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If you have read any of my DraftEasy articles this year, you know how much I like their RapidFire game. I wouldn’t have thought DraftEasy could reate a game I would like better, but they did. Their new Over/Under game is even easier to play, but just as much fun. Each Over/Under game offers three player Over/Unders. Just pick the over or the under for each one. If you get two out of the three correct, you double your money. It is that easy.
Of course, choosing over or under for each player is a lot more challenging, which is why I have made my picks below, along with my thinking on each player. The Main slate is probably the more difficult of the two, especially because each of those over/unders could be affected by the availability of Steven Adams and Paul George. Both players are considered questionable after they were limited participants in practice Thursday. The production of their teammates and opponents could swing wildly if they are out. Let’s look at how, exactly, before we get on to the late slate featuring Miami and the Lakers.
Main 1
Carmelo Anthony 16.5 Points: UNDER
Paul George and Steven Adams are questionable, and while that should lead to more shots for Carmelo Anthony, it won’t necessarily lead to more points. In the three games George has missed this season, Carmelo Anthony has taken 20 shots twice, but he was also held to just 11 points twice. Carmelo has faced the Clippers twice this season, scoring 22 points in one game and 14 in the other. Carmelo has scored 21 points in each of his last two games, but he had 14 or fewer in six of his last seven before that. The Clippers are 23rd in the NBA in opponent’s points since the All-Star break. I suspect Paul George will play, and if he does, the under is a pretty easy call. If George is out, I’m going over, but I don’t love it.
DeAndre Jordan 12.5 Rebounds: OVER
This could come down to Steven Adams’s health. The Thunder have a 54.4 rebound percentage when Adams in on the court and a 47.7 rebound percentage when he is off the floor. The issue could be even more stark against Jordan, as Oklahoma City doesn’t have anyone else with the size to keep Jordan off the glass. Dakari Johnson and Nick Collison certainly aren’t keeping DeAndre Jordan under 12.5 rebounds. Jordan has at least 15 rebounds in eight consecutive games, so I am probably going with him anyway, but this should be an easy win if Steven Adams is out.
Russell Westbrook 10.5 Assists: UNDER
This one could come down to Adams’s availability as well. In the six games Steven Adams has missed this season, Russell Westbrook has topped eight assists just once. Even though we think of Russell Westbrook as a Triple-Double matchine, he has topped 10.5 assists just once in his last five games. He had 11 assists in his last game against the Clippers, but just eight in one of the aforementioned games Steven Adams missed. Of course, these two teams haven’t played since early January, and the Clippers are allowing the sixth most opponents assists since the All-Star Break. If Steven Adams plays, I will switch this pick as well.
Late Night 1
Goran Dragic 20.5 Points: UNDER
Dragic has taken at least 17 shots and scored at least 23 points in each of his last two games. He should get plenty of shots again with Dwyane Wade and Josh Richardson out, but I think he is due for a poor shooting night after shooting 56.8 percent from the field over the last week. Dragic had just 19 points on 19 field goal attempts against Miami two weeks ago, and I expect similar numbers this time around.
Julius Randle 9.5 Rebounds: OVER
The Heat are a slightly worse rebounding team with Hassan Whiteside out, which is counterintuitive for a guy averaging 11.8 rebounds per game this season. Julius Randle has double-digit rebounds in four of his last five games, but he had just six rebounds against Miami on March 1. I like Randle to keep his double-digit rebounding streak going.
Lonzo Ball 8.5 Assists: UNDER
This line seems awfully aggressive. Lonzo has topped eight assists just once in his 10 games since returning from his knee injury. The Heat rank 11th in opponent’s assists since the All-Star Break, and while Lonzo is certainly capable of going over, I see no reason to believe he is particularly likely to do so.
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