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2024 Player Outlook

2023 Recap: The ageless wonder posted another phenomenal season for an age-39 year. Morton posted 163.1 innings in 30 starts with a 3.64 ERA (3.87 FIP, 4.44 SIERA), and 1.43 WHIP. While the ratios aren’t spectacular, we’ll take a mid-3.00s mark and a 10.08 K/9 (25.6-percent K-rate) from a near-40-year-old being drafted as an SP5. 

2024 Outlook: Just how sustainable is a repeat in 2024? Let’s dig in. He posted a .321 BABIP against, though limited HR/9 to 0.77 and a HR/FB to a trim 9.4-percent. The BAA of .242 was his second highest in the last several years. The FIP, xFIP, and SIERA all suggest a jump in ERA to closer to four while the WHIP is likely to remain reasonably high. So overall, Morton will remain an SP5 option with decent K-rates and shots at wins, but not much help in ERA or WHIP.