MLB DFS Playbook September 27: Top Plays for DraftKings and FanDuel
Published: Sep 27, 2023
We have an eight-game MLB DFS main slate on Wednesday, September 27th, on DraftKings and FanDuel. Be sure to check out all of our tools including the MLB Lineups page, MLB DFS Projections – powered by FanJections –, MLB DFS Ownership, and all of the rest of our tools HERE! Let's dive into today's playbook, core plays, and top stacks of the day!
MLB DFS Weather Center
Nothing to worry about.
Recommended DFS Starting Pitchers
Top Options for Strikeouts
Pablo Lopez, Minnesota Twins vs. Oakland Athletics: 7.5 Ks (-145)
Gerrit Cole, New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 6.5 Ks (-105)
Griffin Canning, Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: 6.5 Ks (+105)
Jose Berrios, Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: 6.5 Ks (+110)
Framber Valdez, Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: 6.5 Ks (+110)
Best Odds for a Win
Pablo Lopez, Minnesota Twins vs. Oakland Athletics: -265
Emmet Sheehan, Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: -217
Wade Miley, Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: -166
Favorite Starters to Use for DFS Lineups
Gerrit Cole, New York Yankees
A final touch on his Cy Young season is incoming. He threw eight innings of 1 ER and 9 Ks against the Blue Jays in his last start and gets to run it back here against the Jays again. Cole’s been incredible all year and with chalky Pablo Lopez $600 cheaper, a contrarian route is using Cole instead.
Pablo Lopez, Minnesota Twins
Eat this chalk up like a filet mignon at a five-star restaurant. Oakland has a 26.8% K-rate against right-handed pitching in the month of September with a team OPS right above .700. Lopez has an insane ceiling as he’s topped 50 DKP and has hit 40+ DKP twice. He has as much upside as anyone considering the strikeout ceiling he has. Lopez has struck out 10+ batters in a game four times this year.
Jose Berrios, Toronto Blue Jays
Berrios has been pretty good this year and has been pretty good lately. He made one bad pitch against Jake Bauers in the first inning of his last start. He faces the Yankees again and the Yankees still struggle against right-handed pitching. The Yankees are 27th in OPS against right-handed pitching along with a 26.6% K-rate as well. Berrios could check in a little lower owned this time around because of the struggles he had just last start.
Wade Miley, Milwaukee Brewers
Talk about a team that fell off the cliff. St. Louis. That’s who Miley draws here and who he just dominated in his last outing. In September, St. Louis is 27th in OPS and has a .103 ISO against left-handed pitching. The downside for Miley is the lack of strikeouts, at least the consistency of them. He struck out seven Cards last time out but has only struck out 5+ batters four times in 22 starts.
Recommended DFS Hitters
Highest Expected Run Totals
Los Angeles Dodgers: 6.26
Colorado Rockies: 5.48
Atlanta Braves: 5.21
Favorite Hitters to Use for DFS Lineups
Freddie Freeman, Los Angeles Dodgers
Freeman gets to face Noah Davis in Coors Field after homering yesterday. Freeman’s had an insane season and has crushed RHP with a .204 ISO and .402 wOBA against them. Noah Davis has been hit around vs. LHH allowing a .218 ISO and .440 wOBA.
Nolan Jones, Colorado Rockies
Although Emmet Sheehan looked good last time out, meet Nolan Jones Mr. Sheehan. Over his last 10 games, Jones has slashed .500/.651/.867 with three home runs and four stolen bases as well. Lefties have given Sheehan issues this year allowing a .227 ISO and a .334 wOBA. Jones is one of my favorite plays on the board.
Xander Bogaerts, San Diego Padres
There have been fewer hotter hitters in baseball than Xander Bogaerts. He’s hitting .400 with an OPS of 1.082 over his last 10 games. He’s crushed lefties over the last 30 days posting a .435 ISO and a .672 wOBA which has now helped him lift those numbers to a .178 ISO and a .349 wOBA. Sean Manaea has struggled with righties this year allowing a .192 ISO and .337 wOBA.
Alex Kirilloff, Minnesota Twins
It’s really hard not to take a look at Minnesota tonight. Kirilloff is really, really cheap to boot. He has a .180 ISO and a .371 wOBA against RHP this season. Joey Estes, 22-year old starter, struggled mightily in his debut. He gave up three home runs and Kirilloff has homered in three bombs over his last six games.
Player Pool
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Stacks
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