NBA Best Bets Today, 11/29: Picks, Predictions & Player Props - Friday
Another Meatloaf day (before turkey day) for Fantasy Alarm. Two of three NBA best bets were successful, and a +2.8-unit gain was achieved. Thanks to last year and this year’s Well, Scottie Barnes and Nikola Vucevic, yesterday we went over 10 units gained on the season.
I always recommend taking units out in stages. Last year it was 8 units, and this year it is 10 units. We are proven winners, we have nothing to prove by having extra money in our bankroll. Cashout the units and ride with +1.19 units over our original bankroll. Once we take out four sets of 10 units, we will have achieved our betting goal for the NBA season.
We are over 25% of the way there. NBA Best Bets also went over 100 predictions in our most recent column. We won 54% of those bets, ask any professional bettor and they will tell you the mark is 55%. If you can win 55% of your bets you are winning at the professional rate.
NBA Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 11/29
Every player enjoyed a day off and should be well rested. There are ten 2024 NBA Emirates Cup games today, talk about a good day for leftovers.
These are games guaranteed to be packed full of action, competitive from opening tip-off to closing buzzard.
Clippers vs. Timberwolves Prediction: Clippers Money Line (+170 on DraftKings)
The Clippers are playing at the Target Center against the Timberwolves. The Clippers are the better team, a 12-8 record versus 8-10, have the better NBA Cup, record 1-1 to 1-2, and are playing better basketball. Yet somehow the Clippers have major underdog odds on the money line.
The sportsbooks are relying on the Timberwolves to be the team they were last year, and they are not. To make matters worse they traded off their best offensive player in order to ‘maximize Anthony Edwards championship window’. It has not panned out, Naz Reid is a bench player for a reason, Donte DiVincenzo hasn’t been a factor (and is supposedly a trade candidate), and Julian Randle has been consistent offensively, but a defensive liability.
The Clippers have really rallied around James Harden. He is setting himself up as one of the elite players of this century. He has moved into second in made threes, joins four other players to have ten 40 point games in the past 50 years, and has been clutch late for Los Angeles.
The Clippers should have no issue handling a team that has verbally stated they are out of rhythm and barely communicating with each other. Put a unit on the amazing plus odd straight bet.
NBA Parlay Today: New Yorks Knicks -2.5 & Orlando Magic ML (+100 on DraftKings)
Two teams in East Group A are undefeated, and they are the New York Knicks and the Orlando Magic. The Knicks play the Charlotte Hornets today, and the Orlando Magic play the Brooklyn Nets.
The Magic are in a competitive game, as the Nets have been playing much better. However, the Magic have been playing some of the best basketball in the NBA. They are third in the Eastern Conference and on a four game winning streak. Brooklyn has won three in a row, and against teams they weren’t supposed to beat. This will be a tough game, but trust Orlando to come through.
The Knicks are coming off an embarrassing loss against the Dallas Mavericks, but are still 9.5 point favorites. That seems like an uncomfortable spread and a major dip is suggested. The only reason the teased down line is suggested is to knock some juice off of the moneyline.
This allowed for even odds on a simple, two fold, straight bet parlay. These are the best two teams in NBA Group A and if they win, set themselves up for an epic winner take all match next week.
Best NBA Prop Bets & Other Picks Today, 11/29
‘Keep it up on the dance floor, don’t stop until you get enough.’ Wise words from Michael Jakckson, and words Fantasy Alarm will live by.
For the sportsbooks are our dancing floor, and Nikola Vucevic is the bet we won’t stop until we get enough.
Celtics vs. Bulls Prediction: Nikola Vucevic Over 1.5 Threes Made (+125 on BetMGM) *2.0U
BET MGM has shifted the odds on our favorite player, but only slightly. They moved it down from +155 to +125… still great odds. Vucevic has hit on our last five bets and nine for the season, all at plus odds… and the sportsbooks will still not move his line down.
We aren’t forcing them either. Vucevic is an amazing three-point scorer. His percentage from behind the arc is 44.9%, numbers that even the most efficient guard would love. He has attempted 27 in his last five games, and made two or more threes in all but one of those.
This is a very important game for the Chicago Bulls. If they beat the Boston Celtics they will win East Group C, something very few predicted prior to the season. They will need to match three point field goals with Boston to win this game. If they do, it would likely be the biggest win for the Chicago Bulls this decade, if not this century.
Put a unit on The Well to deliver again!
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Bet Smart, Be Lucky - Iggy
*All odds accurate at time of writing and NBA best bets to be placed at 1 unit unless specified otherwise