Saints vs. Packers Predictions, Picks & Odds: Monday Night Football, 12/23
The sun may be setting on the NFL Week 16 slate with an iconic snow game up in Green Bay with the Packers looking to keep pace with the rest of the NFC North against a New Orleans Saints team coming from down south. It’s projected to be a mismatch on paper, but we’ve still broken down our Saints vs. Packers predictions for you.
We’ve even found value for a best bet from our Saints vs. Packers picks, and on top of all that will be a $150 FanDuel Sportsbook welcome offer!
Saints vs. Packers Predictions for Monday Night Football, NFL Week 16
There’s no doubt that any and all Saints vs. Packers predictions have to begin with noting that New Orleans is going to be quite short-handed. They’ve already been forced to play QBs outside of starter Derek Carr, and now, RB Alvin Kamara has been downgraded to doubtful.
Those are two primary factors in why we see the Saints vs. Packers odds listing Green Bay as one of the biggest favorites of the entire season (14 points). While they’ll also have the homefield advantage in the elements at Lambeau Field, it’s still difficult to target a two-touchdown spread in the NFL.
Of course, we do expect Green Bay to win the game, and we expect it to be by leaning on Josh Jacobs, who is one of the few true bell-cow RBs in the NFL these days. Of course, we’ll provide far more value than just Green Bay winning for the best bet from our Saints vs. Packers predictions!
New Orleans Saints: Mounting Injuries
As much as we’d love, and the fans in the Bayou State as well, the biggest storyline for the Saints to not be injuries, it is. Carr and Kamara are the duo that produce nearly the entire offense for the team, and they aren’t the only ones in question.
New Orleans has also had WR Chris Olave and utility man Taysom Hill miss time this season. This all came during a seven-game losing streak, which ended after making a head coaching change. Although the NFC South is still up-in-the-air, the Saints are still not among those contending for it.
Green Bay Packers: The NFC North Gauntlet
Speaking of divisions, that transitions perfectly to what’s going on with the Cheeseheads these days. In most cases, a 10-4 record plus a great matchup to go to 11-4 would mean that a team is in the driver’s seat for a division title. However, the NFC North has been one of the strongest divisions we’ve seen in NFL history.
Green Bay has not just one 12-2 ahead of them, but two! That’s also prior to Sunday’s games, so that could even be 13-2 teams. Even still, they have their eyes set on the postseason with a win on MNF, and be sure to keep those incredible teams ahead of them in mind as we transition to the best bet from our Saints vs. Packers predictions.
Saints vs. Packers Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
We’ve already noted the significant point spread for MNF, and you can see the latest Saints vs. Packers odds at FanDuel Sportsbook below:
- Point Spread: New Orleans Saints +14 (-110) vs. Green Bay Packers -14 (-110)
- Money Line: New Orleans Saints (+575) vs. Green Bay Packers (-850)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 42.5 (-110) vs. Under 42.5 (-110)
Saints vs. Packers Teaser: Green Bay -7 & Over 36.5 Points (-120 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
When it comes to teasers, the goal is generally to manipulate the point spread to get through two key numbers such as seven and three, but in this case, the best we can do is a one-touchdown victory for the Pack. While not ideal in most circumstances, we’re more than comfortable with it for the focus of our Saints vs. Packers predictions.
We mentioned to keep in mind Green Bay’s dominant division, and that’s because it helps illustrate just how great they are, even with four losses. After all, a 10-4 record is already impressive, and the Packers have only lost to the 12-2 Detroit Lions twice and 12-2 Minnesota Vikings.
That fourth loss? That was back in Week 1 in Brazil to the now 12-2 Philadelphia Eagles! As you can see, Green Bay has only fallen to the best teams in the NFL, and the Saints do not fall into that category. Truthfully, we expect a double-digit victory, which is why we’re more than happy to back the Pack winning by “just” a touchdown.
We may not get much from the Saints offense, but with the teaser option, the total is a very low 36.5 points. Green Bay can get us over that value themselves, as they’re the fourth-highest scoring team in the NFL.
All of the above is the perfect recipe for us to lock in the best bet from our Saints vs. Packers predictions on a teaser of Green Bay -7 and over 36.6 points (-120 at FanDuel Sportsbook).
Saints vs. Packers Injury Report & Latest News
As we’ve been discussing from the start, New Orleans is littered with injuries. Of course, the most notable are the QB and RB positions, and as for the Pack, it has proven to always be worth monitoring their entire WR room. You can do exactly that thanks to the Fantasy Alarm NFL injury report!
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Player News
Ravens signed DT John Jenkins to a one-year contract.
The 35-year-old 13th-year pro slides in as a 1-for-1 Michael Pierce replacement after the former Raven retired in March. Although strictly a two-down player, Jenkins actually played a new career high 606 snaps for the Raiders last season. He probably won’t reach that total in Baltimore, but he should see plenty of work as a run-stopper.
49ers signed K Greg Joseph.
The 30-year-old journeyman spent time with each of the Giants, Commanders and Jets last season. He’ll serve as a veteran, in-house option should third-year pro Jake Moody look shaky this summer after an underwhelming 2024.
49ers signed Brock Purdy to a five-year, $265 million contract extension.
Per NFL Network’s Tom Pelissero, Purdy gets $181 million in total guarantees with $165.1 million in the first three new years. He is now under contract through 2030. The 2022 Mr. Irrelevant flashed in a handful of starts as a rookie and immediately proved to be Kyle Shanahan’s next efficiency phenom in 2023 with 4,280 yards and 31 scores. Purdy’s numbers fell in 2024, but he did enough to keep the offense on the tracks despite a rash of injuries, even if the 49ers lumbered to a 6-11 record. Purdy managed 3,864 yards and 20 scores in 15 games and showed an improved ability to work out of structure and under pressure. Though he may not have a truly elite ceiling, Purdy is beginning to beat the system quarterback allegations after just two seasons as the full-time starter. With the league’s easiest schedule on tap for 2025, expect a rebound from Purdy and the entire team this year.
Jets released K Greg Zuerlein.
Defensive end Michael Fletcher was signed in a corresponding move. Zuerlein has kicked for the Jets since 2022. He suffered a knee injury last year and briefly returned before being placed back on injured reserve. Zuerlein appeared in eight games and went a dreadful 9-of-15 on his field goal tries. The 60 percent hit rate was by far the worst of his career. Now 37 years old, it wouldn’t be surprising to see Legatron hang up the cleats for good after being released. If he wants to keep kicking, another team will be more than willing to at least give him a camp battle to win.
ESPN’s Adam Schefter said his guess is that the NFL will ban the tush push during next week’s owners’ meeting.
Schefter didn’t cite any sources directly but reiterated the point later in the latest episode of The Adam Schefter Podcast, saying he “wouldn’t be surprised” if the owners voted to outlaw the play. Losing the free touchdown play would undoubtedly hurt Philly’s offense and Jalen Hurts’ fantasy outlook, but it’s hard to imagine a team with Hurts, an elite offensive line, and Saquon Barkley not finding other ways to get in the end zone from a yard out. If the tush push is banned, it would likely just shuffle some of Hurts’ touchdowns to Barkley. Other teams including the Bills have experimented with similar plays, but no one has found as much success as the Eagles. The owners will also be voting on a change to the playoff seeding rules. The proposed change would seed teams based purely on their record instead of each division winner earning a top-four seed. While that may be a more logical way to do things, it’s certainly less fun.
Steelers beat writer Nick Farabaugh reports the team has called the Saints about a possible trade for Chris Olave.
According to Farabaugh, one source described the Steelers’ inquiry as “a due diligence call” while adding that a trade “doesn’t seem likely to happen” at this time. The Steelers trade George Pickens to the Cowboys just over a week ago, and are now looking at DK Metcalf, Roman Wilson, and Calvin Austin as their top options in three receiver sets. Of those three, Metcalf is the only receiver with notable NFL success, while Wilson effectively redshirted his rookie season due to injuries. Olave caught 32 passes for 400 yards and one touchdown for the Saints last season, but missed nine games due to multiple concussions he suffered. The four-year receiver posted back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons during his first two years in the league, and would provide an immediate upgrade to an underwhelming Steelers receiving corps. Farabaugh reports that in addition to a trade being unlikely, that the Saints do “not seem interested in trading Olave” at this time. The Saints picked up Olave’s fifth-year option last month, and will likely look to extend him in the not too distant future.