Monday’s MLB DFS Underdog Fantasy picks focus on a pair of MLB DFS projections as Seattle Mariners starter Logan Gilbert faces the Oakland Athletics and New York Mets righty faces the Boston Red Sox in an entry with a 3.96x multiplier.

 

 

 

MLB DFS Underdog Fantasy Picks, Monday, 9/2: MLB DFS Projections

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Logan Gilbert MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: More Than 18.5 Outs

We start things off with Logan Gilbert of the Seattle Mariners as he offers an appealing option for a higher pick in tonight’s game with a boosted payout multiplier. Gilbert has consistently gone deep into games, finishing with more than 18.5 outs in six of his last seven starts. His endurance and efficiency on the mound have been a key factor in his success, as he's developed into a reliable workhorse for the Mariners' rotation.

Gilbert's previous performance against tonight's opponent, the Oakland Athletics, also supports a higher pick. In his lone start against the A's earlier this season, Gilbert recorded 21 outs, demonstrating his ability to pitch deep into the game against a lineup that ranks near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories. The Athletics' offense is particularly vulnerable to right-handed pitching, providing Gilbert with an excellent opportunity to continue his streak of deep outings.

Given the matchup against a struggling A’s lineup and his recent track record of consistently pitching into the seventh inning or later, taking Gilbert for more than 18.5 outs tonight looks like a strong bet.

 

 

 

Ty Madden MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: More Than 2.5 Earned Runs

Ty Madden had a rocky road at Triple-A this season, sporting an ERA near 8.00. While his debut in the majors showed promise, with just one earned run over five innings, a deeper look into the numbers suggests this may have been more luck than skill. 

Madden's expected ERA (xERA) of 4.60 indicates that he benefited from some fortunate circumstances, such as only allowing four hits and three walks in that outing. These numbers suggest that his ability to limit damage may be short-lived. Adding to the case for Madden to give up more than 2.5 earned runs is the strength of the Red Sox offense. Over the last 30 days, Boston has been scorching hot against right-handed pitchers. 

They rank in the top 10 in weighted on-base average (wOBA), isolated power (ISO), and batting average. This potent lineup is likely to exploit Madden's control issues, especially if his walk rate remains elevated. Given these factors, it’s reasonable to expect that Madden will struggle to contain the Red Sox offense, making the higher than 2.5 earned runs allowed pick a strong play.

Total Multiplier - 3.96x

 

 

 

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