DFS NFL RB Coach – Week 5, 2015

Published: Oct 09, 2015

A few things of note when understanding some of the statistics provided in the tables. Most of the statistics are easy to understand, but here are a few clarifications in case you are not following along:

The "Pace" ranking is based upon how fast each team gets to the line to run plays. The idea being the faster a team plays, the greater number of plays are run which gives those particular players more chances at production. The rest of the data in the table below is pretty easy to understand as it relates mostly to the amount of volume and expected volume we can count on from each of the top RBs this week.

Here is the DFS NFL RB Coach for Week 4:

	# Plays	# Run Plays	# Snaps	% of Plays	# Touches	% of Touches
Player	(Team)	(Team)	(Player)	(Player/Team)	(Player)	(Player/Team)
Le'Veon Bell	226	105	122	0.54	55	0.28
Jamaal Charles	244	101	229	0.94	79	0.41
Arian Foster	308	107	32	0.10	11	0.05
Justin Forsett	265	105	207	0.78	78	0.38
Matt Forte	245	117	227	0.93	97	0.50
Devonta Freeman	267	124	184	0.69	83	0.38
Mark Ingram	261	96	182	0.70	78	0.36
Eddie Lacy	247	124	126	0.51	56	0.26
T.J. Yeldon	258	102	217	0.84	80	0.43
Joseph Randle	236	105	112	0.47	65	0.32
Karlos Williams	241	121	114	0.47	47	0.23
Marshawn Lynch	244	117	123	0.50	47	0.23
DeMarco Murray	234	89	101	0.43	40	0.23
Doug Martin	244	111	137	0.56	74	0.40
Latavius Murray	242	87	184	0.76	82	0.44
Giovani Bernard	240	124	149	0.62	66	0.33
Chris Johnson	245	111	127	0.52	72	0.37
Carlos Hyde	234	118	167	0.71	70	0.37
Todd Gurley	195	83	50	0.26	28	0.18
Frank Gore	251	88	179	0.71	63	0.34
Ronnie Hillman	244	90	97	0.40	41	0.22
Jeremy Hill	240	124	112	0.47	51	0.25
Matt Jones	279	126	82	0.29	46	0.20
Dion Lewis	204	71	154	0.75	45	0.27
Melvin Gordon	251	105	123	0.49	62	0.30
Duke Johnson	230	93	133	0.58	46	0.26
Ameer Abdullah	232	69	119	0.51	43	0.25
Alfred Morris	279	126	130	0.47	70	0.30
Rashad Jennings	249	106	91	0.37	49	0.25
Chris Thompson	279	126	100	0.36	22	0.10
LeGarrette Blount	204	71	43	0.21	21	0.13
Danny Woodhead	251	105	143	0.57	49	0.23
C.J. Anderson	244	90	163	0.67	50	0.27
Ryan Mathews	234	89	77	0.33	38	0.21
C.J. Spiller	261	96	61	0.23	14	0.07
Andre Ellington	245	111	39	0.16	13	0.07
Thomas Rawls	244	117	74	0.30	36	0.17
Isaiah Crowell	230	93	115	0.50	54	0.30
Bishop Sankey	186	89	73	0.39	33	0.22
Reggie Bush	234	118	21	0.09	4	0.02
Antonio Andrews	186	89	23	0.12	13	0.09
Darren Sproles	234	89	96	0.41	36	0.20
Khiry Robinson	261	96	70	0.27	36	0.17
Charles Sims	244	111	128	0.52	35	0.19
David Johnson	245	111	75	0.31	24	0.12
Shane Vereen	249	106	108	0.43	32	0.16
Theo Riddick	232	69	80	0.34	22	0.13
Darren McFadden	236	105	60	0.25	35	0.17

In the table below, we have listed even more data to help you choose the right running back options for Week 5. Here are some tips for the second table:

D vs. Position -- How that week's given opponent has done so far this season.

DVOA -- A player's value over the average NFL running back performance so far this season. This number has been adjusted based upon opponents' defenses faced so far this season. The higher the number, the more value they have created for their team.

The Script -- A rating based upon the expected game script, or, basically, how each player's role in the offense will be affected based upon expected game flow. The higher the rating, the greater the expected game flow will work in their favor. E.g. Danny Woodhead plays more in passing situations, so with San Diego being sizeable favorites, his role in the offense will likely be reduced if the game works out as expected.

		# Rush	% Rush
Player	Pace	Att	Att	D Vs Pos	DVOA	PFF O-LINE	O/U	Script
Le'Veon Bell	23	41	0.39	2	23	25	45.5	9
Jamaal Charles	17	59	0.58	25	17	6	45	7
Arian Foster	1	8	0.07	17	12	14		9
Justin Forsett	3	66	0.63	5	16	9	43.5	8
Matt Forte	22	84	0.72	22	32	18	45	5
Devonta Freeman	20	66	0.53	32	28	22	48	8
Mark Ingram	19	56	0.58	27	31	26	49	6
Eddie Lacy	28	50	0.40	4	13	15	46	8
T.J. Yeldon	6	70	0.69	16	29	24	42	5
Joseph Randle	30	59	0.56	23	21	19	49.5	4
Karlos Williams	26	42	0.35	28	9	21	42	7
Marshawn Lynch	16	38	0.32	9	8	3	44	6
DeMarco Murray	2	29	0.33	21	5	13	49	8
Doug Martin	8	66	0.59	12	11	30	42	8
Latavius Murray	13	68	0.78	11	26	23	43.5	6
Giovani Bernard	21	54	0.44	31	7	8	44	7
Chris Johnson	31	68	0.61	19	3	11	44	6
Carlos Hyde	14	62	0.53	10	30	31	43	5
Todd Gurley	29	25	0.30	18	6	2	46	4
Frank Gore	9	54	0.61	7	19	16		5
Ronnie Hillman	18	39	0.43	13	1	1	43.5	7
Jeremy Hill	21	50	0.40	31	7	8	44	5
Matt Jones	27	43	0.34	1	20	12	48	4
Dion Lewis	7	30	0.42	3	14	27	49.5	5
Melvin Gordon	25	56	0.53	29	24	32	45.5	6
Duke Johnson	15	31	0.33	24	27	29	43.5	7
Ameer Abdullah	10	34	0.49	20	18	10	44	6
Alfred Morris	27	66	0.52	1	20	12	48	4
Rashad Jennings	4	42	0.40	8	22	28	43	7
Chris Thompson	27	11	0.09	1	20	12	48	8
LeGarrette Blount	7	20	0.28	3	14	27	49.5	8
Danny Woodhead	25	33	0.31	29	24	32	45.5	5
C.J. Anderson	18	43	0.48	13	1	1	43.5	6
Ryan Mathews	2	33	0.37	21	5	13	49	7
C.J. Spiller	19	6	0.06	27	31	26	49	7
Andre Ellington	31	12	0.11	19	3	11	44	6
Thomas Rawls	16	35	0.30	9	8	3	44	6
Isaiah Crowell	15	49	0.53	24	27	29	43.5	3
Bishop Sankey	30	29	0.33	26	10	4	42	5
Reggie Bush	14	3	0.03	10	30	31	43	7
Antonio Andrews	30	12	0.13	26	10	4	42	6
Darren Sproles	2	21	0.24	21	5	13	49	4
Khiry Robinson	19	26	0.27	27	31	26	49	4
Charles Sims	8	25	0.23	12	11	30	42	7
David Johnson	31	15	0.14	19	3	11	44	6
Shane Vereen	4	20	0.19	8	22	28	43	3
Theo Riddick	10	2	0.03	20	18	10	44	6
Darren McFadden	32	32	0.30	23	21	19	49.5	4

Premium Options

Le’Veon Bell will continue to be the focal point of the offense without Ben Roethlisberger as we saw last week. The Steelers are going to lean heavily on him in both the passing and running game. Bell had seven catches last week and should see 25-plus touches against the second-worst rush defense in the league.

Jamaal Charles is another every-down back who gets involved no matter the score. The Bears come to town and Kansas City is a heavy favorite so the only issue is, does Charles get pulled early? He is a sure bet for at least one TD.

Arian Foster had a rough first week as he showed some rust, but should get back on track this week. Foster should get more reps and seems to have escaped last week healthy. The Texans run the most plays in football, which should only give him more chances to produce against a struggling Colts team.

Mid-Tier Options

Justin Forsett finally got going last week with 158 yards on the ground and that should continue versus Cleveland who is in the bottom five in the league against the run. The early season reps by his back-up Lorenzo Taliaferro have seem to have been cut. Forsett will also get more involved in the passing game as well after being blanked last week.

Karlos Williams will need to pass his concussion protocol this week but if he does will be in a good spot. The Bills are a run-focused team and Williams was easily the dominant running back last week for Buffalo. Williams ended up with a serviceable day last week and should be solid vs. Tennessee.

Devonta Freeman has scored six TD’s over the last two weeks and could have scored more if they needed him in the second half last week. Washington does have the top-ranked run defense which poses a challenge, but the Atlanta offense has been on another level. It could be a little tougher this week, but Freeman is still the dominant running back for the Falcons.

Bargain Options

T.J. Yeldon continues to be the sole ball carrier in Jacksonville. He went over 100 yards last week and it is just a matter of time before he finds the end zone. I am not sold on his talent, but can’t ignore that he is averaging 20 touches per game against a soft Tampa Bay defense.

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