UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze takes place this Saturday live from The UFC Apex in Las Vegas Nevada. The card kicks off with the Prelims at 4:00PM EST on ESPN+ and the Main Card at 7:00PM on ESPN+. 

The Main Event features a rematch of former title challenger Marvin Vettori as he takes on Roman Dolidze in a fight to jump one of these fighters towards the top of the Middleweight division. 

 

 

 

Check out all the latest UFC Fight Night DFS picks and lineups, plus matchup breakdowns for the entire fight card below and as always feel free to reach out to me in Discord or on X/Twitter at @MikeIannoneDFS.

Now let's look at my UFC Fight Night cheat sheet for Saturday's event. Good luck with your UFC Fight Night DFS picks and lineups!

UFC Fight Night DFS Picks & Lineups: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 Cheat Sheet, 3/15

Main Event UFC DFS Picks

Fighter(s)

Price

Opponent

Risk

Odds

ITD

Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidze

8200/8000

-

Stackability: Low

-155/ 135

500./275.

This is a rematch from two years ago, and this should go a similar way. Vettori is coming off of a two-year layoff from injury so it's tough to be confident that he can out volume Dolidze in a decision again. Dolidze has more power so if someone is going to win by a finish it is probably him, but he has shown cardio issues in the past. If Vettori wasn't coming off of a two-year layoff from an injury I would be very confident in him here, but instead I am going to pick Dolidze to get it done.

 

 

 

Expensive UFC DFS Picks

Fighter(s)

Price

Opponent

Risk

Odds

ITD

SuYoung You

9500

AJ Cunningham

Somewhat-Safe

-750

-105 

You is going to look to wrestle, and that is all he is going to try to do. If he gets Cunningham down, he should be able to get his back and control the fight, but the concern here is You doesn't strike very well so if it stays standing this is a 50/50 fight. Cunningham's last fight was at 155lbs, and this is at 135lbs, so he is going to have a massive size advantage. 

Kevin Vallejos

9100

SeungWoo Choi

Somewhat-Safe

-600 

-225 

Vallejos is a great striker, and he should win this fight. Choi has been knocked down in four straight fights so if he lands early, he should be able to get the KO.

Josias Musasa

9400

Carlos Vera

Somewhat-Safe

-750 

-150 

Musasa has a huge power advantage, but he is going to have to deal with Vera's tricky submissions. He should be able to get an early KO. He did miss weight on his first attempt by only 0.5 lbs. which is never good, but hopefully he rehydrates well.

Da'Mon Blackshear

9200

Cody Gibson

Moderate

-485 

175. 

Blackshear has a big grappling advantage and is the more explosive fighter here. Even in a decision win he can put up a high score with his control time and takedowns.

Carli Judice

9300

Yuneisy Duben

Moderate

-360 

175

Carli is averaging over 150 significant strikes landed per fight in her short UFC career but has yet to get a win because she gets hit just as much. Duben has some serious power, but Judice has proven her ability to take damage and dish it out, and with her striking volume she can score well even in a decision.

 

 

 

Mid-Range UFC DFS Picks

Fighter(s)

Price

Opponent

Risk

Odds

ITD

Alexander Hernandez

8600

Kurt Holobaugh

Moderate

-205 

330. 

Hernandez is the more physical fighter and should be able to dominate the early parts of the fight. As long as he can take control early this should be an easy win with him when he mixes in his wrestling and his striking.

Ryan Spann

7900

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Moderate

142 

205. 

The mid-range gets greasy really quick this weekend so I'm going with a dog. Spann is moving up to Heavyweight after fighting as low as Middleweight. Spann is a first round or bust high upside play, and his submission skills are miles ahead of Waldo's. He has always gassed out after five minutes and I don't expect that to change at Heavyweight.

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

8400

Chidi Njokuani

Somewhat-Risky

-205 

150. 

If Zaleski really wants to win this fight he'll use some wrestling, but if he doesn't this is going to be a war. Both of these men are powerful strikers, and one punch could end the fight, but as long as Zaleski fights smart he should win the fight.

Josiane Nunes

8500

Priscila Cachoeira

Somewhat-Risky

-185 

275. 

Her opponent likes to march forward so we could get a lot of volume in this fight. Nunes has more power, my concern is that this becomes a low volume kickboxing match where the winner in a decision only scores 75-80pts.

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

8300

Ryan Spann

Somewhat-Risky

-170 

180. 

Waldo's best attribute is his cardio and if this gets to a second round, he should be able to dominate. The first round is going to get greasy, especially if this hits the ground.

Chidi Njokuani

7800

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Somewhat-Risky

170 

300. 

Chidi is really dangerous in the clinch or if he can control his opponent against the cage, and with Zaleski getting up there in age his durability is starting to get shaky. 

Priscila Cachoeira

7700

Josiane Nunes

Risky

154 

380. 

She has a five-inch height advantage but is actually at a reach disadvantage. Her striking is decent, but she really struggles against grapplers. She probably doesn't need to worry about takedowns this week so I'm expecting a tightly contested fight.

 

 

 

Pay-Down UFC DFS Picks

Fighter(s)

Price

Opponent

Risk

Odds

ITD

Brendson Ribeiro

7300

Diyar Nurgozhay

Somewhat-Risky

295 

500. 

Ribeiro's opponent missed weight by five pounds, but I'm still picking him to win the fight straight up. Neither of these two are very impressive but Riberios is someone who if he doesn't get KO’d, he has the skills to win the fight.

Sam Hughes

7400

Stephanie Luciano

Somewhat-Risky

195 

900. 

This fight should be a close split decision, but I don't see it having much of a ceiling. With Hughes being so cheap she doesn't need to dominate the scoring to make the optimal lineup. If she can wear on Luciano, she might be able to get some takedowns later in the fight to steal the decision.

Daniel Barez

7200

Andre Lima

Risky

310 

600. 

Barez will lean on his wrestling sometimes and that might help him here. He has decent striking but he's going to be a little behind Lima most of the time on the feet. He shot 16 takedown attempts in his UFC debut so if he comes out with that game plan he could win it.

SeungWoo Choi

7100

Kevin Vallejos

Risky

+440 

750. 

Choi has a ton of power, but he gets hit a lot. Vallejos was able to survive three rounds against Jean Silva who has been KOing everyone since his UFC debut, so he'll need to land really clean to knock him out.

Yuneisy Duben

6900

Carli Judice

Risky

285 

550

Duben has some power, and her opponent gets into firefights in all of her fights so her volume could hit 100+ significant strikes. It's tough to keep pace with Judice but if she lands the more powerful shots, she could get the decision win even if she gets out landed.

Carlos Vera

6800

Josias Musasa

Risky

525 

900. 

Vera is going to try to get a submission, but if he doesn’t, he'll likely be KO'd. His floor is 0pts, but he could get the first-round submission and hit the optimal lineup.

AJ Cunningham

6700

SuYoung You

Risky

455 

800. 

Cunningham is massive compared to You so if he keeps it standing this should be a close fight. These odds are too wide, and while he should be the rightful underdog this should be a much closer fight than the odds indicate.

Cody Gibson

7000

Da'Mon Blackshear

Risky

370 

+1,100 

Blackshear is better everywhere, but Gibson is durable and can grind on his opponents when he is at his best. I don't think this is a good matchup for him though because Blackshear should be the one dictating where the fight takes place.

 

 

 

UFC DFS Optimizer: Sample UFC Fight Night Lineup

A screenshot of a computer
AI-generated content may be incorrect.

MMA DFS Strategy: Live Dogs

  • Dolidze, Ribeiro, Spann, Cunningham

 

 

 

Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 UFC Fight Night Picks & Stats

   

Marvin Vettori

vs.

Roman Dolidze

$8,200

DFS Salary

$8,000

Record: 19-7-1 

Record

Record: 14-3-0 

2

Knockouts

8

9

Subs

3

-155 

Vegas Odds

+135 

   

Chidi Njokuani

vs.

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

$7,800

DFS Salary

$8,400

Record: 24-10-0 (1 NC) 

Record

Record: 25-8-1 

14

Knockouts

15

1

Subs

3

170 

Vegas Odds

+145 

   

Alexander Hernandez

vs.

Kurt Holobaugh

$8,600

DFS Salary

$7,600

Record: 15-8-0 

Record

Record: 22-8-0 (1 NC) 

6

Knockouts

7

2

Subs

10

-205 

Vegas Odds

170 

   

Da'Mon Blackshear

vs.

Cody Gibson

$9,200

DFS Salary

$7,000

Record: 15-7-1 

Record

Record: 22-10-0 

2

Knockouts

7

10

Subs

5

-485 

Vegas Odds

370 

   

Diyar Nurgozhay

vs.

Brendson Ribeiro

$8,900

DFS Salary

$7,300

Record: 10-0-0 

Record

Record: 16-7-0 (1 NC) 

6

Knockouts

9

2

Subs

6

-375 

Vegas Odds

295 

 

0

 

SeungWoo Choi

vs.

Kevin Vallejos

$7,100

DFS Salary

$9,100

Record: 11-7-0 

Record

Record: 14-1-0 

6

Knockouts

10

0

Subs

2

-750

Vegas Odds

-600 

   

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

vs.

Ryan Spann

$8,300

DFS Salary

$7,900

Record: 12-1-0 

Record

Record: 22-10-0 

5

Knockouts

15

1

Subs

3

-170 

Vegas Odds

142 

   

SuYoung You

vs.

AJ Cunningham

$9,500

DFS Salary

$6,700

Record: 14-3-0 (2 NC) 

Record

Record: 11-4-0 

3

Knockouts

4

5

Subs

4

-600

Vegas Odds

455 

   

Carlos Vera

vs.

Josias Musasa

$6,800

DFS Salary

$9,400

Record: 11-4-0 

Record

Record: 8-0-0 

1

Knockouts

7

5

Subs

0

525 

Vegas Odds

-750 

   

Stephanie Luciano

vs.

Sam Hughes

$8,800

DFS Salary

$7,400

Record: 6-1-1 

Record

Record: 9-6-0 

2

Knockouts

2

0

Subs

3

-238 

Vegas Odds

195 

   

Daniel Barez

vs.

Andre Lima

$7,200

DFS Salary

$9,000

Record: 17-6-0 

Record

Record: 10-0-0 

7

Knockouts

5

6

Subs

0

310 

Vegas Odds

-395 

   

Josiane Nunes

vs.

Priscila Cachoeira

$8,500

DFS Salary

$7,700

Record: 10-3-0 

Record

Record: 12-6-0 

7

Knockouts

7

0

Subs

0

-185 

Vegas Odds

154 

   

Yuneisy Duben

vs.

Carli Judice

$6,900

DFS Salary

$9,300

Record: 6-0-0 (1 NC) 

Record

Record: 3-2-0 

5

Knockouts

3

1

Subs

0

285 

Vegas Odds

-360