NASCAR DFS: Contender Boats 250 Playbook & Example Lineups

Published: Jun 14, 2020

So right off the bat I will say that this Playbook is meant to be all encumbering for both Xfinity races this weekend. This Playbook is starting to be written Thursday morning just to touch on preferred plays. The two races this weekend really shake things up, we only have the entry list and starting order for Saturday, and I’m sure we don’t get the starting order for the second race until Saturday night. So this will mostly focus on Saturday’s race, BUT here is what I will be doing for the Xfinity races this weekend:

The first Playbook that comes out will mostly focus on the Saturday race, but I’ll have a separate section for the Dash 4 Cash drivers on Sunday listed just above the main pool of drivers for Saturday.
Starting spots and prices will be updated by Sunday morning for the Sunday races.
Additionally, any new drivers that I like will be added in RED as well.
For the Sunday race, I will delete the Example Lineups that will be posted for Saturday’s race and re-publish lineups for Sunday’s race.

This is all subject to change. I may just pull a late-night Saturday night and do a whole new Playbook. TBD! Also, I may not be in the Chat on Saturday because of some prior commitments that I’ve made. But Sunday morning I’ll be in the Chat working on Xfinity and Cup lineups for both races that day and will obviously be taking questions.

Here’s this weekend’s NASCAR schedule:

Saturday, June 13^th

Xfinity Series Hooters 250 @ 3:30pm ET
Gander RV & Outdoors Truck Series Baptist Health 200 @ 7:30pm ET

Sunday June 14^th

Xfinity Series Contender Boats 250 @ 12:00pm ET
NASCAR Cup Series Dixie Vodka 400 @ 3:30pm ET

It’s awesome that we have a full slate of races this weekend and this presents a lot of opportunity for DFS. As always, we will NOT have a Playbook for the Trucks race, but I’ll be dipping lineups lightly into each slate, with most exposure on both races on Sunday. I’m not going crazy with Truck lineups because Kyle Busch, Chase Elliott, John Hunter Nemechek, etc. are going to be running in that race, plus Busch is starting on the front row. This will be a fun weekend for DFS because next week is Talladega and we all know to play that race lightly.

DK Price	Starting Pos.	Car No.	Driver	Team	Races Last 4 Years	Laps Led	Fastest Laps	Quality Passes	AVG. Start	AVG. Finish	Top 15 Rate (%)
$11,800	12	8	Dale Earnhardt Jr.	JR Motorsports	0
$11,300	8	98	Chase Briscoe	Stewart-Haas Racing	2	14	16	85	9	8	71.5
$10,900	11	7	Justin Allgaier	JR Motorsports	4	6	41	180	11	9.75	96.75
$10,500	9	22	Austin Cindric	Team Penske	2	40	10	66	4	6	98.75
$10,100	4	19	Brandon Jones	Joe Gibbs Racing	4	0	5	127	10.5	11.25	69.25
$9,800	3	10	Ross Chastain	Kaulig Racing	3	0	0	28	20.7	18.3	11.5
$9,600	2	9	Noah Gragson	JR Motorsports	1	10	12	54	10	4	100
$9,400	1	20	Harrison Burton	Joe Gibbs Racing	1	0	5	48	9	10	74.9
$9,100	23	51	Jeremy Clements	Jeremy Clements Racing	4	0	0	42	20.75	20.5	12.38
$8,900	36	36	Alex Labbe	DGM Racing	2	0	0	11	18.5	19.5	11.5
$8,700	17	1	Michael Annett	JR Motorsports	3	0	2	132	17.3	9.7	85.16
$8,600	18	92	Josh Williams	DGM Racing	2	0	0	21	27.5	23.5	23
$8,400	26	93	Myatt Snider	RSS Racing	0
$8,100	34	44	Tommy Joe Martins	Martins Motorsports	1	0	0	0	30	26	0
$7,900	21	21	Anthony Alfredo	Richard Childress Racing	0
$7,700	13	02	Brett Moffitt	GMS Racing	0
$7,500	6	18	Riley Herbst	Kyle Busch Motorsports	0
$7,400	32	08	Joe Graf Jr.	SS Green Light Racing	0
$7,200	7	39	Ryan Sieg	RSS Racing	4	1	7	67	20	18	36.88
$7,000	27	99	Stefan Parsons	CMI Motorsports	0
$6,900	15	0	Jeffrey Earnhardt	JD Motorsports	0
$6,800	25	74	Bayley Currey	Rick Ware Racing	0
$6,700	10	11	Justin Haley	Kaulig Racing	1	0	2	39	8	33	91.6
$6,600	5	68	Brandon Brown	Brandonbilt Motorsports	3	0	1	39	27	20	18.67
$6,400	35	5	Matt Mills	BJ McLeod Motorsports	1	0	0	0	28	30	0.7
$6,300	37	26	Colin Garrett	Sam Hunt Racing	1	0	0	6	15	21	3
$6,000	16	4	Jesse Little	Diversified Motorsports Enterprises	0
$5,800	31	15	Colby Howard	JD Motorsports	0
$5,600	28	61	Timmy Hill	Hattori Racing Enterprises	4	3	0	0	30.25	36.25	0.5
$5,400	30	52	Kody Vanderwal	Means Motorsports	0
$5,200	22	6	BJ McLeod	JD Motorsports	4	0	0	4	27	29	1.5
$5,100	14	07	JJ Yeley	SS Green Light Racing	4	0	0	45	21.75	26.75	10.25
$5,000	33	66	Stephen Leicht	Motorsports Business Management	2	0	0	0	29	29.5	0.25
$4,900	29	47	Kyle Weatherman	Mike Harmon Racing	0
$4,800	24	90	Caesar Bacarella	DGM Racing	2	0	0	0	31.5	32.5	0
$4,600	20	78	Vinnie Miller	BJ McLeod Motorsports	2	0	1	0	37	33	0.75
$4,500	19	13	Chad Finchum	Motorsports Business Management	3	0	0	0	30	32	0.1

Dash 4 Cash Drivers for Sunday’s Race

A.J. Allmendinger ($12,200; Starting P38) – Allmendinger is going to be severely chalky for Sunday’s race in Miami. The downside is that he’s starting from the rear, which is great for his PD but he will be incredibly chalky. Definitely get exposure, but you’ll need to identify value plays as well. Homestead is a pretty solid track for Allmendinger. In the Cup Series he had plenty of Top 15 finishes and we’ve seen him outclass the Xfinity drivers by passing them even at his worst tracks.

Noah Gragson ($10,200; Starting P13) – Gragson almost ran away with a win on Saturday, but a late caution allowed other drivers to get fresh tires and the restart didn’t work in Gragson’s favor as he was passed by Austin Cindric and Harrison Burton. His car sustained some damage as he got into the wall running the high line a couple times, but you love the starting spot especially for a guy who led almost half the laps. He’s got PD on his side and should get to the front. If he goes to a backup car he’ll have to drop to the rear, which may impact his ownership. But we’ll want to still get exposure. Update: Gragson will go to the rear for unapproved adjustments. He'll be scored from P13.

Daniel Hemric ($9,000; Starting P11) – Hemric is another qualifier for the D4C, and like Allmendinger, he’ll also be starting toward the rear but scored from P11. Hemric has run two races in Xfinity and his last race in November 2018 resulted in a Top 5 finish. He shouldn’t have issues moving up through the field, and with the monetary motivation for this race he definitely wants to get up there quickly.

Justin Haley ($6,600; Starting P3) – Haley’s starting P3 for Sunday’s race after finishing 13^th on Saturday. He was consistently running in the Top 10 until a penalty forced him to the rear in the third stage and he ultimately fell a lap down. The car still looked great and of all the D4C drivers he’s starting the highest. Gragson has some damage to his car and hasn’t announced yet if they’ll switch to a backup. Haley’s cheap and has a lot going for him Sunday afternoon. The ownership was heavy on Saturday and it’ll likely be heavy once again on Sunday.

Xfinity Driver Pool

Chase Briscoe ($11,400; Starting P9) – Briscoe had arguably the best car when you consider that he fell six laps behind at the start of the race. He actually managed to get back on the lead lap in stage three, even ran inside the top three at one point and he had 39 of the fastest laps on Saturday. He’s starting in almost the same spot and can’t possibly have a worse start than Saturday. His car was incredible as it managed to get back on the lead lap so I’m definitely locking him into many lineups for Sunday, and I’d be stunned if he didn’t qualify for Talladega’s Dash 4 Cash.

Justin Allgaier ($10,900; Starting P32) – Glad I left this guy out of the Playbook on Saturday because he was a disaster. I am plugging him in for Sunday’s race because he’s starting outside the Top 30. This isn’t a great track for him, but you obviously love the PD for this guy. If building Cash lineups you can make a pretty solid Cash lineup around him and Allmendinger and still find solid value plays to squeeze in.

Austin Cindric ($10,500; Starting P14) – Cindric had a damn good showing on Saturday. He hit 6X value so nobody will complain about that one bit. He’s the exact same price and he’s starting P14 with more PD upside. He had 17 fastest laps and led 24 on Saturday. It may take a little longer to get to the front, but he regularly ran in the Top 5 on Saturday. He’s in another great spot on Sunday.

Ross Chastain ($9,800; Starting P7) – Chastain did okay on Saturday. He got to the front and led 26 laps. Ultimately, he didn’t hit 5X value. But what I like about him for Sunday’s race is that he’s the same price tag and he can easily pass the drivers starting ahead of him: Myatt Snider, Brandon Brown, Justin Haley, Jeremy Clements, Carson Ware, and Riley Herbst. I think ownership might be a little lighter than yesterday so this is a good time to throw Chastain into GPP builds.

Harrison Burton ($9,500; Starting P15) – Burton won the whole race but he needed a late caution to get a restart, which screwed Gragson. Burton started on the pole yesterday and only led two laps. Luckily he led the one lap that counted the most. He barely returned 5X value yesterday, but you have to love his starting spot for Sunday’s race and the competition in front of him should be easy to pass.

Brandon Jones ($9,200; Starting P8) – Jones actually had a good car on Saturday, but the starting spot and price tag sucked. I still had some exposure, and it didn’t really pay off as expected. But he’s nearly $1,000 cheaper and he’s starting a few spots back. I don’t trust him in Cash games, but he’s definitely in play for GPP’s.

Michael Annett ($8,100; Starting P10) – Annett doesn’t have the position differential he had yesterday, but we still love him and this is a track he performs well at. That was evidenced yesterday with his phenomenal run. He doesn’t have the PD upside, but you still have to love him in a GPP play where he may not carry much ownership.

Anthony Alfredo ($7,900; Starting P12) – Saturday was just another great race for the 21-car. Alfredo started 21^st, finished 4^th and had a wildly impressive run Saturday. What was even better was that prior to the caution that screwed Gragson, Alfredo was one of seven cars on the lead lap. He’s looked great and we aren’t getting the PD we normally get, but he definitely looked like one of the best drivers on Saturday. Perhaps the lack of PD scares people off the ownership, but he’s still a great GPP play for Sunday.

~~Brett Moffitt ($7,500; Starting P35)~~ – Moffitt didn’t have a great Saturday. He wrecked out both the Xfinity race and the Truck series race. He doesn’t have anywhere to go but up. Yesterday I wrote that we normally target him for PD even though he was starting P13. Today you really have to like him because he’s $200 cheaper and rolling off P35. You can assume he’ll be incredibly chalky in Cash games as well as GPP’s given the price tag. Prior to Saturday’s race he had the momentum of three straight Top 15 finishes. A top 15 finish would be over 6X value, even a Top 20 finish would be 5X value. Update: Moffitt is OUT for the Xfinity race today. JA Avila is in the 02 car for Sunday's race. He has 1 Xfinity race in Miami. Previously started 36th and finished 25th.

Ryan Sieg ($7,300; Starting P28) – I normally don’t like playing Sieg because he starts too high and just goes the wrong way. However, we saw him look like he had a solid ride on Saturday. He led 27 laps and had 16 of the fastest laps. I’m anticipating he may have to go to a backup car, but that’s not confirmed yet. He ended up spinning out and causing the caution that cost Gragson the race. His talent is in question, but the starting spot is not.

Bayley Currey ($7,000; Starting P24) – Currey didn’t blow us out of the water yesterday. He kinda held serve and didn’t return much value for us. However, I’m willing to give him another chance on Sunday, just not as much exposure. Still just a GPP play.

Joe Graf Jr. ($6,300; Starting P16) – I initially was going to remove Graf from the Sunday Playbook, but he’s $1,000 cheaper despite the higher starting spot. He’s always shown a knack to be a solid PD play when he starts further back. Even moving up two spots and finishing 14^th would be a 5X return and you can pay up for other drivers by rostering Graf.

Colby Howard ($5,600; Starting P17) – Howard was a phenomenal value play yesterday. I just wish I had more than 20% exposure to him. He started P31 and finished 17^th. Unfortunately he’s not as reliable in Cash games for Sunday’s race, but you can bet that he’s worthy of a GPP play. This is the best starting spot Howard’s ever had so we’ll see what he can do with it. Remember, he’s still just 18 years old. There are definitely drivers behind him that can move up, but maybe the field stays away from Howard once again. Even if he moves up one spot and finished 16^th, he’ll get you 5X value. If he can move up even further you’ll be dancing to the green.

BJ McLeod ($4,500; Starting P26) – I know McLeod was a dud yesterday and he screwed many of my lineups including my Cash builds. However, he’s starting further back than yesterday and he’s $700 cheaper. He may have left a bitter taste in your mouths yesterday, but he only needs 22.5 points for 5X value on Sunday. That means a 24^th place finish could get him close to that. A Top 20 finish is over 6X value. DK missed on the pricing here so we’ll take advantage of it.

Other Value Plays – Vinnie Miller and Chad Finchum are also decent value plays. The starting positions lend them some great PD. Finchum and Miller typically start in the Top 20 and go backward. But on Sunday they’ll be starting further back and could possibly move up. So if you need more than one sub-$5,500 play then you can consider these two in GPP’s.