MLB DFS Sleeper Fantasy Picks Today, 9/1: Baseball Projections + More
Today’s MLB DFS Sleeper Fantasy picks feature two plays as we look at San Francisco Giants starter Logan Webb and Detroit Tigers starter Ty Madden in an entry with a 3.1x multiplier.
MLB DFS Sleeper Fantasy Picks, Friday, 8/30: Fantasy Baseball Projections
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Logan Webb Sleeper Fantasy MLB Pick: Less Than 5.5 Hits Allowed
Logan Webb presents an intriguing case on the other end of the spectrum. Facing a weak Miami Marlins team, Webb is well-positioned to continue his strong recent form. The Marlins rank in the bottom 10 in ISO, wOBA, and batting average against right-handed pitching, indicating they have struggled mightily to generate power and consistency at the plate.
Webb has allowed fewer than 5.5 hits in each of his last six starts, a streak that reflects both his effectiveness on the mound and his ability to limit quality contact. This trend is particularly compelling when considering Webb’s dominance at home this season, where he has posted a stellar 2.26 ERA and limited opponents to a .221 batting average. His ability to pitch efficiently, inducing weak contact and minimizing hits, makes him a solid candidate to stay under 5.5 hits allowed against Miami.
- Pick: Less Than 5.5 Hits Allowed
Ty Madden Sleeper Fantasy MLB Pick: More Than 2.5 Earned Runs
Ty Madden’s recent performances suggest that he might struggle against a strong offensive team like the Boston Red Sox. Madden, who was recently promoted to the major leagues, had a rough time at Triple-A earlier this season, where his ERA hovered around an alarming 8.00. This concerning minor league form raises doubts about his ability to succeed against a formidable Boston lineup.
In his MLB debut, Madden did manage to allow just one run over five innings, but this outcome could be misleading. His expected ERA (xERA) was 4.60, suggesting he was quite fortunate in that outing. The underlying numbers tell a different story — Madden walked three batters and gave up four hits. These indicators highlight potential issues with his control and susceptibility to contact, which could spell trouble against an effective offense.
The Red Sox have been on a tear against right-handed pitching over the last 30 days, ranking in the top 10 in weighted on-base average (wOBA), isolated power (ISO), and batting average. With their balanced attack and recent success, Boston has all the tools to capitalize on Madden's inconsistencies. Given Madden's shaky Triple-A form and fortunate first outing, it’s reasonable to expect him to allow more than 2.5 earned runs in this matchup.
- Pick: More Than 2.5 Earned Runs
Total Multiplier: 3.1x
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Player News
Orioles manager Brandon Hyde told reporters that Zach Eflin (lat) is likely to return and start Sunday against the Angels
It was assumed that Eflin would be back this weekend, but now we have a concrete date. The 31-year-old may not be at full strength after throwing fewer than 60 pitches in his rehab start, but the Orioles feel confident enough to have the right-hander back on the bump for the series finale against the Angels.
Riley Greene is not in the lineup for the first game of a doubleheader against the Rockies on Thursday.
Greene will get a break and likely return to the lineup for the second game of the twin-billing. Zach McKinstry will get the start in left field while Greene rests.
Yu Darvish (elbow) is facing live hitters on Thursday.
Darvish has been throwing bullpen sessions and traveled to the team’s complex in Arizona to face live hitters on Thursday. It will be his first time facing live batters since a spring training appearance on March 13th. He will likely need a few sessions like this before the Padres can map out a rehab appearance timeline for him.
Adael Amador is starting at second base and batting ninth for the Rockies on Thursday.
Amador has now started three of the last four games at second base for the Rockies. He’s gone just 7-for-43 this season with 15 strikeouts in 16 games. He’s just 22 years old, so there is plenty of time for him to adjust to the MLB level, but he doesn’t need to be on redraft radars right now.
Jackson Holliday is playing second base and batting second for the Orioles on Thursday against the Twins.
With Cedric Mullins sitting out on Thursday, Gunnar Henderson will bat lead off, and Holliday will jump up from sixth in the order to second. Holliday is riding a hot streak right now, and the Orioles are taking advantage. This is likely just a one-game sample with no Mullins or Adley Rutschman in the lineup, but Rutschman has been struggling, so perhaps it could become a more permanent spot in the lineup for Holliday moving forward.
Endy Rodriguez (finger) had his splint removed this week.
Rodriguez suffered a lacerated right index finger on April 14th. Now that he is out of his splint, he “is playing catch and doing a slightly modified swing.” Once he can progress to taking full swings, we’ll have a better sense of the timeline for his return.