NFL Week 11 Best Bets: Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs Picks for Monday Night Football
NFL Week 11 Monday Night Football features one of the top games of the entire season. Not only do we get a rematch of Super Bowl 57, but we also get all the Taylor Swift drama we know everyone is craving. Or maybe it’s the fact that we get Travis Kelce and Jason Kelce, brothers by blood and co-hosts of the New Heights Podcast, squaring off here in the regular season. Whatever drama you prefer – romance, sibling rivalry or gridiron battles – this should be a hot one as Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles head into Arrowhead stadium to take on Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. Now the question is – how do you bet this extraordinary game? We’ll take a look at football picks against the spread, going over or under on the game total, best bets and, of course, our favorite player props for Monday Night Football. So, buckle up and let’s get going!
NFL Monday Night Football Best Bets: Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs
The Spread: Chiefs -2.5
This is probably one of the tougher games to pick against the spread as the Chiefs are 6-3 ATS on the season and 4-1 ATS both at home and over their last five overall. The Eagles are 5-2-2 ATS on the season and 3-1-1 ATS both on the road and over their last five games as well. It’s the irresistible force meeting the immovable object. So where do we go? The Chiefs beat the Eagles in the Super Bowl last year and covered the spread. Does that work? Probably not, and when you look at the match-ups – the Chiefs with a strong pass defense and mid-level run defense; the Eagles with a strong run defense and a mid-level pass defense – you’re not getting much help either. Traditionally, this would be a no-bet for me, but since we’re in the business of making picks, I will say that the coaching in Kansas City is superior and in a close game I’ll follow the current trends of favorites being 8-4 straight up and 6-4-2 against the spread.
Pick: Chiefs -2.5 (-115)
The Total: 45.5
The game total seems much less aggravating if you are looking for action on the game. The under is 11-1 on Monday Night Football and it is 25-8 in prime-time games, hitting 16 of the last 18 times. With both defenses having so much strength, the under being 4-1 at Arrowhead this season and the under going 3-2 in Eagles road games, we’ll simply let the trend be our friend this week.
Pick: Under 45.5 (-110)
Favorite Monday Night Football Player Props:
- Patrick Mahomes over 25.5 rushing yards (-115)
- Isiah Pacheco over 48.5 rushing yards (-120)
- D’Andre Swift over 57.5 rushing yards (-115)
- A.J. Brown under 80.5 receiving yards (-120)
- Travis Kelce Anytime TD (-115)
**all lines & odds courtesy of BetMGM
Player News
The Athletic’s Vic Tafur reports that Raiders co-owner “Tom Brady likes the idea of rookie quarterbacks sitting and soaking it all in” during the player’s rookie season.
Tafur also notes that after examining Geno Smith’s recent contract extension through 2027, “the Raiders have a clear out after 2026.” Smith’s team-friendly deal keeps the Raiders in play for a quarterback with the No. 6 overall pick, though fantasy managers may be forced to wait a year before drafting said player.
NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport said Derek Carr is “believed” to have suffered “a significant” injury in his throwing shoulder during the 2024 season.
The Saints listed the right-armed Carr with a left-hand injury late in Weeks 15-18 but made no mention of a throwing-shoulder issue. There seems to be more to this story. Carr has not yet decided whether he will undergo surgery but, regardless, it seems clear that the Saints must select a quarterback early in the 2025 NFL Draft at this point.
NBC Sports’ ProFootballTalk reports that “Titans cornerback L’Jarius Sneed is facing a lawsuit for at least $1 million after an incident in the parking lot of a car dealership December.
The individual suing Sneed reportedly alleges that either “Sneed or Sneed’s personal assistant shot at him while” parked at a car dealership. The individual’s lawyer also claims that there is video evidence to support the allegation. Other details are currently unknown. Sneed also rehabbing a quad injury suffered in-season last year.
The Athletic’s Dianna Russini reports that “the Saints have been preparing for the draft knowing about” Derek Carr’s recently disclosed shoulder injury.
Though news of the injury broke only today, it appears as though the Saints’ have known “about this recent shoulder issue” for some time. The Saints brain trust evidently sprung a leak, though, and now the rest of the QB-needy teams know that leapfrogging the Saints’ No. 9 overall pick may be required to secure a high-end prospect. Carr’s 2025 availability remains unknown.
Broncos signed S Sam Franklin Jr. to a one-year, $1.5 million contract.
The Broncos added former Saints interim head coach and long-time special team coach Darren Rizzi to their staff this offseason. He holds both the special teams coach and assistant head coach roles. Beat reporter Chris Tomasson reports that Rizzi is said to have “pushed” for Franklin’s signing this offseason, after watching Franklin dominate NFC South special teams play as a member of the Panthers. Franklin has totaled at least seven special teams tackles in each of the last four seasons.
Free agent EDGE Chris Rumph II worked out for the Broncos on Friday.
The former Chargers’ fourth-round pick has been unable to remain on-field over the last two seasons, suffering a season-ending foot injury in November 2023, followed by an undisclosed season-ending injury in August 2024. Rumph has flashed pass-rushing and tackling traits when available, posting a career-best 10.3 percent pass-rush win rate in nine 2023 games. He has 26 quarterback pressures, three sacks and 19 tackles to his name.