NBA Best Bets Today, 11/18: Picks, Predictions & Player Props - Monday
We went one out of three and the MOUSE was so close to a successful bet. The Oklahoma City Thunder had one of their worst games of the season, or perhaps the Dallas Mavericks reminded us why they initially lost their last two games of the regular season last year. They know they can beat the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Memphis Grizzlies absolutely destroyed the Denver Nuggets, who appear to be a G league team without Aaron Gordon and Nikola Jokic. Nikola Vucevic made 1 of 3 threes, in a blowout loss against the Houston Rockets.
NBA Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 11/18
There are eight NBA best bets today with several teams playing in back-to-back games. In fact all the players mentioned today are playing in back-to-back games, but the NBA players seem to have embraced playing these games more than in the past… with the exception of a select few.
Recently, making NBA predictions against players on the second of back-to-back games has not been in our favor. So today we are betting with the players, in a hope to finish the betting week on a great note.
Bulls vs. Pistons Prediction: Nikola Vucevic Over 1.5 Threes Made (+130 on BetMGM) *Bet Of The Night
Our guy did not show up for us in yesterday’s NBA best bets, as he attempted only 3 threes in just 25 minutes of playing time. The Bulls were absolutely crushed by the Houston Rockets, 143-107. Vucevic didn’t play much of the fourth quarter where he would have attempted at least one more three.
This is not all bad though, as he is well rested for his second game in as many nights. The Bulls play the Detroit Pistons and Vucevic’s odds went down despite not earning his three-point prop last night.
Jalen Duren is not a great perimeter defender, as are most centers in the NBA. The Pistons as a whole are not a better defensive team as the Rockets, and Vucevic should have more opportunities for field goals tonight.
For the purposes of this NBA predictions column, Vucevic has been successful three times, and missed twice. It is a great betting angle, and we expect him to be successful tonight against a team that allows.
Bulls vs. Pistons Prediction: Jalen Duren Over 10.5 Rebounds (-120 on BetMGM)
The Chicago Bulls versus Detroit Pistons is the first match of the day, and we have two units in the match for NBA picks. Jalen Duren, although not a great perimeter defender, is an excellent rebounder. He is averaging just under 10 rebounds per game, but does have games with 14, 17, and 11 rebounds this month.
He also was injured and missed three games, but appears to have it behind him. His minutes fluctuate, as in last night when he only played 18 minutes and on the thirteenth when he played 36 minutes. He earned 10 rebounds in those 18 minutes, and 9 in the game with 36 minutes.
As mentioned in the bet above, Vucevic will spend time on the outside of the court while on offense. Duren will benefit from this with very little rebounding competition. The prediction is that Duren did not play as many minutes last night in preparation for playing more in the second game tonight. Put a unit on him to have 11 rebounds against the Chicago Bulls.
Best NBA Prop Bets & Other Picks Today, 11/18
Two NBA best bets on the first match of the day is always nice, once they cash.
The first nationally televised game is the Houston Rockets versus the Milwaukee Bucks beginning at 8:00 PM ET on NBATV. There is a plus odd prop bet that screams value and is worth a unit.
Rockets vs. Bucks Prediction: Alperen Sengun Over 9.5 Rebounds (+100 on DraftKings)
The Houston Rockets are coming off of a blowout victory, while the Milwaukee Bucks are coming off a day’s rest. Alperen Sengun only played 26 minutes yesterday, but still earned a triple double, including 11 rebounds against Nikola Vucevic and the Bulls.
Sengun is playing at an elite level with back-to-back triple doubles, 4 blocks, and 2 steals. The Milwaukee Bucks are playing at a pathetically embarrassing level. They are 4-9 and it is a debate as to which team is a bigger disappointment, the Philadelphia 76ers or Milwaukee.
The Bucks score 111.2 points per game, but the Rockets only allow 106.1 points per game. This implies the Bucks will miss more field goal attempts than usual, allowing Sengun opportunities to get more rebounds.
Sengun is essentially rested for this match after the blowout victory, and at even odds is a fantastic bet on a hot player. Trust the 6’ 11” young center to extend on his five game double-digit rebounding performances in today’s NBA best bets.
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Bet Smart, Be Lucky - Iggy
*All odds accurate at time of writing and NBA best bets to be placed at 1 unit unless specified otherwise