There’s nothing quite like the NFL Week 18 slate. Every game is as polarizing as ever, whether it be for a division title, playoff berth or simply completely irrelevant. Well, there’s always draft positioning. Either way, it means alternative approaches may be desired, which is why we’ve got our best NFL Week 18 player prop picks for you.

We’ll even take you through not only other NFL Week 18 player props being targeted this weekend, but also a monster $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook sign up offer!

 

 

 

Best NFL Week 18 Player Prop Picks

With how popular the NFL has always been and how popular sports betting has become, many fans are fully aware that gauging teams’ motivation in this final week of the season is pivotal. Similarly, NFL contract incentives are also important to monitor, as some players can make some big bucks for hitting certain benchmarks.

So, be sure to keep an eye out for our standalone article featuring those milestones, but truthfully, most of those were hit last week for this season specifically. Therefore, they aren’t the focus of our NFL Week 18 player prop picks. Instead, the theme for our two favorite plays is teams keeping their playoff dreams alive in the late afternoon window.

 

 

 

Chiefs vs. Broncos Player Props: Bo Nix Over 30.5 Pass Attempts (-120 at BetMGM Sportsbook)

More accurately, it’s two of three AFC teams fighting for the final spot up for grabs. If the Cincinnati Bengals lose tomorrow, then it will be down to just the Denver Broncos and Miami Dolphins, and we're starting our NFL Week 18 player prop picks with the former.

Normally a matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs is a nightmare scenario for trying to make the playoffs, but with them having clinched the #1 seed, they aren’t planning on playing anyone. We can be confident in saying that, as Denver is a huge 11-point favorite!

Of course, this game is more than just a division rivalry - a win and the Broncos secure the last AFC Wild Card spot, no matter what anyone else does. They’ve surprised just about the entire NFL world, and that is almost entirely thanks to rookie QB Bo Nix.

Not only was he not expected to hit the ground running in general, but the Broncos run game has done him absolutely zero favorites. Nix has led the team in rushing several times this season, and they hardly have a true starter with multiple RBs also leading the team in rushing some weeks.

All that has led to Nix having to throw often, and with the Chiefs having the NFL’s fourth-best run defense, we expect that to continue. Nix has averaged just a tick under 35 attempts per game since the end of October, and with RB injuries mounting as well, we love starting our NFL Week 18 player prop picks with Bo Nix over 30.5 pass attempts (-120 at BetMGM Sportsbook).

 

 

 

Dolphins vs. Jets Player Props: De’Von Achane Over 12.5 Carries (-120 at BetMGM Sportsbook)

To continue our NFL Week 18 player prop picks, we’re going with the synonymous market in the RB department. Much like Denver has RB injury concerns, Miami has the same with QB Tua Tagovailoa.

He missed last week’s game, and with the Dolphins needing to win this game while hoping that the Broncos lose, they’re going to need someone to step up in a big way. We expect them to rely on RB De’Von Achane, but truthfully, his yardage numbers simply haven’t been there. So, we’re going to trust only his carries.

A perfect example was just last week - he led the team in rushes, but backup QB Tyler Huntley led the team in rushing yards. Better yet, we saw a perfect example when he faced the Jets just a month ago. Despite getting 14 carries, Achane ran for just 24 yards!

Furthermore, even with the Jets having nothing to play for, their run defense has been stepping up. They were just beaten down 40-14 by the Buffalo Bills, but still allowed RB James Cook to rush for just 53 yards on 15 carries.

All this also means that you could consider under on rushing yards for Achane, but we’re avoiding that given his explosiveness with the low value. If you’d like to tail us, we’d recommend grabbing this before definitive Tua news is released, so let’s wrap it up - we’re adding to our NFL Week 18 player prop picks with De’Von Achane over 12.5 carries (-120 at BetMGM Sportsbook).

 

 

 

Sunday NFL Week 18 Player Prop Odds At BetMGM Sportsbook

As promised - other NFL Week 18 player props being targeted this weekend at BetMGM Sportsbook:

Passing Yards:

  • Bengals QB Joe Burrow: Over 284.5 (-115) vs. Under 284.5 (-115)
  • Falcons QB Michael Penix: Over 218.5 (-115) vs. Under 218.5 (-115)
  • Buccaneers QB Baker Mayfield: Over 255.5 (-115) vs. Under 255.5 (-115)

Rushing Yards:

  • Ravens RB Derrick Henry: Over 91.5 (-115) vs. Under 91.5 (-115)
  • Bears RB D’Andre Swift: Over 47.5 (-115) vs. Under 47.5 (-115)
  • Buccaneers RB Bucky Irving: Over 83.5 (-120) vs. Under 83.5 (-110)

Receiving Yards:

  • Bengals WR Ja'Marr Chase: Over 93.5 (-115) vs. Under 93.5 (-115)
  • Steelers WR George Pickens: Over 66.5 (-115) vs. Under 66.5 (-115)
  • Buccaneers WR Mike Evans: Over 97.5 (-125) vs. Under 97.5 (-105)

 

 

 

How To Bet On Sunday NFL Week 18 At BetMGM Sportsbook & Claim Your $1,500 Bonus With Promo Code ALARM

Don’t worry - we didn’t forget about the $1,500 BetMGM bonus we mentioned to go alongside our NFL Week 18 player prop picks. Here’s how it works:

  1. Register here for a new BetMGM account
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After that, it’s time to just sit back and relax, as something is guaranteed to be awarded to you. You’ll receive your winnings or a full refund in bonus bets if it doesn’t win! That’s all there is to it, so just be sure that the BetMGM promo code ALARM is filled in when signing up today!