missed a game.
While we have Jack Eichel on this slate in a great matchup against the Ducks, he's been a bit slow in recent games and lacking fantasy production. Matthews and the Maple Leafs should be chalky tonight but the multi-point potential is clear for Matthews on any slate. Juuse Saros should be in net for the Predators and with him allowing three goals or more in four straight games, the Leafs should be able to get the offense going tonight.
Value Play Of The Day: Ivan Barbashev - VGK
The chalk for tonight should come down to the Vegas Golden Knights and the Toronto Maple Leafs, so this is where most people will look for some value. Let's turn to Ivan Barbashev, who has been skating on the first forward line and the second power-play unit for the Golden Knights.
Over the last 10 games, he has piled up 5 goals, 6 assists, 18 shots on goal, and 6 blocked shots. Bringing fantasy value each and every night, which should continue tonight versus the Ducks, who have allowed 2.72 Goals per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations over the last two weeks, which is the 11th-worst in the league, but the second-worst among teams on tonight's slate.
Stack Of The Day: TOR L1/PP1 (Auston Matthews, William Nylander, Matthew Knies)
Auston Matthews is back for the Maple Leafs and they've scored nine goals in the last two games. They got things cooking on offense and it's a clear spot to target them tonight against the Nashville Predators.
The goal potential is serious for the Maple Leafs tonight considering the Predators have allowed 12.27 High Danger Scoring Chances per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations over the last two weeks, which is the fourth-most in the league. Allowing those juicy chances right in front of the net only presents an upside for a player such as Matthews or William Nylander. I'm adding in Matthew Knies since he's also on the first forward line and the first power-play unit with the other two.
Today's NHL DFS Cheat Sheet & Stacks
Player Pool
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Stacks
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