Welcome back to another week on the Major League Baseball schedule as we take a look at top MLB Underdog picks today. There are games going on all afternoon, but we'll just focus on some MLB picks for the evening matchups. My top MLB picks today on Underdog Fantasy feature Philadelphia Phillies shortstop Trea Turner taking on Rich Hill and the San Diego Padres. Plus, Lucas Giolito makes his Cleveland Guardians debut tonight. Don't miss out on these top MLB player picks on Underdog Fantasy for “Pick'Em” contests tonight. Check out the latest MLB weather report and the confirmed MLB lineups when placing those MLB daily picks or setting daily fantasy baseball lineups as well. Plus, the MLB daily projections and MLB Batter vs Pitcher page will help you find the best matchups for MLB picks and MLB DFS lineups. Let's dive into the top MLB player picks on Underdog Fantasy for Monday, September 4th.

 

MLB Underdog Fantasy Top Picks September 4

Trea Turner, Philadelphia Phillies – HIGHER than 1.5 Total Bases

Trea Turner has been swinging a hot bat for a full month now, so let’s keep backing him with our Underdog Fantasy picks. The Philadelphia Phillies shortstop is batting .364 with a 1.162 OPS over the past month with 11 home runs, nine doubles, and one triple across 27 games. Lately, Turner is hitting .414 over his past seven games coming into tonight. He’s also on a major power surge right now with six home runs over his last seven games and nine homers in his past 15 games. In terms of total bases, Turner has 2+ in six straight games and in nine of the past 10. Until he cools off, we have to continue riding him.

Turner will face left-hander Rich Hill, who has struggled since joining the San Diego Padres at the trade deadline. Hill had an 8.50 ERA and 1.61 WHIP across his five starts in August. Going back further, the veteran southpaw now has a 6.75 ERA over the past two months. The Phillies offense is one of the best in the league against left-handed pitching lately and it’s hard to see Hill having much success here. Turner also boasts strong career BvP numbers vs Hill with a .471 BA (8-for-17), two doubles, and one homer. Plus, the Padres starter is allowing a .284 BA to right-handed hitters this season. 

Lucas Giolito, Cleveland Guardians – LOWER than 2.5 Earned Runs

Lucas Giolito will pitch for his third different team on Monday night when he starts for the Cleveland Guardians. He was claimed off waivers last week after spending just over a month with the Los Angeles Angels following the trade from the Chicago White Sox. Now Giolito’s first start with his new team will come against the Minnesota Twins in a pivotal AL Central series. Though he struggled to a 7.24 ERA in his six starts with the Angels, Giolito can be more effective than you’d think tonight. 

The right-hander boasts a 2.53 ERA at home this season compared to a 6.27 ERA on the road. Of course, Giolito’s home parks before tonight were in Chicago and Anaheim. Still, there’s something to be said about a pitcher who’s clearly been more comfortable pitching at home (wherever that is) than on the road. Plus, Giolito has had multiple good outings against the Twins earlier this year. He’s faced them three times already while with the White Sox and allowed only two total earned runs over 18 combined innings. He also struck out 7+ in each of those starts. We can see Giolito do it again tonight as the Twins offense comes in with just a .306 wOBA and high 27.2% K rate vs right-handed pitching over the past week. Finally, it’s worth mentioning that he boasts a 1.67 ERA in six career starts in Cleveland. Granted, those outings came against the Guardians lineup – but still. 

 

MLB Best Bets

If you are looking for some MLB Best Bets today, check out our MLB betting picks for today's slate of games.

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