MLB DFS Sleeper Fantasy Picks Today, 9/1: Baseball Projections + More
Today’s MLB DFS Sleeper Fantasy picks feature two plays as we look at San Francisco Giants starter Logan Webb and Detroit Tigers starter Ty Madden in an entry with a 3.1x multiplier.
MLB DFS Sleeper Fantasy Picks, Friday, 8/30: Fantasy Baseball Projections
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Logan Webb Sleeper Fantasy MLB Pick: Less Than 5.5 Hits Allowed
Logan Webb presents an intriguing case on the other end of the spectrum. Facing a weak Miami Marlins team, Webb is well-positioned to continue his strong recent form. The Marlins rank in the bottom 10 in ISO, wOBA, and batting average against right-handed pitching, indicating they have struggled mightily to generate power and consistency at the plate.
Webb has allowed fewer than 5.5 hits in each of his last six starts, a streak that reflects both his effectiveness on the mound and his ability to limit quality contact. This trend is particularly compelling when considering Webb’s dominance at home this season, where he has posted a stellar 2.26 ERA and limited opponents to a .221 batting average. His ability to pitch efficiently, inducing weak contact and minimizing hits, makes him a solid candidate to stay under 5.5 hits allowed against Miami.
- Pick: Less Than 5.5 Hits Allowed
Ty Madden Sleeper Fantasy MLB Pick: More Than 2.5 Earned Runs
Ty Madden’s recent performances suggest that he might struggle against a strong offensive team like the Boston Red Sox. Madden, who was recently promoted to the major leagues, had a rough time at Triple-A earlier this season, where his ERA hovered around an alarming 8.00. This concerning minor league form raises doubts about his ability to succeed against a formidable Boston lineup.
In his MLB debut, Madden did manage to allow just one run over five innings, but this outcome could be misleading. His expected ERA (xERA) was 4.60, suggesting he was quite fortunate in that outing. The underlying numbers tell a different story — Madden walked three batters and gave up four hits. These indicators highlight potential issues with his control and susceptibility to contact, which could spell trouble against an effective offense.
The Red Sox have been on a tear against right-handed pitching over the last 30 days, ranking in the top 10 in weighted on-base average (wOBA), isolated power (ISO), and batting average. With their balanced attack and recent success, Boston has all the tools to capitalize on Madden's inconsistencies. Given Madden's shaky Triple-A form and fortunate first outing, it’s reasonable to expect him to allow more than 2.5 earned runs in this matchup.
- Pick: More Than 2.5 Earned Runs
Total Multiplier: 3.1x
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