We are already in the middle of NFL Week 15 DFS contests and, hopefully, you are both enjoying the Saturday games and cashing some GPP tournament lineups. But it's now time to get to work for the Sunday main slate as we can now, thankfully go back to playing our cash games as well. We have 10 games to play with, but keep in mind the need for some “late-game hammer.” and check out all the elite talent sitting there in those final three games of the slate. It reminds me of when my friend Al and I were at the King of the Beach DraftKings Live Final a few years ago and we, regretfully, made the decision to fade Derrick Henry in a late game and bulk up our points early. I don't remember how many yards or touchdowns Henry actually had, but they were both abundant and we were forced to watch ourselves drop down the leaderboard. We started the late-window winning $100,000 and finished the day winning one-tenth of that amount. Not that I'm thumbing my nose at 10-grand at all. I'm just making the point of how it feels to not have a share of the late-games and watch the rest of the field to catch up to you and even pass you by. I am reminded of this as Al is now in New Orleans at another live final and we've got Henry running against the Chargers at 4:25pm ET.

But I'm getting ahead of myself here. That's more for a conversation about lineup construction in the DFS Example Lineups. We need to get our player pool straight first and then worry about who from the late-window we want to lock into our lineups. We've got some really interesting match-ups this week, but I wanted to keep this field relatively narrow. When building your cash lineups, you should be doing it from just the NFL Week 15 DFS Playbook. The Dart Board should be for GPP only unless there's a late injury or change that opens up value. So when I was building this week's Playbook, I wanted to focus heavily on high-floor players. There are a few GPP guys in there, so pay attention to that as well. But let's lock down our cash plays first and then we'll have some GPP fun.

 

 

Now, before we get to the Playbook players, allow me to remind you what you should be doing leading up this step in your research.

Step 1: Check out the DFS Position Coaches

QB Coach – Jon Impemba (@jimpemba777)

RB Coach -- Justin Vreeland (@JustinVreeland)

WR Coach -- Colby Conway (@colbyrconway)

TE Coach -- Andrew Cooper (@CoopAFiasco)

D/ST Coach -- Dan Malin (@RealDANlanta)

Step 2: Check out the rest of the relevant DFS content

In addition to the positional coaching pieces, you also have things like the DFS Watch List, where I provide you with a list of players I am looking at throughout the week. We have the NFL DFS Podcast with me and Jon Impemba, who also does the Contrarian Corner video and check out the DFS Bargains from Tera Roberts (@ItsTeraTime).

 

Also, our Master of Tools, Matt Selz (@theselzman), supplies you data junkies with the Weekly Match-Up Report and everyone should also be checking out the WR/CB Match-Up Report from Ryan Hallam (@fightingchance).

Speaking of tools, we have also done some major enhancements with our NFL tools. We continue to crunch the numbers and tweak our algorithms so that our daily fantasy football projections are the best in the industry and that, in turn, has improved things like our Lineup Generator/DFS Optimizer, our DFS Compare tool and even our NFL DFS Ownership Projections. Again, all right here on one site for your convenience.

Step 3: Check the Weather

At this time of year, weather is going to play a very important factor, so always check the weather reports as they can help guide you through which players to use and which ones to avoid. Now, checking in on the NFL Weather Report is a helpful tool, but try not to overreact. Light rain can make the field slick but is unlikely to affect the passing game enough to completely discount quarterbacks and wide receivers. Your biggest concern should come when you see heavy rain/snow and winds blowing in excess of 20 mph. When they say there are 12-15 mph gusts, you can be a little wary of the kicking games and maybe some deep passing, but again, you don't want to totally overreact and you definitely want to check the weather right up until game-time when finalizing your lineups.

Some NFL Week 15 Weather Conditions to Watch:

PHI/CHI – Just really cold. Temperatures in the 20s with 10-15 mph winds. Shouldn't affect the game

Step 4: Make your own list of players

It's real easy to just sit and wait for the Playbook, but as you are doing your research throughout the week, it is important to make notes and list the players who interest you the most. Maybe they end up in the Playbook and maybe they don't. If they're there, then great, it should mean we are honing in on the same things that make him a strong play. If not, maybe you're onto something else that someone overlooked. We aren't perfect and if you uncover something different, maybe you're right. I would be careful of routine groupthink and hype from beat writers, but often times someone will tell me something they saw about their local team that I missed and I am always looking to investigate more if its there. If you do, then say something in our Fantasy Alarm Discord Chat, Talk it out and see what the rest of the #FAmily thinks. That's why the chat is there, isn't it?

With those four steps complete and discussions are in progress, you are ready to look at the Playbook players, make comparisons and finalize your list for lineups, so let's get to it.

 

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