NHL DFS Picks, Projections, Lineups & Predictions Today: Saturday Playbook

Welcome to another NHL DFS Playbook! We have a beautiful eight-game slate with a handful of high-scoring games. There are lots of matchups with 5.5 totals, but that doesn’t mean goals won’t be scored. We just have to find good value.

As always, we need to make sure we are taking the correct goalies. Totals may be low, but goalies need to make saves and hit value and not every single one on this slate will do that. Let’s dive right into the action and see which players we need to keep an eye on.
 

NHL Pick 'Em At Sleeper Today

Before we get into DFS, let’s make some pick’em picks for the night over on Sleeper. There are lots of ways we try to fill your wallet over here at Fantasy Alarm and this is just another option. 

Sleeper NHL Picks, Saturday, March 1st:

• Brady Tkachuk O/3.5 SOG
• Frank Nazar O/1.5 SOG
• Lane Hutson O/0.5 A

There is a good chance that Brady Tkachuk returns for the Senators and he’s in a very good spot to produce. He might not be 100% healthy, but his matchup against San Jose is elite and you know he’s good for a healthy amount of shots and chances. He was averaging over five shots on goal before the 4Nations break, so let’s hope he can return to that form tonight.

The Chicago Blackhawks are a mess and they aren’t going to get better anytime soon. They have a decent matchup against the Anaheim Ducks, but I still don’t think they win the game. All the talk is about Connor Bedard and his struggles, so we need to look elsewhere. Frank Nazar is playing on the second line and is seeing just over 16 minutes a game. His shot total is low, but he’s hit the Over in the last four games. This is a coinflip in my mind, but the Blackhawks will be trailing and they’ll need their best players on the ice a lot, so we’ll take a chance on Nazar.

Lane Hutson is now up to 40 assists on the season and is going to win Rookie of the Year (Don’t @ me about it). He’s seeing a ton of minutes and has found a home on the top power play unit. Montreal’s top line is scoring a ton of goals and Hutson skates with them five-on-five, so there are no shortage of chances for him to pick up an assist.
 

SALARY CAP DFS

Goalie Of The Day: Linus Ullmark - OTT

It’s very hard to go against Linus Ullmark today. The Senators are in a great spot against a below-average opponent and Ullmark has a great chance of picking up the win. He may ot see enough shots to really exceed value, so he’s more of a cash-game option.

Honourable Mention: Jakub Dobes - MTL

Jakub Dobes got off to a roaring start when he was called up from the AHL, but he’s come back down to earth. He’s 0-2-1 in his last four starts and has allowed three or more goals in five straight games. That being said, the Buffalo Sabres aren’t an elite offensive team and the Canadiens have been playing much better of late. Dobes is a good goalie but he needs his team to help him out. At his $7100 price tag, he’s worth taking a chance on in a GPP.

Player Of The Day: Tim Stutzle -OTT

There aren’t a ton of elite options on this slate, so we’ll try to maximize value. Tim Stutzle doesn’t shoot the puck a ton, but he’s really good at racking up points on home ice. He has 38 in 27 games, including three assists the last time he played San Jose. I don’t love his price tag on DK, but I do think there is enough upside here for him to exceed value.

Honorable Mention: Leon Draisaitl - EDM

I really don’t love Leon Draisatil’s matchup against Carolina, but we can’t deny just how elite he is. The German forward has scored a goal in seven start games and has 24 in 29 road games. He’s shooting 25% away from home, which is way above his career average, but we need to respect it. I don’t hate his $7900 price tag on DK, I just think this isn’t a great spot for him. If you want to use him as a single-bullet and get him at low-ownership, go ahead. 

Value Play Of The Day: Jake Walman - SJS

We need to target players who can rack up fantasy points without having to find the scoresheet. Jake Walman is playing a ton of minutes and has been getting his body in front of a ton of shots. The points haven’t been there of late-- just three assists in the last ten games-- but he’s finding ways to hit value and that’s all we really care about. 

Honorable Mention: Matvei Michkov - PHI

This is a brutal matchup for the Flyers and Matvei Michkov, but the rookie has eight points in the last three games while also racking up 15 shots on goal. He’s doing all this while playing just under 15 minutes a night. I don’t love it, I wish he was playing more, but he’s cooking and he’s under $5K on DK. The Jets are playing their fifth game in eight days, so fatigue may start to settle in. I need John Tortorella to let his best offensive weapon run free because he’s been so good of late. Michkov is more of a GPP play because of his lack of ice time. 

Stack Of The Day - OTT PP1 (Brady Tkachuk - Drake Batherson - Jake Sanderson)

If we’re going to spend up on players, we need to make sure they are shooting the puck. Brady Tkachuk loves to shoot the puck, Drake Batherson can score goals and Jake Sanderson is just an overall good defenceman. All three play together on the top power play unit, which is operating at 23%, good for 13th in the league. If the points don’t come, we need all three to finish with high shot totals.

Player Pool

• FanDuel
• DraftKings

$ Tier	C	W	D
High	Leon Draisaitl $7,900	Kyle Connor $7,900	Rasmus Dahlin $6,600
		Mikko Rantanen $7,800	Josh Morrissey $6,200
Medium	Sebastian Aho $6,700	Andrei Svechnikov $6,400	Seth Jones $5,400
	Nick Suzuki $6,100	Mason McTavish $6,100	Mikhail Sergachev $5,200
Low	Logan Cooley $5,000	Jared McCann $5,300	Mattias Ekholm $4,300
	Leo Carlsson $4,500	Patrik Laine $5,200	Colton Parayko $4,100
		Josh Norris $4,700	Travis Sanheim $4,100

Stacks

Hurricanes	Sebastian Aho	Seth Jarvis	Mikko Rantanen
DraftKings	6700	7100	7800
Fanduel	7600	7100	7800

Canadiens	Juraj Slafkovsky	Lane Hutson	Cole Caufield	Nick Suzuki
DraftKings	5200	4200	6900	6100
Fanduel	5700	5400	6900	7300

Jets	Mark Scheifele	Kyle Connor	Josh Morrissey
DraftKings	7100	7900	6200
Fanduel	7900	8700	6000

Ducks	Frank Vatrano	Mason McTavish	Troy Terry
DraftKings	7300	6100	6800
Fanduel	6400	5600	6000

Hurricanes	Sebastian Aho	Seth Jarvis	Mikko Rantanen
DraftKings	6700	7100	7800
Fanduel	7600	7100	7800

Canadiens	Juraj Slafkovsky	Lane Hutson	Cole Caufield	Nick Suzuki
DraftKings	5200	4200	6900	6100
Fanduel	5700	5400	6900	7300

Jets	Mark Scheifele	Kyle Connor	Josh Morrissey
DraftKings	7100	7900	6200
Fanduel	7900	8700	6000

Ducks	Frank Vatrano	Mason McTavish	Troy Terry
DraftKings	7300	6100	6800
Fanduel	6400	5600	6000