Of the many Super Bowl betting markets available every year, the over/under always seems to be a hot commodity. We’ve seen Super Bowl results in which the total number of points added up to just 16, and we’ve also witnessed both teams combining for 75 total points. 

Needless to say, this can be one of the tougher betting markets to decipher. The staff here at Fantasy Alarm has dug through the numbers to make their Super Bowl over/under predictions. We’ve listed all of our individual Super Bowl over/under picks, plus the betting pick we’re leaning towards overall.

Making lots of Super Bowl bets? You can also check out our Super Bowl picks against the spread along with our prediction for the Super Bowl 58 outright winner.

 

Super Bowl 58 Over/Under Odds & Game Total

At FanDuel Sportsbook, the Super Bowl 58 over/under is currently set at 47.5, with -110 odds towards both sides of the game total. For you beginners out there, that means a $110 wager would profit $100 on a successful pick depending on whether the Super Bowl over or under hits.

It’ll be interesting to see how this one plays out. Chiefs games have been relatively low scoring this postseason, but 49ers contests have contained fireworks en route to two high-scoring affairs. 

Without further ado, here are the Fantasy Alarm’s staff 2024 Super Bowl over/under predictions.

 

Super Bowl 58 Over/Under Prediction & Betting Pick

If the 47.5 game total seems low to you, that’s because it is. There hasn’t been a Super Bowl with a lower over/under since Super Bowl 50, which pitted the Broncos against the Panthers. 

It makes sense for this year’s matchup, though. Both defensive units rank inside the NFL’s top 10 as it pertains to DVOA, and both match up rather well against the pass.

For the Chiefs, when the game total has been set at 47.5 or lower this season (playoffs included), the Under hit in 9 of 14 contests. Under those same parameters, the 49ers hit the under in 6 of 15 contests.

No matter what the over/under has been set at, Kansas City has hit the UNDER at a 14-6 rate, while San Francisco has hit the OVER at a 10-8-1 clip.

Just as they were with their Super Bowl picks against the spread and outright winner, our analysts were mostly all on the same page with their over/under predictions.

Eighteen total staff members casted their Super Bowl over/under picks.Thirteen of our experts sided with the under, while just 5 chose the over.

With the under being 5-1 over Kansas City’s last 6 games, and defense usually reigning supreme in championship games, we’ll put our stamp of approval on our aggregate staff prediction taking the UNDER for Super Bowl 58.

Super Bowl 58 Over/Under Pick: Under 47.5

Super Bowl Over/Under Predictions: All Staff Picks

Of our four leading NFL analysts on staff, 3 of them landed on the under: Howard Bender, Jim Bowden and Jon Impempa. Andrew Cooper was the lone NFL analyst rolling with the over.

You can see our full staff list of Super Bowl over/under picks below:

  • Howard Bender: Under
  • Jim Bowden: Under
  • Jon Impemba: Under
  • James Grande: Under
  • Andrew Cooper: Over
  • Dan Malin: Under
  • Matt Selz: Under
  • Colby Conway: Under
  • Iggy Gilbert: Over
  • Joe Gallina: Over
  • Ryan Kirksey: Under
  • Ray Kuhn: Over
  • Josh Wagner: Under
  • Kevin Tompkins: Under
  • JB Barry: Under
  • Mike Iannone: Under
  • Chris Morais: Under
  • Andrew Phelps: Under

Super Bowl Over/Under History At-A-Glance

It’s tough making any Super Bowl over/under 2024 predictions just based on the history of the market alone. The over has a 29-28 mark in the Super Bowl. It is worth noting though that in the last 5 played, the under was the result in 4 of them. 

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