NFL Weeks 5 wraps up tonight with Jordan Love leading the Green Bay Packers into Sin City to take on Josh Jacobs and the Las Vegas Raiders on Monday Night Football. There us plenty of excitement surrounding this game, but you know all eyes are on the Davante Adams revenge-game. The Packers let Adams walk via free agency, opting to instead invest its money into youth and another year of Aaron Rodgers, but here we are more than a full season removed from his departure and the wounds are still open. This will be his first chance to exact revenge. Can Jimmy Garoppolo help him get the job done? And who are we investing in for our game bets and player props? Let’s get to it. 

 

 

NFL Monday Night Football Best Bets: Green Bay Packers vs Las Vegas Raiders

The Spread: Raiders -2.5

The key for me in this game is not found in the passing attack, but in the ground game. The Packers rank 26th in DVOA against the run, allowing 155.3 rushing yards per game (second-most in the NFL) and five rushing touchdowns on the season. The Raiders aren’t looking much better, ranking 22nd in DVOA against the run and allowing 134.3 rushing yards per game with four rushing touchdowns allowed on the season. Josh Jacobs has worked himself into mid-season form fairly quickly so we expect significant volume for him while the Packers are still wondering how much they can rely on Aaron Jones and if AJ Dillon is ever going to step up his game. Both passing attacks are fairly comparable so long as everyone is healthy, so the advantage is going to lean towards who runs the football better and controls the game. Enough money has come in on the Raiders to move this line from minus-2 to minus-2.5, so if you bet offshore and still want the Raiders, you’ll have to buy down that extra half-point. I’ll still take them here even without it. Pick: Raiders -2.5

The Total: 45.5

The under is 5-1 on Monday Night Football this season and given the fact that I expect the Raiders to control the ball with their rushing attack, I am certainly leaning in that direction. If the Packers do find success on the ground, it could help chew up the clock but it could also open up their passing attack as well. If they don’t run the football well, the Raiders could dominate in time of possession. This is a super-tough line at 45.5 and I could see this game going 24-21 or even 23-20, so we’ll let the trend be our friend for Monday night. Pick: Under 45.5

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**all lines & odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook