Welcome to another edition of our Underdog NHL Pick'em breakdowns, where we dive into the best player projections opportunities for this jam-packed Tuesday slate. With the NHL's Frozen Frenzy in full swing (featuring a whopping 16 games across the league), there's no shortage of action for bettors. Today, we're honing in on two high-upside shots on goal projections that stand out based on recent trends, seasonal averages, and favorable matchups. As always, our picks are backed by data-driven analysis, including past performances against specific opponents and projected outputs for these contests.

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Tage Thompson Underdog NHL Pick: Higher than 3.5 Shots on Goal

Thompson has been a volume shooter for the Buffalo Sabres this season, averaging 4.11 shots on goal per game through his first nine appearances. This already puts him well above the 3.5 threshold, but his recent form elevates these projections even further. He's fired off five shots in each of his last three games, showing a clear uptick in aggression and involvement in the offense. Facing the Columbus Blue Jackets at home, Thompson should have ample opportunities to pepper the net. The Blue Jackets have allowed an average of 32.3 shots per game to opponents this year, ranking among the league's more generous defenses. 

 

 

 

Zach Werenski Underdog NHL Pick: Higher than 2.5 Shots on Goal

Werenski, the Columbus Blue Jackets' offensive-minded defenseman, is another strong candidate to surpass his shots on goal line in this road tilt against the Buffalo Sabres. Through seven games this season, Werenski has accumulated 22 shots, good for an average of about 3.14 per contest. His production has ramped up lately, averaging 5.4 shots over his last five games, which demonstrates his growing role on the power play and in transition plays. The Sabres' defense has been middling at best, allowing opponents to generate quality chances.

 

 

 

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