NFL DFS Week 14 Playbook: Top DraftKings Picks & Top FanDuel Picks
Published: Dec 11, 2022
Everyone ready for NFL Week 14 DFS? The crew here at Fantasy Alarm is and we're pretty excited about what this week's Sunday DFS main slate has to offer. Now, there are certainly a few bumps in the road for us as six teams are on a bye which leaves us with just 10 games from which to choose. On top of a diminished player pool, we are also dealing with a number of NFL injuries which will require our attention. Will Travis Homer be the DFS bargain running back we need? The Seattle Seahawks are making it difficult on us as they have both Kenneth Walker and DeeJay Dallas listed as questionable for a 4:25pm ET game. I get making DK Metcalf questionable with his hip issue, but neither Walker nor Dallas have practiced at all this week.
We'll be sifting through all the value at all the positions with a very watchful eye as we start to look towards roster construction. Last week, which seems to be the growing trend in recent weeks, we should have paid down at running back and up for wide receivers in cash games. We did that for our GPP tournament lineups and cashed, but not to the level we had hoped to see. This week, we are making sure that we are leaving no stones unturned. That's why we're watching Seattle so closely, as well as situations like Saquon Barkley's neck and the Houston Texans' wide receiver corps, but I'll leave that for the NFL Week 14 DFS Dart Board.
Oh yeah, we also have some rain in the forecast in a few spots, so make sure you are checking in on the latest NFL Week 14 weather reports, but I'm getting ahead of myself. Weather is covered below. I'm just really excited about this slate and some of our NFL Week 14 DFS Playbook options, so let's just get to it.
Now, before we get to the Playbook players, allow me to remind you what you should be doing leading up this step in your research.
Step 1: Check out the DFS Position Coaches
QB Coach – Jon Impemba (@jimpemba777)
RB Coach -- Justin Vreeland (@JustinVreeland)
WR Coach -- Colby Conway (@colbyrconway)
TE Coach -- Andrew Cooper (@CoopAFiasco)
D/ST Coach -- Dan Malin (@RealDANlanta)
Step 2: Check out the rest of the relevant DFS content
In addition to the positional coaching pieces, you also have things like the DFS Watch List, where I provide you with a list of players I am looking at throughout the week. We have the NFL DFS Podcast with me and Jon Impemba, who also does the Contrarian Corner video and check out the DFS Bargains from Tera Roberts (@ItsTeraTime)
Also, our Master of Tools, Matt Selz (@theselzman), supplies you data junkies with the Weekly Match-Up Report and everyone should also be checking out the WR/CB Match-Up Report from Ryan Hallam (@fightingchance).
Speaking of tools, we have also done some major enhancements with our NFL tools. We continue to crunch the numbers and tweak our algorithms so that our daily fantasy football projections are the best in the industry and that, in turn, has improved things like our Lineup Generator/DFS Optimizer, our DFS Compare tool and even our NFL DFS Ownership Projections. Again, all right here on one site for your convenience.
Step 3: Check the Weather
At this time of year, weather is going to play a very important factor, so always check the weather reports as they can help guide you through which players to use and which ones to avoid. Now, checking in on the NFL Weather Report is a helpful tool, but try not to overreact. Light rain can make the field slick but is unlikely to affect the passing game enough to completely discount quarterbacks and wide receivers. Your biggest concern should come when you see heavy rain/snow and winds blowing in excess of 20 mph. When they say there are 12-15 mph gusts, you can be a little wary of the kicking games and maybe some deep passing, but again, you don't want to totally overreact and you definitely want to check the weather right up until game-time when finalizing your lineups.
Some NFL Week 14 Weather Conditions to Watch:
NYJ/BUF – Expecting some rain and snow but winds are only 10-12 mph
BAL/PIT – Chance of showers
PHI/NYG – rain expected but late in the afternoon
TB/SF – rain showers expected
Step 4: Make your own list of players
It's real easy to just sit and wait for the Playbook, but as you are doing your research throughout the week, it is important to make notes and list the players who interest you the most. Maybe they end up in the Playbook and maybe they don't. If they're there, then great, it should mean we are honing in on the same things that make him a strong play. If not, maybe you're onto something else that someone overlooked. We aren't perfect and if you uncover something different, maybe you're right. I would be careful of routine groupthink and hype from beat writers, but often times someone will tell me something they saw about their local team that I missed and I am always looking to investigate more if its there. If you do, then say something in our Fantasy Alarm Discord Chat, Talk it out and see what the rest of the #FAmily thinks. That's why the chat is there, isn't it?
With those three steps complete and discussions are in progress, you are ready to look at the Playbook players, make comparisons and finalize your list for lineups, so let's get to it.
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