NFL Week 5 Best Bets: Green Bay Packers vs Las Vegas Raiders Picks for Monday Night Football
NFL Weeks 5 wraps up tonight with Jordan Love leading the Green Bay Packers into Sin City to take on Josh Jacobs and the Las Vegas Raiders on Monday Night Football. There us plenty of excitement surrounding this game, but you know all eyes are on the Davante Adams revenge-game. The Packers let Adams walk via free agency, opting to instead invest its money into youth and another year of Aaron Rodgers, but here we are more than a full season removed from his departure and the wounds are still open. This will be his first chance to exact revenge. Can Jimmy Garoppolo help him get the job done? And who are we investing in for our game bets and player props? Let’s get to it.
NFL Monday Night Football Best Bets: Green Bay Packers vs Las Vegas Raiders
The Spread: Raiders -2.5
The key for me in this game is not found in the passing attack, but in the ground game. The Packers rank 26th in DVOA against the run, allowing 155.3 rushing yards per game (second-most in the NFL) and five rushing touchdowns on the season. The Raiders aren’t looking much better, ranking 22nd in DVOA against the run and allowing 134.3 rushing yards per game with four rushing touchdowns allowed on the season. Josh Jacobs has worked himself into mid-season form fairly quickly so we expect significant volume for him while the Packers are still wondering how much they can rely on Aaron Jones and if AJ Dillon is ever going to step up his game. Both passing attacks are fairly comparable so long as everyone is healthy, so the advantage is going to lean towards who runs the football better and controls the game. Enough money has come in on the Raiders to move this line from minus-2 to minus-2.5, so if you bet offshore and still want the Raiders, you’ll have to buy down that extra half-point. I’ll still take them here even without it. Pick: Raiders -2.5
The Total: 45.5
The under is 5-1 on Monday Night Football this season and given the fact that I expect the Raiders to control the ball with their rushing attack, I am certainly leaning in that direction. If the Packers do find success on the ground, it could help chew up the clock but it could also open up their passing attack as well. If they don’t run the football well, the Raiders could dominate in time of possession. This is a super-tough line at 45.5 and I could see this game going 24-21 or even 23-20, so we’ll let the trend be our friend for Monday night. Pick: Under 45.5
Favorite Monday Night Football Player Props:
- Josh Jacobs over 72.5 rushing yards (-115)
- Quay Walker over 8.5 tackles + assists (-130)
- Romeo Doubs over 46.5 receiving yards (-110)
- Christian Watson Anytime TD (+175)
**all lines & odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Player News
Dolphins signed No. 13 overall pick DT Kenneth Grant to a four-year contract.
ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reports that Grant will sign his contract today. The former Michigan defensive tackle is expected to fill a major void left by Christian Wilkins, who left for the Raiders in the 2024 offseason. Grant totaled 32 tackles, three sacks, and seven TFLs in his final season at Michigan and excelled at stopping the run while also generating 27 pressures in his final season, per PFF.
Beat reporter John Hendrix reports that free agent WR Donovan Peoples-Jones is among the 16 players that the Saints will host for their rookie minicamp.
Peoples-Jones last played regular season snaps with the Lions back in 2023, when he caught 13-of-24 targets for 155 yards. He is highly unlikely to return to fantasy relevance at this point but could perhaps sign on as a special teams contributor.
Titans signed fourth-round pick WR Elic Ayomanor to a four-year contract.
Ayomanor will now begin learning behind Calvin Ridley. Although Ayomanor is unlikely to find a meaningful role in year one, dynasty managers should note his status as training camp gets underway this summer. The former Stanford receiver flashed big-play ability in his two college seasons.
Buccaneers signed seventh-round pick WR Tez Johnson to a four-year contract.
Johnson will serve as a rotational deep-threat option for Baker Mayfield. His thin frame (5'10/154) simply does not lend itself to the repeated hits one incurs in a full-time role. Johnson did earn 100-plus targets in his two seasons at Oregon, though. His big-play style make him a better fit in best ball for now, pending any major on-field breakthroughs.
Giants waived DT Casey Rogers.
Rogers was a 2024 undrafted free agent and logged 33 defensive snaps for the Giants in his rookie season. He is credited with zero tackles and/or sacks. He may find his way onto another roster as a practice squad option.
Vikings signed third-round pick WR Tai Felton to a four-year contract.
Felton is quietly in play to challenge Vikings No. 3 WR Jalen Nailor in training camp. Nailor (5'11/190) caught 28-of-42 targets for 414 yards and six touchdowns in his first season as a starter last year, with the latter category buoying his fantasy productivity. Felton (6'1/183), meanwhile, caught 96-of-143 targets for 1,119 yards and nine touchdowns while averaging 2.32 yards per route run in his final college season. Fantasy managers should monitor Felton’s training camp reports this summer, as he could have a matchup-based WR5 role if everything falls into place.