WNBA DFS Playbook September 10: Top DraftKings & FanDuel WNBA DFS Picks
The WNBA playoff field is set, though a handful of teams are still fighting for seeding. We will discuss those teams in a bit, but the safest players may be from the teams that have already been eliminated. Seattle has effectively been out of the playoff race since before the All-Star break, but they have continued to play Jewell Loyd the third-most minutes per game in the entire league. I see no reason why that would change Sunday. On the other hand, we have no way of knowing how much these coaches are going to push for a higher playoff seed. I think having the No. 1 overall seed is extremely important. Similarly, I would be doing whatever it took to face Dallas in the first round of the playoffs and not Connecticut. But we don’t know if the coaches involved feel the same way. Perhaps they believe having healthy, well-rested starters is more important than playoff matchups or homecourt advantage. In general, I’m more inclined to use players from teams that have something to play for, but it would be a mistake to assume those teams will have normal rotations. The games may mean something, but rest and health mean something, as well.
Of the aforementioned teams that still have something to play for, Las Vegas and New York are the trickiest. The Aces can clinch the top seed with a win, while the Liberty would need to win their ninth straight game and get help from Las Vegas. Both have veteran teams that could probably benefit from some rest, so while I expect the starters to play, I would not be surprised to see both teams lean more heavily on their benches.
I think Atlanta and Minnesota have the most to play for, and it probably helps that they are pretty young. Rhyne Howard and Napheesa Collier could probably benefit from only playing 20 minutes Sunday, but their coaches may believe they will be just fine playing 35+ minutes one more time.
Finally, the Sky deserve a mention because while they have nothing to play for, it may not affect their rotations much. They only have three healthy guards with Kahleah Copper out, which is a problem for a team that has spent the overwhelming majority of the season with three guards on the court. I’m sure the Sky would love to rest Courtney Williams or Marina Mabrey, but they might not have that option.
WNBA DFS Guards | ||||||
Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG |
Dana Evans | CHI | CON | 5600 | 16.03 | 4500 | 15.43 |
In her lone start this season, Evans had 23 fantasy points in 33.8 minutes. The Sky are down to three guards with Kahleah Copper out, and even if Evans comes off the bench, she should play heavy minutes in a good matchup. | ||||||
Veronica Burton | DAL | ATL | 6000 | 9.79 | 3900 | 10.33 |
Burton isn't exactly a value play on DraftKings, but her FanDuel price is unchanged from Friday. I don't see any reason why the Wings would risk Crystal Dangerfield with the fourth seed wrapped up, which would mean a second consecutive start for Burton. Burton scored 20.4 FD fantasy points in 27 minutes Friday and I would gladly take a repeat performance Sunday. | ||||||
Rhyne Howard | ATL | DAL | 10200 | 33.22 | 7700 | 32.69 |
Atlanta would secure the No. 5 seed and a first-round matchup with Dallas with a win. Howard has topped 40 fantasy points in three of her last four games, and she will probably need to play heavy minutes again with AD Durr out again. | ||||||
Rae Burrell | LA | SEA | 4600 | 7.11 | 5000 | 7.06 |
In two starts this season, Burrell is averaging 34.2 minutes and 26.5 fantasy points. She may see fewer minutes Sunday with Nneka Ogwumike questionable, but she should be a good value so long as Karlie Samuelson, who is questionable, remains out. | ||||||
Jewell Loyd | SEA | LA | 10800 | 38.76 | 8300 | 37.09 |
Loyd has been outstanding down the stretch, averaging 41.8 fantasy points in her last eight games. That is seven more than any other guard in that span. Loyd has averaged 48.6 fantasy points in three games against the Sparks this season. Fresh off signing a two-year supermax extension, Loyd looks like the safest guard on the slate. | ||||||
Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG |
Kelsey Mitchell | IND | MIN | 8100 | 26.7 | 6500 | 25.08 |
Mitchell is pretty cheap for someone with at least 25.5 fantasy points in 11 of her last 12 games, including at least 21.25 fantasy points in six of those. Minnesota is 10th in fantasy points allowed to guards this season. |
WNBA DFS Forwards | ||||||
Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG |
Robyn Parks | CHI | CON | 4500 | 7.63 | 4200 | 7.37 |
Parks is the closest thing the Sky have to a small forward, and she often is the player to enter the game when Kahleah Copper goes out. We don't know what the Sky's rotation will look like, especially now that they have clinched the eighth seed, but Parks is a good bet to play 20+ minutes, even off the bench. | ||||||
Cheyenne Parker | ATL | DAL | 9800 | 30.72 | 8000 | 31.38 |
The great thing about Parker is she doesn't need heavy minutes to put up big fantasy points. She's averaged 28.2 minutes and 36.6 fantasy points in two games against Dallas this season. | ||||||
NaLyssa Smith | IND | MIN | 9100 | 29.78 | 7100 | 27.68 |
I would be tempted to pivot to Aliyah Boston, especially on DraftKings, but Smith has been more consistent of late, averaging 31.7 fppg in her last seven games. Boston has averaged 26.5 minutes in her last two games and Indiana has little incentive to play her more than that. | ||||||
Napheesa Collier | MIN | IND | 12000 | 41.2 | 9300 | 41.53 |
Minnesota may back off Collier's minutes a little bit, especially if Atlanta is up big against Dallas. That being said, there is a huge difference between facing Dallas and Connecticut in the first round, and if the Lynx have a chance at the 5th seed, Collier could play 36+ minutes for the fifth consecutive game. She's averaged 54.2 fantasy points in her last four games, and with most of the other top-tier forwards likely getting a rest, Collier is clearly the top target. | ||||||
Diamond Miller | MIN | IND | 7700 | 22.37 | 5700 | 21.88 |
Miller has played at least 30 minutes in four of her last five games, with at least 29.75 fantasy points in three of those. As a rookie she is less likely to need a rest even if the games gets out of hand, which makes her one of the safer mid-priced options. Just keep in mind she is a guard on FanDuel. | ||||||
Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG |
Mercedes Russell | SEA | LA | 6000 | 13.01 | 5100 | 12.95 |
Seattle would probably be better served getting its young forwards some minutes, but Russell has averaged 25.2 minutes and 18.1 fantasy points her last four games. You could do far worse than that production at this price. |
DraftKings Core Plays | ||
Top Tier | Rhyne Howard | $10,200 |
Napheesa Collier | $12,000 | |
Mid Tier | Kelsey Mitchell | $8,100 |
Diamond Miller | $7,700 | |
Value Tier | Rae Burrell | $4,600 |
Robyn Parks | $4,500 | |
FanDuel Core Plays | ||
Top Tier | Jewell Loyd | $8,300 |
Napheesa Collier | $9,300 | |
Mid Tier | Dana Evans | $4,500 |
NaLyssa Smith | $7,100 | |
Value Tier | Veronica Burton | $3,900 |
Robyn Parks | $4,200 |