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2024 Player Outlook

2023 Recap: Mikolas continues to outproduce his expected his ERA, but in 2023, it carried a bit of a different tune. His xERA was 5.44, but Mikolas posted a 4.78 ERA across 35 starts. He's now pitched 200+ IP in back-to-back seasons, and 180+ in four of the last five, and his 1.32 WHIP was his highest since 2014! Mikolas had a home run problem after the All-Star break, allowing 16 home runs across his final 88.2 IP. He attacks the zone, and doesn't walk batters, but he pitches to contact in the strike zone, and his fastball and sinker found too much of the middle of the plate, especially the latter. His sinker needs to get into the bottom-third of the zone, because it didn't find it often last year, resulting in a .343 BAA and .555 SLG. 

2024 Outlook: Mikolas doesn't miss bats, he doesn't strike batters out, and from a fantasy standpoint, his margin for error is slim. He's entering his mid-thirties, and he's no more than an innings eater at this point in his career. In 2024, expect 180+ innings once again from Mikolas, but a lack of strikeouts and an ERA in the mid-to-upper fours will tank his value. Mikolas is a back-end fantasy starter that you only ideally use in streaming situations if you must roster him.