NBA Sleeper Top Picks & Plays, Featuring Buddy Hield & Anthony Edwards - Nov 24, 2023
There are 8 games around the association tonight as the NBA in-season tournament is in full swing still and teams are looking to compete in their respective group stages. There are many good games on the board tonight, but we are going to be targeting a Western Conference clash between the Sacramento Kings and the Minnesota Timberwolves, and a high-octane offense in the Indiana Pacers! Let's talk about them!
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NBA Sleeper Top Picks & Plays
Buddy Hield, Indiana Pacers
Since being inserted into the Pacer's starting five two games ago, Hield has come on very strong with his shooting. Seeing 30 and 35 minutes in the last two games, while shooting a blistering 71% and 82% from the field in those two games, including shooting a scorching 13-of-18 (72%) from three-point range in route to scoring 24 and 31 actual points against the Hawks and Raptors. I am fully expecting Buddy to remain in the starting five, especially with the Pacers dealing with injuries, and that means we will be playing his points prop tonight against a Detroit Pistons team that is allowing an overall average of 23.9 PPG per game to the SG position this year currently, which ranks 7th MOST in the league. This game does have the Pacers as decent favorites here at home, but the 245.5-point total is too good to pass up a spot like this for Hield.
Pick: Buddy Hield More than 17.5 Points (1.80x)
Anthony Edwards, Minnesota Timberwolves
Targeting Edwards here tonight at home vs the Sacramento Kings, but it isn't the points or rebounds we are looking at here - it is his assist prop that Sleeper has at 4.5! Every other respective prop site has 5 or more for his prop, and at certain sportsbooks he is nearly -160 @ the 4.5 assist line posted. We are fully going to take advantage of great odds here on Sleeper for this prop. Here is why! Edwards has posted at least 5 or more assists in all but ONE home game so far this season with assist totals of: 7, 1, 6, 7, 8, 5, and, 6. How has he fared against Sacramento Kings, you ask? Dating back to last season he has faced them four times and his assists recorded were 6, 5, 8, and 7. So far this season, Edwards is averaging 5.1 APG across 14 games, but that number goes up to 5.7 APG on his home floor over seven games, where he also leads the team in potential assists at 9.1 per game. This game has just a 4-point spread and a near 230-point total and these two teams know each other well. Like this spot a ton!
Pick: Anthony Edwards More than 4.5 Assists (1.75x)
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Player News
Buddy Hield had 15 points (5-of-14 FGs), three rebounds, one assist, one steal and four three-pointers against the Timberwolves in Game 2 on Thursday.
Hield moved into the Warriors’ starting lineup in the first round and the team became somewhat reliant on his scoring. With Stephen Curry (hamstring) out in Game 2, Hield started and played 29 minutes. The 32-year-old shooting guard led the Warriors in field goal attempts, though no one in a Golden State uniform was able to reach 20 points. The Warriors weren’t able to overcome a double-digit first half deficit. Despite the four made three-pointers, they’re going to need more from Hield as the series shifts to Golden State, especially if Curry remains out.
Jimmy Butler had 17 points (6-of-13 FGs), seven rebounds, four assists, one steal and two three-pointers against the Timberwolves in Game 2 on Thursday.
Butler couldn’t get it done without Stephen Curry (hamstring) on the road in Game 2. The Warriors fell behind by double-digits early and never recovered. Butler had 17 points on 13 shots, which wasn’t far off from the 20 points he had in Game 1. Still, the Warriors have to regroup as they head home for Games 3 and 4 as they try to figure out a way to keep this series close until Curry can return to the court.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker had 20 points (7-of-13 FGs), two rebounds, three assists, one block and four three-pointers in Game 2 against the Warriors on Thursday.
Alexander-Walker was a key scorer off the bench in Game 2. He, Naz Reid and Donte DiVencenzo combined for 10 made three-pointers off the bench. In a game where the Warriors were desperate for scoring without Stephen Curry (hamstring), those bench points were too much to overcome as the Timberwolves won by 24 points.
Julius Randle had 24 points (10-of-17 FGs), seven rebounds, 11 assists and one three-pointer in Game 2 against the Warriors on Thursday.
Randle led the Timberwolves in scoring in the Game 2 victory. The 30-year-old power forward was just three rebounds away from a triple-double. He was a steadying presence in his 33 minutes as Anthony Edwards dealt with an ankle injury towards the end of the first half. Edwards recovered from his injury to play 34 minutes, but Randle is still the next most important player in this series for the Timberwolves.
Anthony Edwards had 20 points (6-of-13 FGs), nine rebounds, five assists, three steals, one block and two three-pointers in the Timberwolves’ 117-93 victory over the Warriors in Game 2 on Thursday.
Edwards appeared to suffer a sprained left ankle towards the end of the second quarter as the Warriors’ Trayce Jackson-Davis landed on his foot. Edwards turned the same ankle in the first round against the Lakers and appeared to re-aggravate the injury. The 23-year-old shooting guard would go on to start the second half and play a team-high 34 minutes in the Game 2 victory. Edwards will only have one full day off before the series resumes in Golden State for Game 3 on Saturday.
Warriors will start Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler, Draymond Green and Quinten Post in Game 2 against the Timberwolves on Thursday.
No surprise here as Curry was always a long shot to make it back for Game 2 after leaving Game 1 with hamstring injury. While there has been a report that the 37-year-old point guard is expected to miss a week, there is no firm timetable for his return. The Warriors will go big with their starting lineup for Game 2 with center Quinten Post entering the lineup in Curry’s absence.