MLB Best Bets Today, 10/6: Picks, Predictions & Player Props - Sunday
The 2024 MLB Postseason rolls on as we dive into the top MLB picks and MLB best bets for Sunday’s games. The NLDS matchups continue today with two games on the schedule. Let’s dive into MLB Best Bets and Props as you enjoy the action!
Our top MLB predictions today feature Padres vs. Dodgers picks in their NLDS Game 2 showdown. Plus, we wrap up our Sunday baseball betting card with some top MLB props today. Enjoy the weekend baseball as we cash our plays!
MLB Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 10/6
As always, be sure to shop around for the best Vegas Odds and Lines at different sportsbooks. The odds in this article below are accurate as of this writing.
Without further ado, let’s check out my MLB best bets and props for Sunday, October 6th.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction: Sunday, October 6th
After an exciting series opener last night, the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers will face off in Sunday’s NLDS Game 2 showdown. The starting pitching matchup is set with Yu Darvish taking on Jack Flaherty. Let’s see how to bet this clash between NL West rivals.
Darvish had a solid season for San Diego with a 3.31 ERA over 16 starts. However, he did have some worrisome metrics with a career-low 23.6% K rate and career-high 39.9% hard-hit rate. The 38-year-old right-hander was mostly effective but he isn’t the same consistently dominant pitcher we saw in the past.
The dangerous Dodgers offense, meanwhile, crushed right-handed pitching over the final two weeks of the regular season (.390 wOBA, 154 wRC+, .900 OPS). Darvish could run into trouble here, considering he has a 3.55 ERA and 5.34 FIP over his last 5 starts since returning from injury.
On the other side, Flaherty could get knocked around by the San Diego offense as well. The righty struggled with his consistency since joining LA at the trade deadline, pitching to a 3.58 ERA and 4.16 FIP in 10 starts with the Dodgers. He’s allowed at least 3 runs in 6 of his last 9 starts as well. He’ll face a Padres lineup that also boasted favorable numbers against right-handers over the last two weeks of the season (.331 wOBA, 116 wRC+, .770 OPS).
The Padres are averaging 4.3 runs per game over their past 20 contests. The Dodgers are scoring 7.8 runs per game over their past 14 games. These are two potent offenses that can turn this Game 2 in a slugfest if Darvish and/or Flaherty are a bit off.
Take the over for the full game and first five innings. This isn’t an overreaction to last night’s 7-5 final score where the scoring got going early, but it definitely helps with the bullpens being used early. Plus, grab the over on Fernando Tatis’s total bases prop as he’s hitting .625 in 10 career at-bats vs. Flaherty and is on fire already in the postseason.
Expert Padres vs. Dodgers MLB Picks
- Over 8.5 Total Runs (-105 FanDuel Sportsbook)
- 1st 5 Innings Over 4.5 Runs (-108 FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Fernando Tatis To Record 2+ Total Bases (-105 FanDuel Sportsbook)
Best MLB Player Prop Bets & Other Picks Today, 10/6
- Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI (-150 BetMGM)
- Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline (-150 BetMGM)