Underdog Fantasy MLB Picks Today, 8/11: DFS Projections
There are few things better than having baseball all day long, but today is one of those days, which means plenty of opportunities to secure ourselves a nice winning day on Underdog Fantasy.
Looking for an edge today, we look at Dylan Cease of the San Diego Padres and Yainer Diaz of the Houston Astros.
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Yainer Diaz Underdog MLB Pick: Higher Than 1.5 Total Bases
I love this play today and it’s something I’m prioritizing. Yainer Diaz has smashed left-handed pitching over the last month batting .308 with a 1.026 OPS, .385 ISO, and .400 wOBA. He’s posted a .182 ISO and .332 wOBA throughout the year if you don’t trust a 30-day sample. He faces off against James Paxton who’s been crushed by righties this year. He’s allowed 11 of his 12 homers against righties, a .331 wOBA, 47.2% flyball rate, and a 5.65 xFIP, suggesting things could get even worse for him against righty bats.
- Pick: Higher Than 1.5 Total Bases
Dylan Cease Underdog MLB Pick: Higher Than 7.5 Strikeouts
We’re talking about one of the best strikeout arms in the league here against a Marlins offense that is a shell of what they once were. They’re striking out a lot, too, as they’ve posted a 26.8% K-rate since the trade deadline against right-handed pitching, which is the fifth-highest mark in the league. Cease has been as good as it gets at missing bats posting an 11.5 K/9 and a career-best 32.4% K-rate.
- Pick: Higher Than 7.5 Strikeouts
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Player News
Wilmer Flores is not in the lineup for Thursday’s bout versus the Phillies.
Flores will get a day off even with left-hander Cristopher Sánchez on the bump for Philadelphia. Willy Adames is the designated hitter for the contest, and Christian Koss will be the shortstop.
Rays activated OF Richie Palacios off the 10-day injured list.
Palacios has missed the first three weeks of the season with a right finger fracture. The 27-year-old is someone who should see playing time against left-handed pitching, but won’t see enough run — or be good enough with that time — to be an option in fantasy leagues. Coco Montes was sent to Triple-A to make room.
Rays optioned INF Coco Montes to Triple-A Durham.
Montes gets the boot from the active roster with Richie Palacios (finger) back off the injured list. The 28-year-old Montes will be up and down throughout the 2025 season and likely his career.
Dodgers optioned RHP Bobby Miller to Triple-A Oklahoma City.
Miller was going to head back to Oklahoma City even if he pitched well Wednesday, but it’s worth noting that the 26-year-old scuffled while allowing six runs in his start against the Rockies. The 26-year-old will likely get back at some point with Los Angeles in coming weeks/months, but for now he’ll head back to OKC with a corresponding move to be announced Friday.
Michael Tonkin (shoulder) is beginning a rehab assignment with High-A Fort Myers on Thursday.
Tonkin will likely need a good handful of appearances before he’s ready to rejoin the Minnesota bullpen. The 6-foot-7 right-hander will be a mid-inning option for the Twins’ relief group whenever he’s ready; likely around the end of April.
Braves optioned OF Bryan De La Cruz to Triple-A Gwinnett.
De La Cruz scuffled and then some in his 50 plate appearances before the demotion with a slash of .191/.240/.213. He’ll head to Triple-A with Alex Verdugo “ready” for a call-up to the Atlanta outfield. De La Cruz will probably be back at some point over the late spring.