For the Week 15 action on ThriveFantasy this week, I’m expecting some big performances in the Los Angeles Chargers and Tennessee Titans showdown. Since there are also a couple of games on Saturday, I provided two of my favorite NFL player props on the Saturday slate. We’ll look to build on a 2-1 week last week, in route to a big, and profitable, Week 15! Here are some NFL player props that you must target this week on Thrive, and these players will also likely generate some interest for your Week 14 NFL DFS lineups. It’s time to #PropUp over at ThriveFantasy!

 

 

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Last week: 2-1
2022 Season: 21-21 (50%)

 

ThriveFantasy Top Picks NFL Week 15 for Saturday

Deshaun Watson OVER 225.5 Passing Yards

The Ravens have allowed the fourth-most passing yards this season and the 10th-most over the last four weeks. Deshaun Watson looked much, much better last week compared to his season debut, and with how good Baltimore is against the run, Kevin Stefanski and company might put this game on the right arm of their franchise QB. Watson has plenty of weapons at his disposal, Watson’s teammate Jacoby Brissett threw for 258 yards against them earlier this season, and the Ravens have allowed seven quarterbacks to throw for at least 250 yards this season, including Joe Flacco (309), Mitch Trubisky (276) and Brissett.

 

Matt Ryan OVER 230.5 Passing Yards

Yes, another Saturday quarterback prop. I know Matt Ryan hasn’t been great this season, but this line is simply too low going up against the Vikings. Minnesota has allowed the passing yards this season, as well as over the last four weeks, Furthermore, as a team, Minnesota has allowed 300+ passing yards to their opposition in five straight games, and while Indy wants to use Jonathan Taylor a lot, if the Vikings put up points, which I think they will, we should get another 34+ passing attempts from Ryan. In the eight games where Ryan has at least 34 passing attempts, he’s thrown for at least 231 yards in six of them. Take the over.

 

ThriveFantasy Top Picks NFL Week 15 for Sunday

Mike Williams OVER 4.5 Receptions

Am I missing something here? Tennessee is one of the worst teams statistically against the pass, not to mention against the opposition’s WR1. Williams looked good last week, catching all six of his targets for 116 yards and a touchdown, and in fact, he has at least five receptions in four of his last six games, and in one of those games he left early due to injury, so really it’s four out of five! Tennessee is stout against the run, so the Chargers may let Justin Herbert throw it 45+ times, which he’s done in each of his last three games. The Tennessee secondary stinks, and you can throw it all over Tennessee, so expect a big game from Williams in this one.

 

Justin Herbert OVER 1.5 Passing TDs + INTs 

Herbert has been throwing the ball all around the yard in recent weeks, as mentioned above. He has 47 or more pass attempts in three straight games, yet he has just five touchdown passes during this three game run. It’s very hard to run the ball against Tennessee, so it should be a profitable day through the air for Herbert. He hasn’t thrown a pick in three weeks, but prior to that, he had one in five straight games. I’m taking the over here, because Tennessee is opportunistic enough to maybe get one pick, but really, taking the over lies in the fact that Tennessee has allowed the second-most touchdown passes to quarterbacks in the league this year, including being tied for the most over the last four weeks.

 

Derrick Henry OVER 92.5 Rushing Yards

It’s funny, in that the Chargers don’t really run the ball a ton, nor can they stop it on defense. They have allowed the third-most rushing yards to backs over the last four weeks, and for the 2022 season as a whole, only the Houston Texans have allowed more. Running backs are averaging over 5.5 yards per carry against the Chargers, and we all know what Tennessee wants to do on offense. Henry had a rough couple of weeks prior to the Jacksonville game, facing two very solid run defenses in Cincinnati and Philadelphia, but he’s feasted in good matchups this year, and volume is never a question for the star back. He’s in line for a big workload, and even bigger day from a statistical perspective.

 

Tom Brady OVER 260.5 Passing Yards

Much like above with Herbert against Tennessee, Tampa Bay will try to run the ball against Cincy, but I’m not sure how well that will fare for them. Given the fact they haven’t run the ball well all season, and that Cincy has been solid against the run of late, this feels like a Tom Brady air it out type game. The Bengals have allowed the seventh-most receiving yards to running backs over the last four weeks, so short passes to Leonard Fournette and Rachaad White could serve as a pretty big extension of the run game this week. Cincy has allowed the sixth-most passing yards to quarterbacks over the last four weeks, and when Joe Burrow lights up this defense, Brady will have no choice but to attempt to keep pace. Brady just might push 300 yards in this one.

 

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