UPDATED WITH WEEKEND OPTIMALS FOR DRAFT KINGS!
I was very happy about the results of last week’s Quicken Loans National except for believing that Justin Thomas would bounce back and be on the leaderboard Sunday. I know my screens were green on Sunday and yours would have been too if you played my Cash Game Optimal on Draft Kings. I’ve had two strong weeks in a row and I’m all about riding a hot streak.
If you don’t remember, The Greenbrier was canceled last year due to terrible flooding in White Sulphur Springs, West Virginia and it claimed the lives of 23 people. The course has been reborn and is eager to show off its fresh look to the 156 players in the field. It is as new as it was when it originally opened over 100 years ago.
The Old White Course may have been updated and a few yards added, it still won’t play very difficult for these pros. It measures out 7,286 yards and has been one of the hardest tournaments to predict over the past few years but that won’t stop me from trying. This track is a Par 70 which means right away Par 4 Scoring is at a premium. When you look over the stats of top performers on this course, you’ll noticed Strokes Gained: Tee to Green (SG:TG), All Around, Proximity and as always Putting. This is a course that these top players can really score, so I’ll be putting a little more stock into recent form over course history. Also, the average Greens in Regulation (GIR) for the week is around 70 percent which means that all these players will get on the greens in two and it will come down to who is rolling the ball the best. That also means that getting the ball close to the hole on approach is vital as well which means proximity. That’s about all you need to know about this course.
I’ll freely admit that I am not going hard this week being that this course has been so hard to predict over the past few years. The scores will be low and just about anyone in the field could just catch fire and light this track on fire. I’ve thrown out some interesting optimals and we will see how they shake out on Sunday night. You can hear me chat about the playbook with Howard Bender on the Fantasy Alarm Show on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio at around 5:30pm ET on Wednesday afternoon.
Good Luck!
WEEKEND DRAFT KINGS OPTIMALS (UPDATED AT 6:30pm ET)
DFS PGA PLAYBOOK:
PLAYER | DRAFT KINGS | FANDUEL | BREAKDOWN |
Patrick Reed | $11,200 | $10,100 | T17 at the Quicken Loans made for his 7th Top 25 in last 8 Starts. 27th in SG:Putting & 25th in Birdie or Better % |
Kevin Kisner | $10,700 | $9,500 | One of the best players around the Green. Won at the Colonial & Two 2nd Finishes since Mid-March. |
Webb Simpson | $10,100 | $8,300 | 3 Top 10s at the Greenbrier but first trip since losing his Anchor Putter. 4 Top 20s in last 7 Starts on Tour |
Danny Lee | $9,500 | $8,400 | Defending Champ is ROLLING with 6 straight cuts & 3 Top 10 finishes (T22 last week at Quicken). 24th on TOUR in SG:Putting |
Russell Henley | $9,300 | $7,700 | Pivot off of Keegan Bradley with his streaky putting rounding into form sitting at 23rd in SG:Putting. |
Tony Finau | $9,100 | $8,900 | T13 at Greenbrier in 2015 as a rookie. 6th in GIR & 23rd in Birdie or Better %. Just needs to put together 4 rounds right now |
Kevin Streelman | $8,900 | $6,600 | 4 Consecutive Top 20s coming into the Greenbrier. Gained 2 Strokes in Putting on Avg Per Event over the last 2 Months. |
Sung Kang | $8,600 | $7,000 | Locked IN right now. T5 at Quicken Loans was his 3rd Top 10 this season. He's turning heads, so get on the train NOW! |
Jimmy Walker | $7,800 | $8,100 | Putting was his forte but has declined. He's got 3 Top 5s at Old White though & will be under owned after MC last week. |
Grayson Murray | $7,400 | $6,200 | 10 Straight Cuts Made. 46th in Birdie or Better % & has been IMPRESSIVE from 4-8 feet out. Nice flier play |
Chris Stroud | $7,200 | $5,300 | 3 of his 6 Made Cuts have been Top 15 finishes. He's got 2 Top 10s in 5 Trips to Old White. |
Ted Potter Jr | $7,200 | $5,400 | Champ here in 2012 has played much better lately after his ankle recovery. 4th in Earnings & 3rd in All-Around on Web.com |
Stewart Cink | $6,900 | $7,200 | 4 Top 25s in last 8 Starts. 13th in GIR, 20th in SG:Putting & 17th in Adjusted Scoring. Terrific Consistency this season |
Scott Brown | $6,800 | $6,300 | Good value play here. T12 at Colonial (T3 in Greens Hit, 1st in Proximity & 2nd SG:TG). T2 at Riviera (1st SG:Putting) |
Tyrone Van Aswegen | $6,800 | $5,300 | T26 at the Quicken Loans (2nd in SG:Approach the Green & T10 in Par Breakers. He's trying to hold his Tour Card |
Nick Taylor | $6,700 | $5,600 | Consistent GREAT value throughout the season. T29 last week but lead the field in 1-Putt % & 3rd in Birdie or Better %. |
DRAFTKINGS OPTIMALS:
DRAFT KINGS CASH | PRICE |
Webb Simpson | $10,100 |
Danny Lee | $9,500 |
Kevin Streelman | $8,900 |
Jimmy Walker | $7,800 |
Stewart Cink | $6,900 |
Nick Taylor | $6,700 |
DRAFT KINGS GPP | PRICE |
Kevin Kisner | $10,700 |
Russell Henley | $9,300 |
Tony Finau | $9,100 |
Chris Stroug | $7,200 |
Tyrone Van Aswegen | $6,800 |
Scott Brown | $6,800 |
FANDUEL OPTIMALS:
FANDUEL CASH | PRICE |
Kevin Kisner | $9,500 |
Danny Lee | $8,400 |
Webb Simpson | $8,300 |
Jimmy Walker | $8,100 |
Russell Henley | $7,700 |
Kevin Streelman | $6,600 |
Nick Taylor | $5,600 |
Ted Potter Jr | $5,400 |
FANDUEL GPP | PRICE |
Patrick Reed | $10,100 |
Kevin Kisner | $9,500 |
Danny Lee | $8,400 |
Webb Simpson | $8,300 |
Kevin Streelman | $6,600 |
Grayson Murray | $6,200 |
Ted Potter Jr. | $5,400 |
Tyrone Van Aswegen | $5,300 |
ONE AND DONE PLAY:
ONE AND DONE PLAY | FINISH |
SBS - Jimmy Walker | T9 |
Sony - Charles Howell III | T8 |
Career - Bill Haas | T17 |
Farmers - Brandt Snedeker | T9 |
Waste - Brendan Steele | T16 |
Pebble - Phil Mickelson | 65th |
Genesis - J.B Holmes | T34 |
Honda - Graeme McDowell | T14 |
Mexico - Alexander Noren | T55 |
Valspar - Ryan Moore | T18 |
Palmer - Zach Johnson | T66 |
Match - Sergio Garcia | Out of Sweet 16 |
Puerto - David Hearn | T17 |
Shell - Lee Westwood | MC |
Masters - Justin Rose | 2nd |
RBC - Kevin Kisner | T11 |
Valero - Charley Hoffman | T40 |
Wells Fargo - Adam Scott | T36 |
Players - Martin Kaymer | T69 |
Nelson - Dustin Johnson | T13 |
D & D - Pat Perez | MC |
Memorial - Emiliano Grillo | T40 |
St. Jude - Russell Henley | MC |
U.S. Open - Jason Day | MC |
Travelers - Kyle Stanley | T57 |
Quicken - Justin Thomas | MC |
Greenbrier - Webb Simpson | ??? |