Tyler Herro Underdog NBA Picks Today, 4/16: Basketball Projections + More

On Wednesday, April 16th, we have a massive opportunity to secure a nice winning day with our Underdog Fantasy NBA Picks and NBA DFS projections as the NBA play-in tournament continues on with the second day of the tourney. We have two games across the association so let’s dive in.
Looking for an edge today, we look at the NBA DFS projections for Tyler Herro of the Miami Heat and Keon Ellis of the Sacramento Kings.
Best Underdog Fantasy NBA Picks, Wednesday, 4/16: NBA DFS Projections
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Tyler Herro NBA Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher Than 41.65 Fantasy Points
This is an elite spot for Tyler Herro, and we know he’s going to play massive minutes. The Bulls played at the fastest pace in the league in the second half of the year and that benefits Herro and maximizes his offensive possessions.
We saw a game between the two teams the other day, three games prior to the end of the year, and Herro dropped 30 actual points and fell just short of this number but played 35 minutes and there is 40 minutes upside here. The Bulls have lost their best perimeter defenders this year in Lonzo Ball and Ayo Dosunmu and they’re going to have trouble guarding Herro.
Keon Ellis NBA Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher Than 14.5 Pts+Rebs+Asts
With Malik Monk and Jake LaRavia out, the Kings are going to shorten their rotation, and we just simply need Keon Ellis to stay out of foul trouble to smash this number.
He could potentially play 40 minutes here because they’ll prefer the experience to Devin Carter as he’s just a rookie. Over his last five games, Keon Ellis has averaged 34.6 minutes per game and twice topped 37.
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Looking for more NBA picks and strategy? From props to playoff insights, we’ve got you covered.
- NBA DFS Picks, 4/16
- Heat vs. Bulls Predictions Today, 4/16
- Mavericks vs. Kings Predictions Today, 4/16
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Player News
Buddy Hield had 15 points (5-of-14 FGs), three rebounds, one assist, one steal and four three-pointers against the Timberwolves in Game 2 on Thursday.
Hield moved into the Warriors’ starting lineup in the first round and the team became somewhat reliant on his scoring. With Stephen Curry (hamstring) out in Game 2, Hield started and played 29 minutes. The 32-year-old shooting guard led the Warriors in field goal attempts, though no one in a Golden State uniform was able to reach 20 points. The Warriors weren’t able to overcome a double-digit first half deficit. Despite the four made three-pointers, they’re going to need more from Hield as the series shifts to Golden State, especially if Curry remains out.
Jimmy Butler had 17 points (6-of-13 FGs), seven rebounds, four assists, one steal and two three-pointers against the Timberwolves in Game 2 on Thursday.
Butler couldn’t get it done without Stephen Curry (hamstring) on the road in Game 2. The Warriors fell behind by double-digits early and never recovered. Butler had 17 points on 13 shots, which wasn’t far off from the 20 points he had in Game 1. Still, the Warriors have to regroup as they head home for Games 3 and 4 as they try to figure out a way to keep this series close until Curry can return to the court.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker had 20 points (7-of-13 FGs), two rebounds, three assists, one block and four three-pointers in Game 2 against the Warriors on Thursday.
Alexander-Walker was a key scorer off the bench in Game 2. He, Naz Reid and Donte DiVencenzo combined for 10 made three-pointers off the bench. In a game where the Warriors were desperate for scoring without Stephen Curry (hamstring), those bench points were too much to overcome as the Timberwolves won by 24 points.
Julius Randle had 24 points (10-of-17 FGs), seven rebounds, 11 assists and one three-pointer in Game 2 against the Warriors on Thursday.
Randle led the Timberwolves in scoring in the Game 2 victory. The 30-year-old power forward was just three rebounds away from a triple-double. He was a steadying presence in his 33 minutes as Anthony Edwards dealt with an ankle injury towards the end of the first half. Edwards recovered from his injury to play 34 minutes, but Randle is still the next most important player in this series for the Timberwolves.
Anthony Edwards had 20 points (6-of-13 FGs), nine rebounds, five assists, three steals, one block and two three-pointers in the Timberwolves’ 117-93 victory over the Warriors in Game 2 on Thursday.
Edwards appeared to suffer a sprained left ankle towards the end of the second quarter as the Warriors’ Trayce Jackson-Davis landed on his foot. Edwards turned the same ankle in the first round against the Lakers and appeared to re-aggravate the injury. The 23-year-old shooting guard would go on to start the second half and play a team-high 34 minutes in the Game 2 victory. Edwards will only have one full day off before the series resumes in Golden State for Game 3 on Saturday.
Warriors will start Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler, Draymond Green and Quinten Post in Game 2 against the Timberwolves on Thursday.
No surprise here as Curry was always a long shot to make it back for Game 2 after leaving Game 1 with hamstring injury. While there has been a report that the 37-year-old point guard is expected to miss a week, there is no firm timetable for his return. The Warriors will go big with their starting lineup for Game 2 with center Quinten Post entering the lineup in Curry’s absence.