Underdog NFL Picks For Super Bowl Sunday, 2/9: Football Projections + More
Super Bowl LIX is here, and we have an electrifying rematch between the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs. With stars like Jalen Hurts, Saquon Barkley, Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce and A.J. Brown taking the field, this game promises to be a thriller. If you're playing Underdog Fantasy's Pick'em contest, we've highlighted two top picks to consider.
Underdog NFL Picks, Super Bowl Sunday, 2/9: NFL DFS Projections
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Dallas Goedert NFL Underdog Fantasy Pick: More Than 4.5 Receptions
Dallas Goedert has been one of Jalen Hurts' most reliable targets this season, especially in the playoffs where he leads the team in targets, receptions and yards. The Eagles’ tight end thrives in short to intermediate routes, making him a safety valve when Hurts faces pressure. Against a Chiefs defense that has struggled against opposing tight ends, Goedert is in a great spot to rack up receptions.
Key Stats to Consider:
- Goedert has averaged 5.0 receptions per game in the postseason.
- The Chiefs’ defense allowed the second most receptions and the most receiving yards to tight ends this season.
Patrick Mahomes NFL Underdog Fantasy Pick: Fewer Than 36.5 Pass Attempts
Patrick Mahomes is no stranger to big games, and his workload tends to skyrocket in high-pressure situations. Facing an Eagles defense with a dominant pass rush, Mahomes will likely lean heavily on quick passes to keep the offense moving.
Mahomes has appeared in four Super Bowls, averaging over 40 pass attempts per game. That said, in their win over the Eagles he had just 27 pass attempts.
In both postseason games this season Mahomes went under 36.5 pass attempts as they beat the Texans and Bills.
Key Stats to Consider:
- Mahomes averaging 25.5 pass attempts this postseason
- The Eagles elite defense may limit the number of pass attempts by Mahomes due to shorter drives.
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Player News
Dolphins signed No. 13 overall pick DT Kenneth Grant to a four-year contract.
ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reports that Grant will sign his contract today. The former Michigan defensive tackle is expected to fill a major void left by Christian Wilkins, who left for the Raiders in the 2024 offseason. Grant totaled 32 tackles, three sacks, and seven TFLs in his final season at Michigan and excelled at stopping the run while also generating 27 pressures in his final season, per PFF.
Beat reporter John Hendrix reports that free agent WR Donovan Peoples-Jones is among the 16 players that the Saints will host for their rookie minicamp.
Peoples-Jones last played regular season snaps with the Lions back in 2023, when he caught 13-of-24 targets for 155 yards. He is highly unlikely to return to fantasy relevance at this point but could perhaps sign on as a special teams contributor.
Titans signed fourth-round pick WR Elic Ayomanor to a four-year contract.
Ayomanor will now begin learning behind Calvin Ridley. Although Ayomanor is unlikely to find a meaningful role in year one, dynasty managers should note his status as training camp gets underway this summer. The former Stanford receiver flashed big-play ability in his two college seasons.
Buccaneers signed seventh-round pick WR Tez Johnson to a four-year contract.
Johnson will serve as a rotational deep-threat option for Baker Mayfield. His thin frame (5'10/154) simply does not lend itself to the repeated hits one incurs in a full-time role. Johnson did earn 100-plus targets in his two seasons at Oregon, though. His big-play style make him a better fit in best ball for now, pending any major on-field breakthroughs.
Giants waived DT Casey Rogers.
Rogers was a 2024 undrafted free agent and logged 33 defensive snaps for the Giants in his rookie season. He is credited with zero tackles and/or sacks. He may find his way onto another roster as a practice squad option.
Vikings signed third-round pick WR Tai Felton to a four-year contract.
Felton is quietly in play to challenge Vikings No. 3 WR Jalen Nailor in training camp. Nailor (5'11/190) caught 28-of-42 targets for 414 yards and six touchdowns in his first season as a starter last year, with the latter category buoying his fantasy productivity. Felton (6'1/183), meanwhile, caught 96-of-143 targets for 1,119 yards and nine touchdowns while averaging 2.32 yards per route run in his final college season. Fantasy managers should monitor Felton’s training camp reports this summer, as he could have a matchup-based WR5 role if everything falls into place.