2025 Player Outlook

Keller largely remained the same guy in 2024 as he was in 2023, aside from the fact that his strikeout rate dipped to 21.5 percent, which is well below his 25.5 percent mark in 2023. His fastball velocity dipped a bit, which is noteworthy, and despite generating more swings out of the zone, he did allow more contact. Keller still has some issues with LHH, and a poor second half (5.65 ERA over final 63.2 IP) has knocked some of the shine off Keller heading into 2025, but the fact that he’s being drafted outside of the top 300 on average is crazy! A guy who will likely win 10+ games with an ERA in the low-4s and the potential to get their strikeout rate closer to the mid-twenties should not be going this late in drafts!

Player News

Mitch Keller allowed five runs — four earned — over five innings in a loss to the Padres on Friday.

1 day ago

Keller pitched well over the first three innings, but things fell apart in his next two frames. He allowed two runs in the fourth including a solo blast from Gavin Sheets, and three more scored in the fifth in his final frame. The 29-year-old walked one and struck out three in a nondescript — but ultimately ineffective — outing against a tough lineup. Keller will try and rebound and lower his 4.38 ERA against the Cardinals next week.

2025-05-02 11:43:48 (ET)

Mitch Keller picked up a quality start with three runs allowed over six innings — two earned — Saturday against the Dodgers.

1 week ago

2025-04-27 12:11:35 (ET)

Mitch Keller allowed two runs on five hits in five innings in a no-decision against the Guardians on Sunday.

1 week ago

The right-hander struck out three and walked two but allowed a two-run homer to Steven Kwan in the third inning, which was the difference in the game before the offense clawed back in the ninth. While Keller didn’t give up many hits, he gave up a decent amount of hard contact with a 92.2 mph average exit velocity. He also only posted an 18 percent whiff rate on the day in what could have been a much worse line had he not pitched his way out of trouble in the fifth inning. Keller will now take a 4.18 ERA into a must-avoid start against the Dodgers next week.

2025-04-20 4:42:00 (ET)

Mitch Keller yielded three runs in six innings Tuesday in a loss to the Nationals.

2 weeks ago

Keller finally gave up his first homer of the year, a solo shot to James Wood in the first. In spite of his good fortunate in avoiding the home run ball, he’s 1-2 with a 4.30 ERA through four turns, and there isn’t much reason to think things will get better. He’ll face the Guardians next.

2025-04-15 9:27:02 (ET)

DFS Last 5

Date
Opponent
Pts
May 2ndPadres3.3
Apr 27th@Dodgers17.9
Apr 20thGuardians9.1
Apr 15thNationals8.1
Apr 9thCardinals25.5

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