Underdog Fantasy Super Bowl Plays: DFS Picks for 49ers vs. Chiefs
Super Bowl 58 is here with a battle between the San Francisco 49ers and the Kansas City Chiefs. The big game will be full of stars both on the field with the likes of Travis Kelce, Patrick Mahomes and Christian McCaffrey as well as off the field with Taylor Swift potentially drawing even more attention despite not even performing during the Super Bowl halftime show.
When it comes to Super Bowl 58, we are all about finding ways to cash in and we can do that over on Underdog Fantasy with our Underdog Fantasy Super Bowl 58 picks. This matchup between the 49ers and Chiefs brings about not only two teams with great offenses but some really good defenses as well which should make for an exciting back and forth matchup.
When it comes to deciding on our Super Bowl 58 Underdog Fantasy top picks, we need to check out the Super Bowl 58 player projections and matchups to find where the advantages lie. So, let's dive in and take a look at the best Super Bowl 58 player picks on Underdog Fantasy.
Best Underdog Fantasy Super Bowl 58 DFS Picks
Fred Warner DFS Picks: LB, San Francisco 49ers
Let's take a look at the defensive side of the football here, shall we? Warner was one of the best linebackers in football this season, anchoring the 49ers defense. In San Francisco’s two playoff matchups this season he totaled 20 tackles, 15 solo tackles with five assists.
While the Chiefs have Patrick Mahomes, they also like to run the football with Isiah Pacheco which will lead to plenty of tackling opportunities for Warner in this game. Warner is also a decent cover linebacker and certainly could find himself making some tackles over the middle on Travis Kelce in this one.
Pick: Higher than 8.0 Tackles+Assists
Travis Kelce DFS Picks: TE, Kansas City Chiefs
The writing is on the wall, isn’t it? The Travis Kelce/Taylor Swift conspiracy theories all year long and now the Chiefs are in the Super Bowl. Kelce had a stellar performance against the Ravens during the AFC Championship game where he caught all 11 of his targets for 116 yards and a touchdown. He also had two touchdown catches in the team's win against the Buffalo Bills the week before.
The 49ers are a team that ranked 4th in DVOA against opposing tight ends but defensive stats against tight ends are often skewed due to the fact that few teams utilize their tight end like the Chiefs utilize their tight end and few teams have a tight end even close to the caliber of Travis Kelce.
If you want to look at some comps to Kelce that the 49ers have faced this season you only need to go back to the NFC Championship game where Sam LaPorta caught nine passes for 97 yards. We also saw T.J. Hockenson earlier in the year caught 11 passes for 86 yards. Heck, even Trey McBride ended the season with a 10-catch performance for 102 yards.
My take here is simple, the 49ers defense against tight ends has been elite against bad tight ends. But some of the league's better tight ends have had little trouble putting up big numbers.
Pick: More than 74.5 Receiving Yards
Player News
Packers signed WR Bo Melton, RB Emanuel Wilson, and P Daniel Whelan to their exclusive rights free agent tenders.
Melton caught on with the Packers in 2023, totaling 16 receptions for 218 yards and a touchdown in five games. He added eight receptions for 91 yards in 17 games last season. Melton will continue to be a depth piece in an already-deep Packers wide receiver room. Wilson has also been with the Packers for two seasons and rushed for 502 yards and four touchdowns as Josh Jacobs’ immediate backup last season. He will compete with MarShawn Lloyd for that role again. Whelan is the team’s punter and will be back for 2025. All three signed their exclusive rights free agent tender and will essentially be on one-year contracts this season.
Seahawks re-signed Johnathan Hankins to a one-year contract.
Hankins hasn’t had a PFF run defense grade above 52.4 since 2020 and is primarily called on to play early downs. He turned 33 in March. He’ll be a complimentary piece behind Jarran Reed and Byron Murphy II if he makes the roster out of training camp.
Chargers placed the UFA tender on RB J.K. Dobbins.
This gives the Chargers exclusive negotiating rights if he does not sign with a team by July 22 or the first 2025 NFL training camp opens, whichever comes first. The tag is mainly useful for compensatory pick reasons as Dobbins will still count towards Los Angeles’ haul in the formula if signed before then. The Chargers currently do not project to add a pick in 2026 per Over The Cap’s Nick Korte.
49ers signed OT D.J. Humphries.
Humphries played in only two games for the Chiefs last year as he spent most of the season rehabbing a late 2023 torn ACL on his own. He wasn’t appreciably good in either of those games, but he was rusty and does have a history of better than that. Entering his age-32 season for the 49ers, he’ll probably be trying to win the right tackle job opposite Trent Williams in training camp.
Patriots released LS Joe Cardona.
The team selected his replacement, Julian Ashby, in the seventh round of the draft. This snapper of balls who are longer than usual is only 33, and it’s possible he picks up his career elsewhere. There aren’t too many remaining Patriots Regimes in the wild in 2025, but Nick Caserio does still run the Texans and they let Jon Weeks walk this offseason so that’s one speculative fit.
NewOrleans.Football’s Nick Underhill said he would be “flabbergasted” if Derek Carr played for the Saints this year.
“I would have trouble understanding why you would allow that to happen, you’re trying to build a new culture, you can’t let that guy ... you just got a rookie QB, this is the example you’re going to give him,” Underhill continued. Both Underhill and Mike Triplett believe Tyler Shough will be starting for the Saints in Week 1, with Underhill saying he had “80 percent or higher odds to start 80 percent of the games this year.” Shough would be an uninspiring superflex pick, perhaps a QB3, but given how things have played out with Carr over the past months it sure doesn’t seem like the Saints have a reason to want to continue this relationship. Mickey Loomis literally asked reporters to stop asking him Carr questions at his pre-draft press conference.