Underdog Fantasy MLB Picks - Best Picks & Plays for July 15: Luis Robert Looks to Stay Hot

We have a big 13-game MLB DFS main slate on our hands this Friday, July 15th, just a few days before the All-Star break. There are a lot of elite match-ups on the mound and offensively, with elite names everywhere you look. We aren’t dealing with any bad weather spots either, so everything for Friday’s slate should be smooth sailing. Check back with our MLB Weather Center for more details surrounding the latest MLB weather report as MLB daily fantasy lineup lock approaches. To get all the confirmed lineups across baseball, check out the MLB Lineups page as well. To get projections and generate one or multiple daily fantasy baseball lineups, take a look at our MLB daily projections and MLB DFS Lineup Generator. Now let’s dive into the top MLB daily picks and MLB player props for Underdog Fantasy tonight!
MLB Player Props Underdog Fantasy July 15
Luis Robert OVER 1.5 total bases
It was a good start to the 2022 campaign for Devin Smeltzer, but his last five outings have not been great. Over that span, he’s pitched to a 5.96 ERA while allowing his opponents to slash .288/.333/.567. The slugging has been what’s haunted him as he’s served up eight home runs, for an average of 2.8 HR/9. For someone who doesn’t miss bats and relies on pitching to contact, he’s allowing far too much power.
Speaking of power, how about what Luis Robert has been doing lately? It’s not just the power, either, it’s everything. He has three straight three-hit games and has two home runs and two doubles over that span. Over his last 10 games alone he’s hitting .425 with three doubles and four home runs. He’s been extremely good against southpaws this season, batting .383 with a .418 wOBA. There’s no reason to think Robert is going to slow down in this spot.
Alek Manoah OVER 6.0 strikeouts
I know Alek Manoah hasn’t necessarily been a dominant strikeout arm this year, but he’s been solid and has plenty of upside in that department. Yes, he’s only gone over this number six times in 17 starts, but let’s take a look at what he’s working against here.
The Royals are missing 10 players due to COVID-19 restrictions in Canada. Five of them are everyday players, not to mention Salvador Perez has been out with injury, so they’re realistically missing six starters. They called up a LOT of prospects for this series and we saw the chinks in their armor as Kevin Gausman struck out six Royals in six innings and he hadn’t pitched in a game in two weeks.
Manoah has been dominant at home this season, holding his opponents to a .193 BAA, just 0.51 HR/9, and a 23.3% K-rate. Manoah has been quite good at striking out right-handed bats specifically this year, notching a 29% K-rate against them and the Royals projected lineup has five righties expected to be playing.
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Tanner Scott blew a save while allowing a run against the Tigers on Friday.
Dillon Dingler homered and tripled in an extra-inning loss to the Dodgers on Friday.
Freddie Freeman hit a two-run homer in an extra-inning win for the Dodgers over the Tigers on Friday.
Beau Brieske blew a save while allowing four runs and recording just one out against the Dodgers on Friday in the 10th inning.
Mookie Betts homered twice including a walk-off three-run homer in the 10th inning Friday to give the Dodgers a win over the Tigers.
Jack Flaherty was charged for two runs in 5 2/3 innings while not factoring into the decision Friday against the Dodgers.