Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate is a 9-gamer on both DraftKings and FanDuel that starts at 7:07 pm ET, excluding six games that start earlier in the day. We do not have Coors Field on the slate, so you don’t have to worry about keeping that in mind when setting lineups. Starting pitching is pretty rough on this slate with a real lack of top-end firepower as the slate is headlined by Joe Ryan, Justin Steele, and Nestor Cortes. A nice thing about this slate is that it currently appears that we have no mlb weather concerns, but still make sure to check the weather before setting lineups. Let’s dive into some of my favorite value options of the day and some we can fit into our cash and tournament lineups!

 

MLB DFS Value Pitchers

Ryne Nelson, Arizona Diamondbacks (DraftKings: $7,500 / FanDuel: $8,400)

Nelson hasn’t been great thus far, but his 4.91 ERA and 1.18 WHIP isn’t the worst in the world either. More importantly, this is a fantastic spot for Nelson once we consider the Royals’ massive splits this season: 

  • Royals vs. lefties: 23.6% strikeout rate, .243 average, and .313 wOBA. 
  • Royals vs. righties: 25.7% strikeouts rate, .202 average, and .254 wOBA 

That is a huge difference and with Nelson being right-handed, we like this spot a lot more than we would if he wasn’t. That average and wOBA against righties are the worst in the entire league. 

Griffin Canning, Los Angeles Angels (DraftKings: $6,400 / FanDuel: $8,800)

Canning has pitched well through two starts with a 3.48 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. This matchup is a great one against the A’s, especially when you consider the massive splits that the A’s have had so far this season:

  • A’s vs. lefties: 22.1% strikeout rate, .268 average, .341 wOBA
  • A’s vs. righties: 24.6% strikeout rate, .214 average, .287 wOBA

As you can see, similar to the Royals, the A’s have a massive split difference and are FAR worse against righties. Their wOBA against lefties is actually the 8th best in the entire league, but all their marks against righties are near the bottom. 

MLB DFS Value Hitters

Francisco Alvarez, C, New York Mets (DraftKings: $2,600 / FanDuel: $2,200)

Alvarez is starting to find his stride with a two-hit game two games ago and then a home run in his most recent game. Tonight he gets to face Josiah Gray. Gray has really struggled with consistency and has a career ERA of 5.04. He has always had a huge problem with the long ball as his HR/9 for his career is a rough mark of 2.3 (led the league in HR against last season). Alvarez is a nice punt play with HR upside in this matchup. 

Vinnie Pasquantino, 1B, Kansas City Royals (DraftKings: $3,500 / FanDuel: $3,000)

Why is Vinnie P. still this cheap? What am I missing? He is hitting .291 on the year with four home runs and a .532 SLG. He has scored 17 and 15 dk points over his last two games with 5 total hits. He faces Ryne Nelson, who I do like overall tonight, who has been hurt by lefties in his career as they have a .773 OPS against him, compared to the .535 mark righties have produced. On top of that, the wind is blowing out directly to right field, the strongest wind on tonight’s slate. 

Brett Baty, 3B, New York Mets (DraftKings: $2,500 / FanDuel: $2,400)

Baty is starting to find his groove as he is 3-8 with a RBI and run scored over his last two games. His average exit velocity and hard hit rate have both been above league-average thus far, so it’s only a matter of time until the hits start falling (his xBA is actually .279, so far better than his actual .238 average). We could see his first home run of the season tonight in this spot against Gray. 

Sam Hilliard, OF, Atlanta Braves (DraftKings: $2,500 / FanDuel: $2,800)

Hilliard was really bad with the Rockies, but somehow he looks better now as a member of the Braves (despite not having Coors Field as his home ballpark). He is slashing .333/.412/.622 thus far with three home runs, four steals, and 15 total R/RBI across 17 games of action. Tonight he faces Bryan Hoeing, who has given up 19 hits, 17 runs, and five home runs across 12.2 big league innings in his career. 

 

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