Super Bowl 58 Over/Under Predictions & Game Total Pick
Of the many Super Bowl betting markets available every year, the over/under always seems to be a hot commodity. We’ve seen Super Bowl results in which the total number of points added up to just 16, and we’ve also witnessed both teams combining for 75 total points.
Needless to say, this can be one of the tougher betting markets to decipher. The staff here at Fantasy Alarm has dug through the numbers to make their Super Bowl over/under predictions. We’ve listed all of our individual Super Bowl over/under picks, plus the betting pick we’re leaning towards overall.
Making lots of Super Bowl bets? You can also check out our Super Bowl picks against the spread along with our prediction for the Super Bowl 58 outright winner.
Super Bowl 58 Over/Under Odds & Game Total
At FanDuel Sportsbook, the Super Bowl 58 over/under is currently set at 47.5, with -110 odds towards both sides of the game total. For you beginners out there, that means a $110 wager would profit $100 on a successful pick depending on whether the Super Bowl over or under hits.
It’ll be interesting to see how this one plays out. Chiefs games have been relatively low scoring this postseason, but 49ers contests have contained fireworks en route to two high-scoring affairs.
Without further ado, here are the Fantasy Alarm’s staff 2024 Super Bowl over/under predictions.
Super Bowl 58 Over/Under Prediction & Betting Pick
If the 47.5 game total seems low to you, that’s because it is. There hasn’t been a Super Bowl with a lower over/under since Super Bowl 50, which pitted the Broncos against the Panthers.
It makes sense for this year’s matchup, though. Both defensive units rank inside the NFL’s top 10 as it pertains to DVOA, and both match up rather well against the pass.
For the Chiefs, when the game total has been set at 47.5 or lower this season (playoffs included), the Under hit in 9 of 14 contests. Under those same parameters, the 49ers hit the under in 6 of 15 contests.
No matter what the over/under has been set at, Kansas City has hit the UNDER at a 14-6 rate, while San Francisco has hit the OVER at a 10-8-1 clip.
Just as they were with their Super Bowl picks against the spread and outright winner, our analysts were mostly all on the same page with their over/under predictions.
Eighteen total staff members casted their Super Bowl over/under picks.Thirteen of our experts sided with the under, while just 5 chose the over.
With the under being 5-1 over Kansas City’s last 6 games, and defense usually reigning supreme in championship games, we’ll put our stamp of approval on our aggregate staff prediction taking the UNDER for Super Bowl 58.
Super Bowl 58 Over/Under Pick: Under 47.5
Super Bowl Over/Under Predictions: All Staff Picks
Of our four leading NFL analysts on staff, 3 of them landed on the under: Howard Bender, Jim Bowden and Jon Impempa. Andrew Cooper was the lone NFL analyst rolling with the over.
You can see our full staff list of Super Bowl over/under picks below:
- Howard Bender: Under
- Jim Bowden: Under
- Jon Impemba: Under
- James Grande: Under
- Andrew Cooper: Over
- Dan Malin: Under
- Matt Selz: Under
- Colby Conway: Under
- Iggy Gilbert: Over
- Joe Gallina: Over
- Ryan Kirksey: Under
- Ray Kuhn: Over
- Josh Wagner: Under
- Kevin Tompkins: Under
- JB Barry: Under
- Mike Iannone: Under
- Chris Morais: Under
- Andrew Phelps: Under
Super Bowl Over/Under History At-A-Glance
It’s tough making any Super Bowl over/under 2024 predictions just based on the history of the market alone. The over has a 29-28 mark in the Super Bowl. It is worth noting though that in the last 5 played, the under was the result in 4 of them.
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Player News
ESPN’s Adam Schefter reports Packers met with WR Jayden Reed’s agent, Drew Rosenhaus, to clarify his status with the team.
The meeting comes after the Packers selected a wide receiver in the first round for the first time since 2002 in this year’s draft. ESPN’s Adam Schefter added that the team emphasized Reed’s status as the top option at wide receiver after the selection of Matthew Golden and Savion Williams. “Green Bay’s top receiver” means far less for fantasy than it does in other places around the league considering Reed led the team with just 62.6% of the team’s offensive snaps played in 2024.
Saints signed QB Hunter Dekkers.
Dekkers spent three seasons with the Cyclones of Iowa State before stepping away from football following an indictment surrounding charges related to sports gambling. He then played his final collegiate season at Iowa Western before being invited to Saints camp. Dekkers spent his redshirt season backing up Brock Purdy at Iowa State.
Seahawks signed No. 18 overall pick OG Grey Zabel to a four-year contract.
Per ESPN’s Adam Schefter, Zabel’s deal is worth a guaranteed $18.471 million. The former North Dakota State guard will be tasked with bolstering a Seahawks line that ranked 26th in PFF pass blocking grades and 24th in run blocking grades. The Seahawks didn’t do much to address their offensive line this offseason, with Zabel being the biggest addition to date. The FCS stud showed out at this year’s senior bowl, and brings high expectations into his rookie season after dominating at the college ranks.
Free agent WR Gabe Davis is visiting the 49ers on Monday.
It’s the first known interest we’ve seen of Davis, who was released by the Jaguars last week with a failed physical designation. The 49ers will likely be without Brandon Aiyuk to start the season, and the idea of adding another veteran to the room is appealing. Kyle Shanahan can turn a lot of football players into something fantasy-interesting, but Davis might be a step beyond even his schemes.
Falcons released WR Phillip Dorsett.
What was your favorite moment of Dorsett’s three-month run on a reserve/future contract with the Falcons? Was it when the signing was announced, or was it when the release happened? Dorsett will try to bounce to another team as wideout depth as he enters his age-32 season. He did not play NFL snaps last year and was only targeted three times by the Broncos in 2023.
Cowboys signed No. 149 overall pick RB Jaydon Blue to a four-year contract.
Blue’s deal is worth $4.627 million and includes a $427k signing bonus. The rookie joins one of the thinnest running back rooms in the league heading into this season and could have a realistic shot to earn a starting role as early as Week 1. While it’s unlikely Blue earns a significant workload that early, it seems highly unlikely that he’ll be held off by 28-year-old Miles Sanders and Javonte Williams, who hasn’t looked the same player since suffering a devastating knee injury in 2022, for the entirety of the 2025 season. Blue totaled 1,098 yards and 14 touchdowns last season at Texas while also catching 42 passes.