Fantasy Baseball Prospect Report: Trade Deadline Deals Pt. II
Published: Aug 08, 2016
Last Sunday we saw a handful of deals go down prior to the authoring of this article. On Monday, though, it was a complete whirlwind. With big names being moved throughout the day, dust wasn’t settled until two names—Reese McGuire and Harold Ramirez—were announced as the pieces headed to Toronto along with Francisco Liriano. This was one of the more exciting deadlines in recent memory with a glut of players finding new homes. Plenty of prospects were in the mix in many of the deals and now, one week removed from the final non-waiver trade, we’ll finish off our look at the 2016 MLB Trade Deadline.
The Chicago Cubs acquired RHP Joe Smith from the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim for RHP Jesus Castillo
The Cubs picked up Aroldis Chapman days before this deal, but added Smith as insurance. To get Smith, Chicago gave up a promising young arm in Jesus Castillo. The young righty is just 20 years old, but has performed quite well in the minors, especially at the Single-A level. Castillo’s K/9 has risen from 7.8 last season to 10.4 in 2016 while he has decreased his walks by over one per nine innings. He’s not going to sniff the majors until at least 2019, but he’s a good get for the Angels and should see continued success given the positive strides he’s made this year.
The New York Mets acquired OF Jay Bruce from the Cincinnati Reds for INF Dilson Herrera and LHP Max Wotell
Bruce was one of the more coveted names at the deadline and the Mets ended up landing him, but not before a snag. Brandon Nimmo was the headline named on his way to Cincinnati before a medical report nixed the deal. Instead, the two teams settled on Herrera and Wotell. With Herrera the Reds get a player that has limited major league experience, but he plays a solid second base and does have some power. Wotell is a raw young left-handed pitcher that has very good instincts and strikeout ability, but has trouble with walks. He’s a long way from the majors, so he has plenty of time to get his walk numbers down, which, ultimately, will likely be the key to his success.
The Toronto Blues Jays acquired RHP Scott Feldman from the Houston Astros for RHP Lupe Chavez
The Astros were trying to unload Feldman and surprisingly the Blue Jays took the bait. Chavez is a very young player—only 18—and that means he’s hard to project given that we really haven’t seen much from him. In 32 innings this season, Chavez has struck out 26 and walked just four, so there are certainly some positive traits in his game. Like the aforementioned Castillo and Wotell, Chavez has a long way to go before he reaches the majors.
The San Francisco Giants acquired LHP Will Smith from the Milwaukee Brewers for RHP Phil Bickford and C Andrew Susac
The main piece of this deal was Phil Bickford. The Brewers managed to turn a lefty specialist into a potential middle of the rotation starter, which should be considered a win. Bickford was drafted in the first round of the 2015 MLB Draft and has risen quickly through the team’s minor league system. Between Single-A and High-A this season, Bickford has made 17 starts and owns a 2.71 ERA while striking out 10.2 batters per nine innings. He should start the 2017 campaign at Double-A, putting him on track for a major league debut in 2018.
The Texas Rangers acquired C Jonathan Lucroy and RHP Jeremy Jeffress from the Milwaukee Brewers for OF Lewis Brinson, RHP Luis Ortiz, and a PTBNL
This was the second deal the Brewers made on August 1 and it netted a substantial haul. The Rangers are in a total win now mode, so they had to pay a hefty price to land Lucroy and Jeffress. Prior to the start of the 2016 season, Baseball America ranked Brinson as the 16th best prospect in all of baseball. He has struggled to hit for average this season, posting a slash of .237/.280/.431 at Double-A Frisco, but he does have double digit homers (11) and steals (11). Brinson has had issues with strikeouts throughout his minor league career, but has improved immensely as he’s risen through different levels. His strikeout rate at Double-A this year sat at 19.6 percent, down from 38 percent at Single-A in 2013. Milwaukee sent Brinson to Triple-A and it seems likely that he’ll stay there for the next calendar year.
The other big name in this deal was Ortiz. The Rangers gave up another Top 100 Prospect when they included Ortiz in the Lucroy deal. Ortiz is a flamethrower that has shown a keen ability to throw strikes and limit walks. With Ortiz and Bickford, Milwaukee has not only bolstered their minor league system, but they have quite possibly found two arms that will anchor their rotation for the next several years.
The Texas Rangers acquired OF Carlos Beltran from the New York Yankees for RHP Dillon Tate, RHP Erik Swanson, and RHP Nick Green
The Yankees sure made a killing at this year’s deadline and cut a ton of fat in the process. Tate is not quite on the level of Ortiz, but he was still a valuable prospect within the Rangers’ system. He made 17 appearances (16 starts) for Single-A Hickory, but posted an ugly 5.12 ERA. Already 22 years old, Texas was hoping that Tate would have found success sooner, but that wasn’t the case and the team decided he was expendable. With a new home in the Yankees’ system, Tate will get a fresh start. In his first appearance at Single-A Charleston, Tate pitched three scoreless innings with three strikeouts. This was a relief appearance, but Tate will likely join Charleston’s rotation soon.
With Swanson and Green, the Yankees get a couple of hard-throwing right-handers that could eventually become back of the rotation arms. Swanson has more upside, but neither pitcher has posted dazzling numbers in the minor leagues. With his strikeout upside, it’s possible that Green could eventually be converted into a reliever.
The Los Angeles Dodgers acquired LHP Rich Hill and OF Josh Reddick from the Oakland A’ for RHP Jharel Cotton, RHP Grant Holmes, and RHP Frankie Montas
This was a solid deal for both sides, but if Rich Hill doesn’t return to Los Angeles healthy and contribute, this could end up being quite lopsided. The A’s acquired three right-handed arms with the centerpiece being Holmes. Just 20 years old, Holmes has serious upside but it hasn’t yet translated to success in the minor leagues. Holmes has a fastball that sits in the mid-90s and a lethal, biting curveball that will lead to plenty of strikeouts. Where he is lacking, though, is with his consistency. For every two steps forward, he takes one back. While that will eventually lead to success, it may take awhile to get there.
Cotton had been a part of the Dodgers system for five years and has risen from Rookie Ball to Triple-A at a gradual pace. He has a career 10.2 K/9 in the minors, while keeping his walks in check with a 2.7 BB/9. There is a chance that Cotton could pitch out of the bullpen in the future as he does have experience in that role, but for now the A’s want him to find success as a starter. We could see him make a couple of starts for Oakland down the stretch.
The last piece the A’s received was Montas. He has pitched in the majors with the White Sox, but his cup of coffee was quick. He has done well over the last two seasons, but missed the first couple of months of the 2016 season after undergoing rib surgery. Much like Cotton, Montas could eventually be a big-time bullpen arm, but Oakland wants to use him as a starter in the short-term. He could pitch for Oakland down the stretch this season.
The Toronto Blue Jays acquired LHP Francisco Liriano, C Reese McGuire, and OF Harold Ramirez from the Pittsburgh Pirates for RHP Drew Hutchison
In what was classified as likely the weirdest deal of the 2016 MLB Trade Deadline, the Pirates moved a starting pitcher and two of their top prospects for a young starting pitcher. Look, this was a salary dump by the Pirates and to get it done they had to part with a couple of prospects. McGuire is known more for his defensive, but he doesn’t have a bat that is going to play well in the major leagues. Even though he was a top prospect in Pittsburgh’s deep system, it’s likely that he will be more of a backup in the majors.
Ramirez is another prospect that has probably gotten more love that he’s deserved. He can play all three outfield positions well, but that doesn’t mean a whole lot to fantasy owners. His offensive game is limited to his ability to hit for average. Don’t get me wrong, that’s a good thing, but he’s only hit 13 home runs in five minor league seasons and his power projection into the future is not positive. Ramirez could be a .290 hitter in the majors and steal 15 bags a season, but that doesn’t scream fantasy upside.
The Cleveland Indians acquired OF Brandon Guyer from the Tampa Bay Rays for OF Nathan Lukes and RHP Jhonleider Salinas
The Indians needed depth in their outfield and was able to snag Guyer right before the deadline. Lukes was a steady outfielder within the organization, but is certainly not viewed as a top prospect. He slashed a respectable .301/.375/.453 with five home runs and 14 steals at Single-A Lake County before being promoted to High-A and then ultimately being traded to Tampa Bay. He has the potential is be a fourth outfielder in the majors.
Salinas has severe control issues and has spent his first two professional seasons in Rookie Ball. He does have strikeout upside, but until his gets his walks under control, he is going to be a constant project. There’s a good chance that he will meddle in the minor leagues for a long time.
The San Francisco Giants acquired LHP Matt Moore from the Tampa Bay Rays for 3B Matt Duffy, SS Lucius Fox, and RHP Michael Santos
The Rays were able to net a major league player in this deal, so that is always a small victory. The big prize, though, was Fox. The Giants signed Fox out of the Bahamas last summer and he has spent the entire 2016 season at Single-A Augusta. Fox is a very raw player at this point, but has a wealth of talent. He is just 18 years old, so he will likely move at a snail’s pace through the Rays’ system. Fox is batting just .207 and has only two home runs over 331 plate appearances at Single-A this year, but he has managed to swipe 25 bags. He has an extremely high ceiling, but his current floor is low. Expect to see him in High-A Charlotte next year.
You won’t find Santos on any top prospect lists, but he is a steady arm and could be a rotational piece for the Rays in the future. Though he doesn’t post big strikeout numbers, he keeps the ball over the plate and has very good control. Santos has given up just five home runs in his first 177.2 professional innings. He has a relatively high floor and could be a backend starter for Tampa Bay down the line.