What a finish last week at Torrey Pines! Jon Rahm was just unreal on the back nine and put his name on everyone’s radar after that performance. Regular DFS Golf players have known about him since late last season when he burst on the scene making the cut in six of the seven events he played with a second place, third place and two other Top 25 finishes. Rahm did make my playbook this week when normally I might have faded him knowing how highly owned he would be. He attended Arizona State University which is nearby TPC Scottsdale which plays host to this week’s Waste Management Open.
The Masters is my favorite event on the PGA Tour Schedule but coming in a close second is the Waste Management Open at TPC Scottsdale. This is not a major but it’s so much more than that. This is one tournament where golf fans get a chance to let loose and party during the event. It all starts with the 16th hole, oh baby! It is a Par 3 that is fully enclosed (the only one on the PGA Tour) by grandstands which can hold up to 20,000 crazy drunk fans. The players walk out through a tunnel and are greeted by these rowdy fans. A roar erupts every time a ball lands on the green but when a ball falls short, the boo birds are out in full force. I will never forget when Tiger Woods aced this famed hole in 1997, it was one of the loudest cheers I’ve heard at any sporting event. It happened before the huge grandstand was built but the legend of this hole seems to grow with every passing year.
Ok, let’s talk about the rest of the course. It is a Par 71, and it stretches out 7,266 yards with 79 sand bunkers which are placed perfectly around the greens and on the fairways to truly punish players. There is also six holes with water, including three of the last four. The average winning score over the past 10 years has been 18 under par which may make this course seem easier but it can easily bite a player in the ass.
When you look at the players who have had a lot of success at the Waste Management, they are all good GIR (Greens in Regulation) players from off the fairway. If players can’t hit the fairway, you must look at players who are good scramblers and bunker players for success. Length off the tee is not huge advantage on this course but it doesn’t hurt either. This is a ball striker’s course, which is why Hideki Matsuyama is tops on my board this week (not to mention his course history).
This really is a fun event to watch, especially on TV when they feature the 16th hole. Some players on tour really play up to the crowd and enjoy the adventure of that hole but there are always party poopers who just want to be done with that hole and forget it exists. A lot of players avoid playing in this event just because of that hole and I’m glad they do, who needs them anyway. I really feel like the PGA Tour needs to have more fun out of the box events like these to keep the youth of America interested in playing and watching the game.
Finally, lets welcome back our friend Paige. We are both very frustrated with mixed results through the first few weeks of the 2017 season. It is time to get back on track and what better place to do it than the Waste Management Open. I can’t wait to watch this weekend …
Good Luck Everyone!
DFS PGA PLAYBOOK:
Hideki Matsuyama | $11,700 | 3 visits here: T4, T2 & Playoff Winner (Finished 14 Under All 3 Trips). The Defending Champ just fits this course perfectly. |
Jon Rahm | $9,700 | He'll be HIGHLY OWNED as the secret is out on him. ASU Grad. T5 in his only trip here in 2015. His game has it ALL! |
Brooks Koepka | $9,100 | Contrarian Play … Won here in 2015 but T41 last year and missed the cut last week at Torrey. The public will be off him. |
Gary Woodland | $9,000 | Started the 2017 season with a T6 at the Sony & a T20 Last Week. 6/7 Cuts Made Here. Cut Maker with Upside |
Harris English | $8,700 | Always a scary play BUT T14 last week at Torrey & he's 5/5 in Cuts Made Here (T15 in 2012, 9th in 2014, & 3rd in 2016). |
Ryan Moore | $8,600 | 4 Straight Top 20s at the Waste Management. Started 2017 on the right foot with a T3 at Kapalua. |
Phil Mickelson | $8,400 | T11 last year after the redesign. T21 & T14 in his first two events of 2017. Another Sun Devil with success here |
Brendan Steele | $8,200 | Started 2017 T6 - T6 - T20. He's 6/6 in Cuts Made Here w/3 Top 6 Finishes & T17 Last Year. I'll have him EVERYWHERE at this price |
Zach Johnson | $8,100 | Need Strong Tee-To-Green Players Here & He's one of the Best. Top 15s in last 2 Trips here. T6 at Waialae. |
Pat Perez | $8,000 | This Sun Devil has made 16 straight trips to the Waste Management but no Top 10s. Playing GREAT Golf right now. |
Webb Simpson | $7,900 | T8, T8, 10th, & T14 since 2011 at TPC Scottsdale. Putting Problems are Hidden here. 5 Straight Cuts with T13 at Waialae |
Tony Finau | $7,600 | T22 in his debut at TPC Scottsdale in 2015. Top 20s in 1st 3 Events of 2017. T4 Last Week at Torrey Pines. |
Russell Knox | $7,500 | T15 in his only trip here in 2015 but T20s in all 5 of his starts to start the 2016-17 season. Great value pricing |
Billy Horschel | $7,500 | 3/4 with 2 Top 25s at TPC Scottsdale. 2/2 Cuts Made This Year. A chance to show off in front of his endorsers here. |
Keegan Bradley | $7,400 | 4 Top 25s in 5 Trips to the Waste Management. 3 Top 10s already this season with a T4 last week at Torrey Pines. |
William McGirt | $7,400 | 5/5 Cuts Made with 3 Top 25s here. Under Par in all of his 1st & Last Rounds at TPC Scottsdale. Just knows the track well. |
Louis Oosthuizen | $6,900 | Debut on this track but his Ball-Striking make for a nice play here. T41 last week at Torrey. |
Brian Gay | $6,900 | 12/14 Cuts Made at TPC Scottsdale. 36th in Accuracy & 10th in SG:Putting. T13 at Waialae 3 weeks ago. |
Bryce Molder | $6,800 | Local Boy. 7 Straight Cuts Made Here (4 Top 25s with a T6 Last Year). 3rd in Scrambling & 4th in Birdie or Better % |
Robert Streb | $6,800 | 5 Straight Cuts Made with a T9 at Torrey last week. 2/2 at TPC Scottsdale with a T10 in 2015. |
Tyrone Van Aswegen | $6,500 | Young player just starting to hit his stride in 2017. T20 Last Week & Finished T17 in his debut here last year. (GPP) |
DRAFT KINGS OPTIMALS:
DRAFT KINGS CASH | PRICE |
Gary Woodland | $9,000 |
Harris English | $8,700 |
Ryan Moore | $8,600 |
Brendan Steele | $8,200 |
Zach Johnson | $8,100 |
William McGirt | $7,400 |
DRAFT KINGS GPP | PRICE |
Hideki Matsuyama | $11,700 |
Brooks Koepka | $9,100 |
Brendan Steele | $8,200 |
Keegan Bradley | $7,400 |
Louis Oosthuizen | $6,900 |
Tyrone Van Aswegen | $6,500 |
ONE & DONE PLAY:
ONE AND DONE PLAY | FINISH |
SBS - Jimmy Walker | T9 |
Sony - Charles Howell III | T8 |
Career - Bill Haas | T17 |
Farmers - Brandt Snedeker | T9 |
Waste - Brendan Steele | ? |
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