Welcome into tonight’s MLB best bets for this slate of MLB action here at Fantasy Alarm on this Monday, April 28, 2025! It’s a bit of a lighter night in baseball but that doesn’t mean there aren’t ways to win a couple wagers! Today is going to be the day that we up the bets to a FULL UNIT also as we are now a month into the season and the data sample size is acceptable to trust. Check out the picks below, let’s win!

 

In this MLB Best Bets Today article you will find a wide array of choices from some Money Lines and to game totals and on occasion some player props! Check out the rationale and if you agree with me make sure to tail and good luck!

Now, let's dive into my expert MLB Best Bets today!

  • Season Record: 52-40-1
  • Bankroll: +5.3 units

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MLB Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 4/28

Tigers vs. Astros Predictions

If you’ve been watching baseball for the opening month of the MLB season, then you know the Astros are having issues. Now they are over .500 and that’s a good starting point but this offense seems lost scoring just 3.67 runs per game and having a team BABIP of just .253 is poor. Hard to see that getting better today against a Tigers team that pitches well and Jack Flaherty will be on the mound!  

Flaherty is back to his ways of the ace this season as he’s holding down an ERA of 2.63 and 1.02 WHIP over 27.1 innings pitched. He also has struck out 34 batters during that time and while that stat category may be lower today given the Astros plate discipline, I still think he pitches a gem. The best wager I found to back Flaherty was earned runs allowed as the outs recorded is too juicy although I will give that out as well below. Under 2.5 earned runs seems like a lock for this guy given his play so let’s ride that one because I need to back him in some way tonight. 

Pick: Jack Flaherty (DET) Under 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-135 on DraftKings)

Pick: Jack Flaherty (DET) Over 17.5 Outs Recorded (-170 on DraftKings)

 

 

Marlins vs. Dodgers Predictions

This series is likely to be bet by me for the next 3 days and its a given as to why but let’s break it down to make our editor Jon Impemba happy about showing the work. The Dodgers score 5.07 runs per game at home this season, the 5th most in baseball and they are facing off against a Marlins team that is sending out Edward Cabrera, the right-handed gas can! 

Cabrera has had a couple of seasons now that have not been up to snuff and 2025 has been the worst one yet! Through 3 starts and 14.2 innings he’s given up 10 runs, 13 hits and 8 walks and now he will face one of baseball’s best lineups, gulp! He struggles against lefties more so as well allowing a .869 OPS in 36 at bats this season. 

That means we’re loving Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman today at the top of the Dodgers lineup both being lefty bats too of course. Ohtani’s hits/runs/RBIs number is 1.5 today which never happens anymore so that’s a over hammer bet and then Freeman is also at 1.5 today as well. With both hitting first and third in the lineup there’s a chance this could hit in one sequence!

  • Pick: Shohei Ohtani (LAD) Over 1.5 Hits/Runs/RBIs (-140 on DraftKings)
  • Pick: Freddie Freeman (LAD) Over 1.5 Hits/Runs/RBIs (-130 on DraftKings)
 

 

Best MLB Prop Bets & Other Picks Today, 4/28

  • Pick: Orioles Money Line (+120 on ESPN Bet)
  • Pick: Cardinals Money Line (+100 on BetMGM)