NFL Super Bowl Best Player Prop Picks: Jalen Hurts, Patrick Mahomes Sunday, 2/9

The Super Bowl means all kinds of different things for different types of fans from the diehard Chiefs and Eagles fans to those who still just love the commercials and everything in between. No matter where you lie in that spectrum, it means all angles need to be covered, and that includes NFL Super Bowl player prop picks.
They can also be perfect with a matchup that is expected to go either way based on the odds, and we’ll be making any NFL Super Bowl player props even more valuable with a massive $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook sign up bonus!
Best NFL Super Bowl Player Prop Picks
When we say that Super Bowl 59 is expected to be a tight one, we’re talking a point spread of just 1.5 points. Along with the fact that when these teams met in Super Bowl 57, it was decided by just three points, it all adds up to a great opportunity to focus on NFL Super Bowl player prop picks instead.
After all, there are superstars all over the field from Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes looking to win three straight Super Bowl MVPs to Eagles RB Saquon Barkley looking to finish off one of the best seasons in league history. As for our NFL Super Bowl player prop picks, the theme is QBs, which means that the aforementioned Mahomes will be a part of our best bets.
Chiefs vs. Eagles Player Props: Jalen Hurts Anytime TD Scorer (-105 at BetMGM)
Before we dive into Mahomes, let’s kick off our NFL Super Bowl player prop picks with the other QB in this matchup. That, of course, is Eagles QB Jalen Hurts, who was deserving of the Super Bowl MVP in many fans’ eyes two seasons ago.
In that Super Bowl 57 matchup against the Chiefs, Hurts became the first player in NFL history to account for four touchdowns in a Super Bowl and lose. His three rushing touchdowns in the NFC Championship Game also tied a league record, so his ability to find the endzone with his legs continues to be unmatched.
With how polarizing the tush-push has become, even without former center Jason Kelce, we’re well aware of the fact that the first of our NFL Super Bowl player props isn’t the most outside-the-box pick, but with nearly even odds, it’s too good to pass up. It may feel like his rushing TD proficiency has to come to an end eventually, but until we see it, we’re in.
Furthermore, Hurts had the third-most rushes from inside the five-yard line this season, and that’s among all the RBs as well! If you’re worried about Barkley being in the mix, don’t be - he and Hurts become the first pair of teammates to each have three rushing touchdowns in a playoff game.
All that adds up to us kicking off our NFL Super Bowl player prop picks with Jalen Hurts to score an anytime touchdown (-105 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
Chiefs vs. Eagles Player Props: Patrick Mahomes Over 23.5 Completions (-115 at BetMGM)
Moving on to Mahomes brings us to a market that is more QB-focused, yet it’s still not one of the more conventional targets like passing yards or passing touchdowns. Mahomes also has the ability to make plays with his legs, but we’re still going to target him using his arm.
For this matchup, we’re predicting a more methodical approach rather than relying on explosive plays. We may see a few with the likes of WR Xavier Worthy, but overall, we’re expecting head coach Andy Reid to grind clock away with long drives using dink-and-dunk type passing plays.
That’s exactly how the Chiefs have gotten to this point, as this season, Mahomes recorded his shortest pass attempts in his career. On average, Mahomes’ pass attempts this year averaged just 6.8 yards, which we expect to continue given how little they’ve been able to rely on their rushing attack.
Even with RB Isiah Pacheco returning from injury and RB Kareem Hunt rejoining the team, the pair have extremely low rushing yard props, as neither is even at 50 yards. Where they can be effective is the screen game, something else Reid loves to dial up.
The Eagles have allowed their last two QB opponents to complete 26 and 29 passes, so we’ll be adding to our NFL Super Bowl player prop picks with Patrick Mahomes over 23.5 completions (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
NFL Championship Sunday Player Props Player Prop Odds At BetMGM Sportsbook
We referenced some other RB prop lines along with our Super Bowl player prop picks, and you can see several of the marquee NFL Super Bowl player props at BetMGM Sportsbook here:
Passing Yards:
- Patrick Mahomes: Over 251.5 (-115) vs. Under 251.5 (-115)
- Jalen Hurts: Over 212.5 (-115) vs. Under 212.5 (-115)
Rushing Yards:
- Kareem Hunt: Over 45.5 (-115) vs. Under 45.5 (-115)
- Saquon Barkley: Over 115.5 (-115) vs. Under 115.5 (-115)
Receiving Yards:
- Travis Kelce: Over 63.5 (-115) vs. Under 63.5 (-115)
- Xavier Worthy: Over 57.5 (-115) vs. Under 57.5 (-115)
- DeVonta Smith: Over 50.5 (-115) vs. Under 50.5 (-115)
- AJ Brown: Over 70.5 (-115) vs. Under 70.5 (-115)
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Player News
Ryan Ramczyk retired after eight seasons in the NFL.
Ramczyk served as a stalwart member of the Saints’ offensive line from 2017-2023, battling through deteriorating cartilage in his knee. He was sidelined by the issue for the full 2024 season. Ramczyk’s NFL accolades include a spot on the 2017 PFWA All-Rookie Team, two second-team All-Pro nods (2018 and 2020) and one first-team All-Pro (2019) spot.
NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport reports that Minnesota OT Aireontae Ersery is a player that “teams like a lot more than the media knows.”
Rapoport suggests that Ersery could make his way into the late first round, connecting him with the tackle-needy Chiefs. Ersery performed more consistently as a run-blocker than as a blindside pass protector over the last two seasons, but notably allowed just a 3.0 percent quarterback pressure rate last year, the 10th-lowest among Power Five left tackles with at least 400 pass-protection snaps.
Beat reporter Scott Bair reports that Bears DC Dennis Allen asked slot CB Kyler Gordon to learn a second position, either on the perimeter or at safety.
The Bears’ previous coaching staff spent two seasons trying this experiment before allowing Gordon to blossom in a full-time slot- and box-coverage role last season. Perhaps, Allen can succeed where others have failed. His intent is to “find some more playing time” for Gordon, which is understandable given Gordon’s significant on-field impact last year.
Bills signed CB Tre’Davious White, formerly of the Ravens, to a one-year, $6.8 million contract.
White, now 30 years old, returns to the team that drafted him in the 2017 NFL Draft’s first round. White was a force to be reckoned with early in his career, but a 2021 ACL tear and a 2023 Achilles tendon rupture have reduced his play quality. White will now compete for the Bills’ No. 2 perimeter role.
Bills waived TE Armani Rogers.
This is unfortunate. Rogers recently ruptured his Achilles tendon for the second time in three years. He showed promise as a 2022 rookie, earning a 65.3 PFF receiving grade and a 68.0 PFF run-blocking grade, but the injuries are taking their toll. The Bills also released DT Branson Deen.
Titans waived OT Nicholas Petit-Frere.
The team signed C Sam Mustipher and OT Oli Udoh in corresponding moves. Petit-Frere failed to meet expectations after the Titans spent a third-round pick on him in 2022, allowing 35-plus quarterback pressures in 2-of-3 NFL seasons.