(3).jpg)
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors
Spread: GSW -8.5
O/U: 230.5
Injuries
Timberwolves
D'Angelo Russell - QUEST
Karl-Anthony Towns - OUT
Juancho Hernangomez - OUT
Jarrett Culver - OUT
Warriors
None
Defense vs. Position (DvP)
Timberwolves: 28th vs. PG / 22nd vs. SG / 13th vs. SF / 11th vs. PF / 30th vs. C
Warriors: 12th vs. PG / 13th vs. SG / 23rd vs. SF / 24th vs. PF / 22nd vs. C
MVP/CPT
We shouldn’t have to say much here. Curry’s the top play on the board from this game by a wide margin. He has 60 actual point upside, he’s gone for 70+ FP and the TWolves rank 27th against point-guards this year. What more do we really need to say?
Revenge is a dish best served cold, said Andrew Wiggins the first time these two met this season. Wiggins put up 43 DKP and looked dominant from start to finish. The TWolves struggle to defend the shooting-guard position ranking 22nd according to DvP and Wiggins is an elite option on this slate.
This play is very contingent on the status of D’Angelo Russell because if he sits, Rubio is a triple-double threat. He played 26 minutes last time out and likely surpasses 30 if the game stays competitive. Rubio has put up 27+ DKP in two straight games -- both without DLo -- and he stuffed the box score per usual.
Mid-Tier
I think he can be considered in the captain spot as well if D’Angelo Russell is ultimately ruled out. Beasley scored 30 actual last time out and put up over 40 FP and it was against this exact Warriors team. He’s put up 28 or more FP in eight straight as well as 9-of-10 overall. Beasley has a 27.4% USG rate with Russell and Towns out this year and averages 1.09 FP/min.
The last time out Reid played 24 minutes and took 16 (!) shot attempts on his way to a double-double. He only made five of those 16 FGA, but it’s the volume that matters the most here. The Warriors front court has had a problem with the amount of fantasy points they’ve allowed to both PF and C. Reid has put up 30+ FP in three straight and hasn’t played more than 27 minutes over that span.
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Oubre Jr. showed us his versatility the last time these two teams met doing it all, coming away with three steals and a block on the defensive end while scoring 14 actual and dishing out four assists offensively. Outside of one poor performance against Utah, Oubre has put up 23+ FP in six straight. His ability to disrupt games on both ends of the floor make him valuable in DFS.
Value Tier
Although he’s coming off the bench in favor of Kevon Looney , Wiseman still presents a serious issue for the Minnesota front court. He showed us that the other day scoring 13 actual points in 16 minutes. He should approach 20 minutes and even surpass that mark in a close game. Ownership will be depressed because he’s coming off the bench and that’s where we can gain an edge.
This year's number one overall pick has never seen a shot he doesn’t like. When he’s on the floor it’s abundantly clear his motive; shoot. He actually leads Minnesota in usage rate with D’Angelo Russell and Karl-Anthony Towns off the floor this year. He’s playing in the mid-20’s in minutes and if his shot falls, he could win you a tournament.
With multiple members of the Minnesota front court down and out, McDaniels has carved himself a nice role recently. He’s averaged 21.2 minutes over his last five games and even played 25 last time out. He’s even flashed 30 FP upside which at this price point, can win us a tournament.