We have a full day of NBA games here on Saturday November 2nd with a massive opportunity to secure a nice winning day with our Underdog NBA Picks and NBA DFS projections as the NBA season marches onwards in full force.

Looking for an edge today, we look at the NBA DFS projections for Donovan Mitchell of the Cleveland Cavaliers in his matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks and Andrew Wiggins of the Golden State Warriors against the Houston Rockets in an entry with a 3x multiplier.

 

 

Best Underdog NBA Picks, Saturday, 11/2: NBA DFS Projections

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Donovan Mitchell NBA Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher Than 26.5 Points

Ok, so lets talk about this line here for a second shall we? Mitchell has only gone over this point projection once this season and that was in 29 minutes against the Wizards where he scored 30 points. Overall this year he is averaging 23.5 points per game but that's over just 28.8 minutes a night. The Cavaliers have been such a good team this season that they are consistently playing in blowouts where Mitchell is scoring but not playing the minutes we expect him to play.

Today is an interesting spot for a few reasons. Frist, this is a big pace up spot for the Cavs with the Bucks owning the 4th highest pace of play in the league. Second, the Bucks rank just 24th in the NBA in defensive efficiency. What does this mean? Well, it means the Cavs should have more opportunities with the basketball given the increased pace of play and will have these opportunities against one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA.

Cleveland by the way ranks second in the league in offensive efficiency so when they get the basketball, they score the basketball.

Finally, how about this? Cleveland is coming in at 6-0 but is somehow a two-point road underdog to the 1-4 Milwaukee Bucks. 

So, if Vegas thinks that this game is going to be competitive and the Cavs are going to be getting more opportunities to score the basketball against a bad defensive team then I don't' see how Mitchell is not going for 30+ actual points here today. 

  • Pick: Higher Than 26.5 Points

 

 

 

Andrew Wiggins NBA Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher Than 16.5 Points

Am I nervous playing anyone in a Steve Kerr rotation right now? Sure, of course. Should I be especially nervous knowing that Wiggins has missed the last two games with a back issue and could find himself limited? Yes, that too. That said, Kerr has said that Wiggins will start and in two of the three games we've seen Wiggins on the floor for this season he has scored over 20 points while capping out at 29 minutes. This matchup tonight against the Rockets isn't going to be the easiest but given the injuries the Warriors have to Stephen Curry, they need Wiggins to pick up some of the slack on the offensive end of the floor.

  • Pick: Higher Than 16.5 Points

 

 

 

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