Super Bowl 58 Over/Under Predictions & Game Total Pick
Of the many Super Bowl betting markets available every year, the over/under always seems to be a hot commodity. We’ve seen Super Bowl results in which the total number of points added up to just 16, and we’ve also witnessed both teams combining for 75 total points.
Needless to say, this can be one of the tougher betting markets to decipher. The staff here at Fantasy Alarm has dug through the numbers to make their Super Bowl over/under predictions. We’ve listed all of our individual Super Bowl over/under picks, plus the betting pick we’re leaning towards overall.
Making lots of Super Bowl bets? You can also check out our Super Bowl picks against the spread along with our prediction for the Super Bowl 58 outright winner.
Super Bowl 58 Over/Under Odds & Game Total
At FanDuel Sportsbook, the Super Bowl 58 over/under is currently set at 47.5, with -110 odds towards both sides of the game total. For you beginners out there, that means a $110 wager would profit $100 on a successful pick depending on whether the Super Bowl over or under hits.
It’ll be interesting to see how this one plays out. Chiefs games have been relatively low scoring this postseason, but 49ers contests have contained fireworks en route to two high-scoring affairs.
Without further ado, here are the Fantasy Alarm’s staff 2024 Super Bowl over/under predictions.
Super Bowl 58 Over/Under Prediction & Betting Pick
If the 47.5 game total seems low to you, that’s because it is. There hasn’t been a Super Bowl with a lower over/under since Super Bowl 50, which pitted the Broncos against the Panthers.
It makes sense for this year’s matchup, though. Both defensive units rank inside the NFL’s top 10 as it pertains to DVOA, and both match up rather well against the pass.
For the Chiefs, when the game total has been set at 47.5 or lower this season (playoffs included), the Under hit in 9 of 14 contests. Under those same parameters, the 49ers hit the under in 6 of 15 contests.
No matter what the over/under has been set at, Kansas City has hit the UNDER at a 14-6 rate, while San Francisco has hit the OVER at a 10-8-1 clip.
Just as they were with their Super Bowl picks against the spread and outright winner, our analysts were mostly all on the same page with their over/under predictions.
Eighteen total staff members casted their Super Bowl over/under picks.Thirteen of our experts sided with the under, while just 5 chose the over.
With the under being 5-1 over Kansas City’s last 6 games, and defense usually reigning supreme in championship games, we’ll put our stamp of approval on our aggregate staff prediction taking the UNDER for Super Bowl 58.
Super Bowl 58 Over/Under Pick: Under 47.5
Super Bowl Over/Under Predictions: All Staff Picks
Of our four leading NFL analysts on staff, 3 of them landed on the under: Howard Bender, Jim Bowden and Jon Impempa. Andrew Cooper was the lone NFL analyst rolling with the over.
You can see our full staff list of Super Bowl over/under picks below:
- Howard Bender: Under
- Jim Bowden: Under
- Jon Impemba: Under
- James Grande: Under
- Andrew Cooper: Over
- Dan Malin: Under
- Matt Selz: Under
- Colby Conway: Under
- Iggy Gilbert: Over
- Joe Gallina: Over
- Ryan Kirksey: Under
- Ray Kuhn: Over
- Josh Wagner: Under
- Kevin Tompkins: Under
- JB Barry: Under
- Mike Iannone: Under
- Chris Morais: Under
- Andrew Phelps: Under
Super Bowl Over/Under History At-A-Glance
It’s tough making any Super Bowl over/under 2024 predictions just based on the history of the market alone. The over has a 29-28 mark in the Super Bowl. It is worth noting though that in the last 5 played, the under was the result in 4 of them.
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Player News
49ers released S George Odum.
The veteran safety primarily contributed to special teams but notched 14 tackles, 5 passes defensed, and one interception in 40 games with the 49ers over the previous three seasons. Odum has started only 10 games during his seven-year NFL career, mostly playing as a package player in the secondary in addition to his special teams contributions. He could catch on quickly with another franchise considering his abilities on special teams, highlighted by an All-Pro designation following the 2020 season.
Saints signed DE Jonathan Bullard, formerly of the Vikings.
Bullard reunites with defensive coordinator Brandon Staley after playing under him for two years in Chicago, bringing a level of familiarity to a defense undergoing numerous changes this offseason. Expect Bullard to mix into early-down packages after performing well against the run over his previous three seasons in Minnesota, potentially hitting the sidelines in clear passing situations.
Bengals placed TE Erick All on the Active/Physically Unable to Perform list.
This was the expected outcome after All suffered from complications arising from a previous surgery in college. That left the second-year tight end looking at two offseason surgeries instead of one after suffering a torn ACL in Week 9 of his rookie year. Expect Mike Gesicki to serve as the primary pass-catching tight end for the Bengals in the coming season, a role that is likely to yield a handful of spike weeks considering the general lack of options behind Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins.
Saints signed QB Tyler Shough to a four-year, $10.795 million contract.
The fully guaranteed contract includes annual roster bonus structure, meaning Shough would receiver the bulk of his yearly compensation each year during the first week of training camp. At pick No. 40, Shough now becomes the latest draft pick to receive a fully guaranteed contract and also the only pick from the 2025 class to receiver the annual roster bonus. While reports out of New Orleans continue to indicate a legitimate battle for the starting job under center heading into the new season, this contract seems to suggest the team is investing heavily in Shough as their quarterback of the future. Wether or not we see the Saints take a muted approach to the 2025 season to better set themselves up for an impending rebuild remains to be seen, but the collective fantasy community should surely view this as a plus for Shough’s chances of starting the regular season under center for the Saints.
NFL Network’s Cameron Wolfe said the Jaguars think Travis Hunter “can impact the game a little bit more as a wide receiver” than he can as a cornerback.
Wolfe also critically said that “there is a belief” that Hunter will play both offense and defense in Week 1. The team views Hunter as a “more natural cornerback,” so they intend to “catch him up on receiver reps” in training camp. Hunter is best viewed as a high-upside flex option at this time, given the unknowns regarding his snap counts.
NFL Network’s Judy Battista reports that the Browns gave Dillon Gabriel more work than they had planned to during spring practices after being impressed by his processing speed.
Battista notes that processing speed and decision-making are the Browns’ preferred traits in a starting quarterback. Per the report, Joe Flacco remains the favorite to start in Week 1, but Gabriel seems to have pulled ahead of Shedeur Sanders, whose off-field decision-making has left a lot to be desired.