Underdog Fantasy MLB Picks For Today, 4/29: DFS Projections & Plays

Welcome to another thrilling edition of Underdog Fantasy MLB Pick'em, where we analyze key matchups and player performances to help you make informed decisions and maximize your fantasy success. As we delve into the April 29th games, we've identified two picks that could prove pivotal in your lineup strategy.
MLB Underdog Fantasy Picks Today: Monday, April 29
But before we dive in, don't forget to take advantage of our exclusive promo code "ALARM" for a 100% deposit match up to $100 at www.fantasyalarm.com/underdog.
Now, let's get into the picks!
James Paxton, Los Angeles Dodgers - Higher 2.0 Walks
Paxton takes the mound with an intriguing proposition for fantasy players. In his four starts this season, Paxton has showcased a propensity for issuing walks, tallying at least three walks in three of those outings.
What's more concerning is his recent performance, where he surrendered a staggering five and eight walks in two separate starts. Facing off against the Diamondbacks, Paxton's tendency to give up free passes could be exacerbated.
The Diamondbacks boast a formidable offense, particularly against left-handed pitching, making Paxton's task even more daunting. With their ability to capitalize on opposing pitchers' mistakes, the Diamondbacks could exploit Paxton's struggles with command, leading to an increase in his walk total.
Luis Rengifo, Los Angeles Angels - Higher than 1.5 Total Bases
Rengifo presents an enticing pick for fantasy managers, especially against left-handed pitchers. Over the last three seasons, Rengifo has demonstrated his prowess against southpaws, showcasing an average ISO exceeding .200, a slugging percentage surpassing .550, and wOBA figures exceeding .380.
His ability to generate extra-base hits and drive in runs against left-handed pitching makes him a valuable asset in fantasy lineups.
As he faces off against a left-handed starter, Rengifo's track record suggests he could surpass the 1.5 total bases mark with relative ease.
His knack for finding gaps in the defense and driving the ball with authority positions him as a strong candidate to deliver fantasy production for your team.
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As you navigate the plethora of options in fantasy baseball, it's crucial to identify key matchups and player trends that can tilt the odds in your favor. With our expert analysis and insights, you'll be well-equipped to make informed decisions and gain an edge over your competition.
And don't forget to leverage our exclusive promo code "ALARM" for a 100% deposit match up to $100 at www.fantasyalarm.com/underdog, enhancing your fantasy experience and amplifying your potential winnings. Stay tuned for more expert picks and analysis from Underdog Fantasy MLB Pick'em, where every choice could lead to victory.
Player News
Daulton Varsho picked up three hits, three RBI and a homer in a win over the Angels on Thursday.
Varsho has only played in seven games this year, but they’ve been seven good ones. He’s homered three times already, and his slugging percentage is a remarkable — and entirely unsustainable — .727 over 22 at-bats. Varsho has been a mediocre offensive player in his two seasons with the Blue Jays, but it’s possible at the age of 28 he’s having a breakout campaign. Far from a guarantee, but possible.
Taylor Ward hit a two-run homer in a loss to the Blue Jays on Thursday.
Ward, 31, gave the Angels a 2-0 lead with a two-run homer off Chris Bassitt in the first inning. He’s now gone deep in two of his last three games, and it ‘improves’ his slash to .181/.224/.391. Ward has been one of the most hot/cold players players in the sport over the last few years, so fantasy managers who can afford to make some roster moves may want to look at Ward while the going is good.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. picked up three hits and scored twice in an 8-5 win over the Angels on Thursday.
Guerrero also drew a walk. It gives the first baseman multiple hits in back-to-back games, and it’s the third time in May that he’s reached that mark. That’s helped raise his average from .268 to .295, and the only thing fantasy managers can be disappointed with is his .432 slugging percentage. That number should continue to climb as the season unfolds, but Vladdy Jr. has had some inconsistent seasons when it comes to power production.
Chad Green picked up his first save of 2025 with a scoreless ninth against the Angels on Thursday.
Green got the save after Jeff Hoffman worked in back-to-back games — and struggled — in the first two contests against the Angels. He struck out two and looked the part while needing just nine pitches to get through the inning. Hoffman should remain the closer, but Green is on his tail if the struggles were to continue.
Chris Bassitt allowed five runs — four earned — while working six-plus innings against the Angels on Thursday while picking up a win.
Bassitt allowed three runs over the first two innings on a pair of homers, but settled down over his next four frames. He came out to work the seventh, but ended up being charged for two more runs after leaving the contest. The 36-year-old veteran has forged a 3.35 ERA and outstanding 49/8 K/BB ratio over the first quarter of the season, but this wasn’t him at his best. He’ll get the Rays next week if the rotation order stays the same for Toronto.
José Soriano allowed three runs over five innings while not factoring in the decision Thursday against the Blue Jays.
Soriano left with a 4-3 lead, but it was erased quickly after his departure. The 26-year-old was not exactly dominant in his outing with eight hits allowed and four free passes, but he did strike out six to help balance things out a smidgen. Soriano takes an even ERA of 4.00 into a scheduled start against the Padres in San Diego on Tuesday. There should be better options for that one.