Today’s MLB DFS Sleeper Fantasy picks feature three plays as we look at Dodgers outfielder Mookie Betts, Reds infielder Elly De La Cruz and Guardians starting pitcher Gavin Williams in an entry with a 7.68x multiplier.

 

 

 

MLB DFS Sleeper Fantasy Picks, Tuesday, 8/27: Fantasy Baseball Projections

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Mookie Betts Sleeper Fantasy MLB Pick: More Than 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBI

Mookie Betts is in a prime spot for today's Sleeper Fantasy MLB pick, particularly when considering the over on 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBI. Betts has been on a tear lately, surpassing this line in three of his last four games. His matchup today against the Baltimore Orioles and left-handed starter Cole Irvin sets the stage for another big performance. Betts has been lethal against left-handed pitching this season, hitting .327 with a .173 ISO and a .500 slugging percentage. 

These numbers highlight his ability to make solid contact and generate extra-base hits when facing southpaws. Given that Irvin has struggled mightily against right-handed hitters this season, the outlook for Betts is even more favorable. Irvin enters today’s game allowing a .316 batting average, a .552 slugging percentage, and a .388 wOBA to right-handed hitters. These statistics suggest that Betts will have plenty of opportunities to get on base and drive in runs against Irvin. 

With the Dodgers projected to score 4.75 runs today, Betts, who usually occupies a premium spot in the lineup, is in an excellent position to contribute significantly to that total. Given Betts' recent form and the favorable matchup, the over on 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBI is a strong Sleeper Fantasy pick. Expect Betts to continue his hot streak and fill up the stat sheet as the Dodgers look to capitalize on Irvin's struggles.

 

 

 

Elly De La Cruz Sleeper Fantasy MLB Pick: More Than 0.5 Stolen Bases

Elly De La Cruz has quickly established himself as one of the most exciting players in baseball, and when it comes to MLB DFS Sleeper Fantasy picks, he's an excellent candidate for stolen bases. Today, the Reds' electrifying rookie faces off against Oakland A's right-hander Mitch Spence, and the conditions are ripe for De La Cruz to add to his league-leading stolen base total.

With 61 stolen bases on the season, De La Cruz is a constant threat on the basepaths. His speed and aggression have made him one of the most feared baserunners in the game. Spence, who has struggled on the road this year, enters today’s game with a 4.67 ERA when pitching away from Oakland. Left-handed hitters, in particular, have found success against him, posting a .506 slugging percentage and a .372 wOBA in road games. These numbers suggest that Spence is vulnerable to left-handed hitters like De La Cruz, especially when he's away from the comfort of his home ballpark.

Today's game takes place at Great American Ballpark, a venue that has seen its fair share of offensive fireworks this season. Given Spence's difficulties against lefties, it's highly likely that De La Cruz will find a way to reach base, whether it be through a hit, a walk, or even an error. Once on base, De La Cruz’s speed makes him a prime candidate to swipe a bag, especially against a pitcher like Spence, who has struggled to contain baserunners.

De La Cruz’s ability to change the game with his legs is one of the reasons why the over on 0.5 stolen bases is a compelling Sleeper Fantasy MLB pick for today. If he gets on base early, don’t be surprised if he takes off running and adds another stolen base to his impressive tally.

 

 

 

Gavin Williams Sleeper Fantasy MLB Pick: More Than 2.5 Earned Runs

Gavin Williams has had a rocky season, particularly when facing formidable offenses. Out of his ten starts this year, he has allowed at least three earned runs in six of them. Notably, in the games where he allowed fewer than 2.5 earned runs, two of them were against the Detroit Tigers, who have struggled significantly against right-handed pitching, ranking near the bottom of the league. The other two were against the Tampa Bay Rays and Minnesota Twins, where he allowed just one run in each contest. 

Both Tampa Bay and Detroit's struggles against righties have played a significant role in these performances, painting a clearer picture of Williams' inconsistency against stronger lineups. The Kansas City Royals, led by MVP contender Bobby Witt, present a much sterner test. Witt Jr. has been one of the driving forces behind an offense that has been better than many might expect, particularly when matched up against right-handers. Given this, it's reasonable to expect that Williams could be in for a tough outing.

Adding to the concern for Williams is his performance at home this season. In games played at Progressive Field, he has struggled mightily, allowing 17 runs on 27 hits over just 17.2 innings. This translates to an alarming 8.66 ERA at home, a stark contrast to his 3.03 ERA on the road. These splits suggest that Williams might be more comfortable away from Cleveland, where the pressure and conditions seem to exacerbate his struggles.

Given all these factors—the Royals' potent offense, Williams' troubling home stats, and his inconsistency against stronger lineups—the over on 2.5 earned runs looks like a smart Sleeper Fantasy MLB pick for today's slate. Expect the Royals to capitalize on Williams' vulnerabilities, potentially leading to another rough outing for the Guardians' right-hander.

Total Multiplier: 7.68x

 

 

 

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