Buccaneers vs. Falcons Predictions, Picks & Odds: Thursday Night Football, 10/3
NFL fans have gotten to enjoy division rivalries on Thursday Night Football this season, and that continues for Week 5 as well! This time, it’s an NFC South rivalry with the Atlanta Falcons hosting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and we’ve broken down the matchup so that we could provide you with our best Buccaneers vs. Falcons predictions.
Upon going through the best bet from our Buccaneers vs. Falcons picks, we’ll also be sharing a huge $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook sign up bonus with you!
Buccaneers vs. Falcons Predictions For Thursday Night Football, NFL Week 5
As always, divisional rivalries can always be more difficult to predict. Case in point was the Cowboys vs. Giants matchup in the most recent Thursday Night Football game. Despite New York being considered among the worst teams in the NFL, they had a chance to pull off the upset until the final drive.
Now, we have a Buccaneers vs. Falcons matchup with a tight point spread and relatively low total. Both teams are coming off wins, but they were in far different styles. Tampa was able to torch the Philadelphia Eagles, while Atlanta needed a last-second field goal to win a different NFC South rivalry against the New Orleans Saints.
Thursday’s clash could go a long way in determining the division winner, so let’s discuss each team so that we can get into the best bet from our Buccaneers vs. Falcons predictions.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Bouncing Back From Their Lone Loss
As mentioned, the Bucs were arguably the most dominant team this past Sunday, smacking the Eagles right from the opening kickoff in a 33-16 win. It was even more of a landslide than the final score would suggest, and it was even more meaningful than that.
It was a playoff rematch from last season that Tampa easily won 32-9 as well, and it was also coming off their only loss so far this season. It was a home loss to the Denver Broncos in which they scored just seven points, and following the devastating hurricane in the area, it was an even more special bounce back win for the Bucs.
Atlanta Falcons: Finding A Way
Finding a way is the perfect phrase to describe the Falcons this year, but in both directions. They found a way to let the Kansas City Chiefs hang on for the win two weeks ago, but this past Sunday, they found a way to set up kicker Younghoe Koo for a game-winning field goal.
In fact, we can go back even a bit further with their Week 2 win, which was a tight 22-21 victory over the same Eagles that the Bucs recently defeated. Having a common opponent this early in the season also helps when making Buccaneers vs. Falcons predictions, and we’ve got our best bet for you.
Buccaneers vs. Falcons Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
Quickly, before diving into our favorite way to approach this TNF matchup, here are the latest Buccaneers vs. Falcons odds:
- Point Spread: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2 (-110) vs. Atlanta Falcons +2 (-110)
- Money Line: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-205) vs. Atlanta Falcons (-130)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 43.5 (-110) vs. Under 43.5 (-110)
Buccaneers vs. Falcons Predictions: Atlanta Money Line (-130 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
As you can see in the Buccaneers vs. Falcons odds above, oddsmakers are anticipating a tight matchup. As for the total, primetime unders have always been a rather safe bet, so we wouldn’t fault you for adding that to your Buccaneers vs. Falcons picks as well.
Having said all that, we’re going to focus on what we consider to be great value with Atlanta’s money line. Thanks to BetMGM, we’re getting a great price here, and it’s also worth noting that the spread is nearing three points at other sportsbooks.
Even with the better number in that regard as well, we’d still prefer to stick with the money line. As we’ve already shared, the Falcons have been in extremely tight games as it is. All four of their games this season have been decided by eight points or less, with two of them coming by just one or two-point margins.
Of course, there’s no doubt that the Bucs have impressed so far this season, but they’re far from perfect - hence the embarrassing Broncos loss. Similarly, they seem to struggle against the Falcons, going 1-3 against the spread in their last four matchups. It may be a bit of a sweat, but we’re still comfortable taking Atlanta’s money line (-130 at BetMGM Sportsbook) as the best bet from our Buccaneers vs. Falcons predictions.
Buccaneers vs. Falcons Injury Report & Latest News
Before locking in our Buccaneers vs. Falcons predictions or even making your own Buccaneers vs. Falcons picks, make sure you have the latest injury news following Monday’s practice:
TB Buccaneers:
- C Graham Barton (ankle) - LP
- LB SirVocea Dennis (shoulder) - DNP
- WR Mike Evans (knee/calf) - DNP
- DL Greg Gaines (ankle) - LP
- DL William Gholston (knee) - DNP
- T Luke Goedeke (concussion) - LP
- DL Logan Hall (foot) - LP
- WR Kameron Johnson (ankle) - LP
- DL Calijah Kancey (calf) - DNP
- TE Ko Kieft (ankle) - LP
- WR Jalen McMillan (hamstring) - DNP
- WR Trey Palmer (concussion) - DNP
- NT Vita Vea (knee) - LP
- S Antoine Winfield (foot) - DNP
- T Tristan Wirfs (knee) - LP
ATL Falcons:
- ILB Troy Andersen (knee) - DNP
- WR Ray-Ray McCloud (ankle) - LP
- T Kaleb McGary (knee) - LP
- RB Bijan Robinson (hamstring) - LP
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