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2024 Player Outlook

2023 Recap: Ashcraft was a popular sleeper last year, but he didn't endear himself to fantasy managers until the end of June. Ashcraft posted a 7.17 ERA through his first 14 starts of the season, but over his final 12 starts, he posted a 2.58 ERA (4.64 FIP), albeit still with a miniscule 6.93 K/9. Ashcraft has struggled to miss bats, which has kept his strikeout rate down, but fortunately, he does generate a healthy number of ground balls. Over the final three months of the season, the usage on his sinker trended down, while he used his slider more and more. For strikeout upside, his slider is instrumental to that, as it accounted for most of his strikeouts, as well as a .211 BAA and 33.1 percent whiff rate. 

2024 Outlook: In NL-only formats where you need innings, Ashcraft is a low-end fantasy option who will hurt your ratios a bit. I don't think he is as bad as the first "half" of last year, but he's not as good as the second "half" of 2023. In 2024, Ashcraft will likely put up 8-10 wins, thanks to a potent offense backing him, but an ERA around 4.70-4.80 with a sub-20 percent strikeout rate won't do you any favors.