Raiders vs. Dolphins Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 11, Sunday 11/17
The final win of the Week 10 slate came by the hands of the Miami Dolphins, who took down the Rams in Los Angeles. Now, they had all the back to the east coast to host another team out west in the Las Vegas Raiders. It may be a matchup of teams with losing records, but we’ve still got a best bet from our Raiders vs. Dolphins predictions for you!
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Raiders vs. Dolphins Predictions For NFL Week 11, Sunday 11/17
As mentioned, Miami was able to secure the most recent win before Thursday Night Football last night, which may prove to be a season-saver. While they still sit in a rough spot at 3-6, their postseason hopes aren’t completely out the window.
It’s also at least a step better than the 2-7 Raiders, so this game is essentially the hammer to the nail in their coffin. As for the matchup overall, we’re predicting one that isn’t what we got accustomed to from the Dolphins last year. In other words, we anticipate that explosive plays will be few and far between.
The Raiders vs. Dolphins odds have Miami as heavy home favorites, but rather than focusing on a significant point spread, we’ve found a different but related approach for our Raiders vs. Dolphins picks.
Las Vegas Raiders: Surging The Second Half
You may have noticed that the records we noted for each team above totaled just nine games despite us being in Week 11. Of course, that means bye weeks have been had, and Las Vegas just had theirs in Week 10.
The last time we saw them on the field, they fell by 17 points to the Cincinnati Bengals, which made it five straight losses. So, it’s going to be difficult for them to have much momentum heading into this matchup. It also doesn’t help that teams are just 3-8 coming off a bye this season.
Miami Dolphins: Making A Run
To expand on what we noted before, Miami’s biggest storyline thanks to their MNF win over the Rams needs to kickstart a massive run. A record of 3-6 keeps them alive, but they are still far from an actual playoff spot.
We finally saw superstar WR Tyreek Hill find the endzone, but at this point, their eyes need to be set on the AFC Wild Card rather than the AFC East with the Buffalo Bills sitting atop it with an 8-2 record. Following this game is a matchup with the 3-7 New England Patriots, so 5-6 for the Dolphins will feel far better than many thought when they were at 2-6.
Raiders vs. Dolphins Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
We noted that Miami was a significant home favorite, and you can see the latest Raiders vs. Dolphins odds at DraftKings Sportsbook below:
- Point Spread: Las Vegas Raiders +7 (-105) vs. Miami Dolphins -7 (-115)
- Money Line: Las Vegas Raiders (+280) vs. Miami Dolphins (-355)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 44 (-110) vs. Under 44 (-110)
Raiders vs. Dolphins Teaser: Miami -1 & Under 50 Points (-120 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
Something else we noted was that we found a way to find better value with our Raiders vs. Dolphins predictions rather than needing to sweat out a pick on the heavy home favorite. That’s because we indeed expect them to win the game, but a backdoor cover may be in play.
Therefore, we’re going to create a six-point teaser bringing down the point spread to 1.5 points and total up to 50.5 points to take the under. So, to be clear, that means that both of these Raiders vs. Dolphins picks need to be successful for the teaser to be successful.
We are confident in both legs, as our projections have Miami -11 and a total of 44 points. So, taking the Dolphins on the normal point spread if you wish, but with how their offense has slowed down since last season, we’d prefer the teaser approach.
The Dolphins just won the aforementioned MNF game by a final of 23-15, and that was with QB Tua Tagovailoa nice and healthy. While it’s difficult to reference their offensive numbers when he was injured, we can absolutely consider how great their defense was playing.
Miami allowed just 10 and 16 points in back-to-back games, and the Raiders offense does little to instill fear in us taking this approach. They’ve scored more than 20 points just once in the past six weeks, so with all of the above in mind, the top picks from our Raiders vs. Dolphins predictions are Miami -1.5 & under 50.5 points (-120 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
Raiders vs. Dolphins Injury Report & Latest News
Tua has returned from his injury and Hill was able to play despite being added to last week’s injury report on Friday. With the Raiders coming off the bye, they have had the extra week to get healthy as well, so injury news is few and far between for this matchup. Even still, always be sure to monitor the NFL injury report provided by Fantasy Alarm.
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