Patriots vs. Dolphins Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 12, Sunday 11/24
One of the several divisional rivalries this weekend will be down in South Beach this Sunday with the Miami Dolphins hosting the New England Patriots. It’s their second meeting of the season, and as both teams try to earn just their fourth win of the year, we’ve provided the best bet from our Patriots vs. Dolphins predictions and more.
In terms of more, we have a brand new $150 DraftKings Sportsbook welcome bonus for you to claim using anything, Patriots vs. Dolphins picks or otherwise!
Patriots vs. Dolphins Predictions For NFL Week 12, Sunday 11/24
With New England coming off quite a rough home loss and Miami having just won back-to-back games, seeing the Patriots vs. Dolphins odds having the home team as such heavy favorites is no shock. We certainly agree with the oddsmakers in that sense, especially given how these teams match up.
We’ll get more into numbers during the best bet from our Patriots vs. Dolphins predictions, but overall, New England’s pass defense was just torched by the Los Angeles Rams. If there is ever a perfect team to replicate that, it’s Miami. So, while we expect them to win the game overall, our favorite market is more specific than the overall point spread.
New England Patriots: Finding An Identity
Since the end of the Tom Brady days, even Pats fans would admit that expectations in Foxboro have diminished. However, while they’ve needed to begin a new era, they have at least been able to hang their hat on the fact that their defense was still quite feared.
That has since changed, even with a former linebacker in Jerod Mayo taking over as head coach. Not only were they just lit up by the Rams through the air this past Sunday, but they are also allowing over 128 rushing yards per game. That’s not good news when facing a Miami team with plenty of weapons that are also seemingly getting healthier.
Miami Dolphins: Time For A Playoff Run
Despite Miami actually only having one more win than the Pats, they are actually on the other end of the spectrum. Make no doubt - it’s going to take a great home stretch run, but the Dolphins can absolutely keep their playoff hopes alive.
A win here with two games left against a New York Jets team that just fired their general manager and a mediocre-at-best Cleveland Browns squad could help them earn an AFC Wild Card spot. They’ve already beaten New England on the road earlier this year, so confidence should certainly be high.
Patriots vs. Dolphins Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
The latest Patriots vs. Dolphins odds at DraftKings Sportsbook below are just about what our projections have as well, which is why we’ll be focusing on a more specific market for our best bet in just a moment:
- Point Spread: New England Patriots +7 (-112) vs. Miami Dolphins -7 (-108)
- Money Line: New England Patriots (+285) vs. Miami Dolphins (-360)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 46.5 (-110) vs. Under 46.5 (-110)
Patriots vs. Dolphins Best Bet: Miami First Half -4.5 Point Spread (-102 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
Before we dive into our favorite approach, we’d also suggest using our Patriots vs. Dolphins predictions in a teaser with another team that you are confident in this weekend. Getting Miami -1 could be a strong play rather than worrying about a backdoor cover like how we saw New England end last Sunday within one possession.
That said, the focus of our Patriots vs. Dolphins predictions is the first half of this game. Now that Miami has hit the ground running with two straight wins under a healthy QB Tua Tagovailoa, we expect a strong start to this AFC East rivalry. Not only that, but their win over the Pats earlier this season was with Tua out of the lineup!
They held New England to just 10 points and now get to host them after seeing them get torched through the air. Specifically, it was explosive plays by the Rams, and with guys like WRs Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle paired with RB DeVon Achane, Miami can certainly replicate that success.
Furthermore, the Pats have been abysmal in the first half of games. That may actually be putting it lightly - their 3-8 record against the spread in the first half is the absolute worst in the NFL. Look for Miami head coach Mike McDaniels to scheme like Rams head coach Sean McVay for this matchup, as the two coached together in Washington for three years.
Along with the trajectory of these teams, we love Miami -4.5 in the first half (+102 at DraftKings Sportsbook) as the best bet from our Patriots vs. Dolphins predictions.
Patriots vs. Dolphins Injury Report & Latest News
One of the biggest questions this year was, when will Tua Tagovailoa play again? That has since been answered, and we saw Hill healthy enough to go off last Sunday despite a wrist injury. Keep track of all the latest injury news with Fantasy Alarm’s NFL injury report here.
How To Bet On Patriots vs. Dolphins at DraftKings Sportsbook & Claim Your $200 Bonus
Last but certainly not least, there is a location-specific DraftKings sign up bonus that we have for you, which Pats fans in Massachusetts will certainly love. Here is how to get started:
- Sign up here for a new DK account
- Make an initial deposit of $5 or more
- Wager at least $5 on any sporting event
Then, fans in AZ, CO, IL, IN, MA, NC, OH, PA and WY will receive $150 in bonus bets no matter the outcome of that qualifying bet! As for fans in DC, IA, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, TN, VA and VT, they’ll receive $150 in bonus bets as long as it wins, but you can target anything, such as a huge favorite like Miami!
There’s also no DraftKings promo code needed for any location, so you can use this link to get started in plenty of time to use our Patriots vs. Dolphins predictions!