The Masters 2025 DFS Picks This Week: Predictions, Values & Projections

Published: Apr 09, 2025
The greatest four days in golf are upon us. The Masters is here! Jim Nantz calls it “a tradition like no other” for a reason.
At the historic Augusta National Golf Club, we see the best of the best competing for the legendary green jacket. Let’s not waste any time, let’s dive in!
The Masters 2025: Daily Fantasy Golf Picks & Projections
Long considered the pinnacle of the PGA Tour, the first major of the year is upon us. The Masters is a legendary event, having been held on tour since 1934 only taking breaks during World War 2, when cattle and turkeys were raised on property to assist in the war effort.
It has grown exponentially since its inception, as its initial purse of $1,500 was less than was seen at other tournaments, even other local smaller events, such as the Calcutta event held at Palmetto Golf Club in Aiken, South Carolina which was just 30ish minutes away.
Probably most known for the legendary Green Jacket that's awarded to the winner of the event, this tradition started in 1949. Once you win this jacket, you keep it for a year, then it is returned to the club, where it is then worn by the recipient anytime they are on property (as they are now honorary members of the prestigious club).
The previous years winner will present the jacket to the winner, unless the winner had won the previous year in which it will be presented by the chairman of Augusta National.
Augusta National Golf Club: Course Breakdown This Week
The legendary Augusta National has changed quite a bit in recent years, especially this year as the course was impacted by Hurricane Helene. The storm caused hundreds of trees in the wooded areas of the course to be downed, though it’s been noted that outside of the lack of shadows, the course will play relatively the same. Playing at Par 72 and 7,555 yards, the course is playing the exact distances as the 2024 iteration of the event.
When taking a look at Augusta, one thing is abundantly clear. This is the single most predictive course on tour by a large margin. To help explain this, I think the clearest way to show that is how important course history is. The next closest course provides roughly half the strokes gained adjustment when accounting for course history.
Obviously, first timers can perform well here, and others can find a hot streak at the right time (Sergio’s win in 2017 is a great example of the latter), but course history is a strong indicator of success. The top 5 contenders in the field in terms of course history (minimum 8 rounds played) are: Scottie Scheffler, Will Zalatoris, Jordan Spieth, Jon Rahm, and Collin Morikawa.
When researching the previous winners of the Masters, there is a clear trend that stands out. Each of the last 7 winners of the Masters had finished T15 in one or both of the 2 prior majors, had a previous major top 5 finish, had a top 5 finish on the season prior to the Masters, had a previous T25th or better at the Masters, and were top 25 in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and Top 50 in Strokes Gained: Approach and Around-The-Green.
5 players in the field meet these criteria if this streak is to continue: Rory McIlroy, Collin Morikawa, Hideki Matsuyama, Shane Lowry, and Russell Henley.
The stats are very clear for Augusta. You have to be both long and accurate off the tee, while also being elite around the greens. Surprisingly, putting has not been any more important than a usual tour event since ShotLink data was introduced at Augusta in 2021.
That said, with the green complexes of AGNC, one must avoid 3 putts at all costs. Approach has been roughly right around tour average here as well, so this gives us a clearer group to target this week. Looking at some of these key stats, here are our top contenders this week.
- Good Drive Percentage: Aaron Rai, Collin Morikawa, Russell Henley, Nick Taylor, Akshay Bhatia, Lucas Glover, Matt McCarty, Sepp Straka, Viktor Hovland, Brian Campbell
- Strokes Gained: Around-The-Green: Hideki Matsuyama, Danny Willett, Min Woo Lee, Brian Campbell, Christiaan Bezuidenhout, Michael Kim, Sungjae Im, Russell Henley, Daniel Berger, Shane Lowry
- 3 Putt Avoidance: Zach Johnson, Billy Horschel, Jason Day, Davis Riley, Nicolai Hojgaard, Justin Rose, Justin Thomas, Will Zalatoris, Byeong Hun An, Sam Burns
The Masters 2025 Field: Golf DFS
The Masters, as expected, is the single strongest field we’ve seen in 2025. The top 52 players by OWGR are all in attendance amongst the 95 players in the field (after Vijay Singh’s WD).
Plenty of former Masters champions are in attendance as well, with Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm, Hideki Matsuyama, Dustin Johnson, Patrick Reed, Danny Willett, Bubba Watson, Jordan Spieth, Adam Scott, Charl Schwartzel, Phil Mickelson, Angel Cabrera, Zach Johnson, and Mike Weir all in the field.
Some of these players in the field are no longer ranked by the OWGR, but that doesn’t make them any less of a threat this week.
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GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: Top Tier
Rory McIlroy ($12,800 FanDuel/$12,400 DraftKings)
Is this the year Rory finally secures the ever-elusive Green Jacket to complete the career grand slam? It just might be. Rory is playing some of the best golf he’s ever played entering the Masters and has the statistical profile to succeed at Augusta.
He’s played very well here throughout his career, with 4 top 5 finishes, 3 more top 10s, and 5 more top 25 finishes accounting for top 25 finishes in 12 of his 16 appearances here. While two of his missed cuts have come since 2020, as previously mentioned, this is the single best Rory McIlrory we’ve ever gotten entering the event. I much prefer Rory to Scottie this week at the top end of the market.
Collin Morikawa ($12,100 FanDuel/$10,500 DraftKings)
While Collin is not a Masters away from completing the career grand slam, a win here would mean he just needed to secure a U.S. Open win to complete it. Collin has been lights out this year, with 5 top 17th or better starts in 2025, including 2nd place finishes at The Sentry and the API.
He’s also had a lot of success here, as he has only finished outside the top 18 once in his 5 starts at AGNC. He is also playing some of the best golf we’ve seen him play, and he lines up well with each of the previous winners here. Will Collin be able to break through?
Jon Rahm ($11,800 FanDuel/$10,400 DraftKings)
Since defecting from the PGA Tour to LIV Golf, Rahmbo has likely fallen out of the forefront of most people’s mind. That said, we can’t ignore him at Augusta. Rham has made the cut at each of his 8 Masters starts and has 5 top 5’s including his win here in 2023.
Rham has been playing great golf over on LIV as of late as well, with top 10 finishes in each of his starts in 2025. His driver has maintained itself as a strength, the putter has returned to being a plus club for him, and the only real “struggle” we’ve seen from him have been on the approach game in 2025. Rahm is my favorite golfer on LIV, and I will love to see him in lineups this week.
GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: MID-TIER
Hideki Matsuyama ($10,900 FanDuel/$9,500 DraftKings)
As a previous winner here, we obviously cannot ignore Hideki in this field. Unsurprisingly, the putter has been a weakness in 2025, but he remains one of, if not the best wedge players in the world. Additionally, his driver has come back around after some early season struggles.
Hideki hasn’t missed the cut here since 2014, and in those 10 appearances since he’s only finished outside the top 20 twice while recording 3 top 10’s including his win in 2021.
Shane Lowry ($10,400 FanDuel/$8,800 DraftKings)
As previously mentioned, Lowry fits the criteria of a winner at Augusta based on the recent historical trends of the event. Lowry struggled early in his career at Augusta, missing the cut in 3 of his first 4 starts, but has recently seen success with four top 25 finishes in his last 5 starts.
He’s been great off the tee and on approach in 2025 and has been one of the best tee-to-green players overall. Lowry may be a bit of a surprising name here compared to the elite players and previous winners discussed so far, but I cannot ignore the type of player that wins here, and Lowry fits that mold.
Will Zalatoris ($10,100 FanDuel/$8,300 DraftKings)
There is not a better player at rising to the occasion than Will Zalatoris. While his recent performances have had some glaring holes, namely with the putter, we can’t ignore that he’s always been in contention at Augusta. In his debut here in 2021, he finished 2nd, just one stroke behind Hideki and then has followed that up with consecutive top 10 finishes here.
He’s been elite on approach, strong off the tee, and this strong tee-to-green game has allowed him to be a top 20 player in avoiding 3 putts this year. He’s a strong, sneaky value at this price, especially on DraftKings.
Jordan Spieth ($10,300 FanDuel/$9,000 DraftKings)
Nothing has been clearer in 2025 than the fact that Jordan Spieth is still Jordan Spieth. He has elite shots followed by mind-boggling decisions, but there’s arguably no one more exciting to watch as a result. Spieth’s game around-the-green has been a strength as of late, and the putter has been solid.
The driver has struggled a bit, but he remains a plus player off the tee. He again, is a guy who has a course history we cannot ignore. Since his debut in 2014, he’s recorded 6 top 5 finishes, including his win in 2015. He has his two missed cuts here in the last 3 years, but his game in 2025 has shown the signs we’ve seen in front of his previous high finishes here.
GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: VALUE TIER
Robert MacIntyre ($9,600 FanDuel/$8,000 DraftKings)
MacIntyre has been sneaky good this year, with top 11 finishes in 4 of his last 5 starts between the PGA Tour and DP World Tour. This is important for us, because another interesting bit of research I found is that each of the last 13 winners of the Masters had at least 18 total strokes gained tee-to-green in their four tournaments prior to the Masters, and MacIntyre is one of 14 players in this field that meets that criteria.
He’s been having some of his best career performances off the tee and around the green as of late, and has played well at Augusta in his career, with a T12th and T23rd finish in his two starts here. He’s catching fire at the right time.
Patrick Reed ($9,100 FanDuel/$7,300 DraftKings)
Reed is yet another LIV golfer who’s been playing well of late, with T10th or better finishes in 3 of his last 4 starts and has the Augusta course history to back this take up. He’s finished outside the top 12 just one in his last 5 starts, and as a returning champion, he’s proven that he can cross the finish line here.
He almost always plates well here, with just two missed cuts in 11 starts here. He may be the bane of golf for many, given the many accusations and cheating scandals, but he’s gotta be a consideration for lineups here.
Min Woo Lee ($9,900 FanDuel/$8,500 DraftKings)
Is this a recency bias pick given we’re only slightly removed from his win at the Texas Children’s Houston Open? Maybe, but as stated, form entering the Masters is important.
Min Woo has made 10 starts between the PGA and DP World Tour in 2025, and has just one missed cut, and one finish outside the top 20. He’s an elite wedge player, who has a red-hot putter and has been solid off the tee distance wise. I love Min Woo, and I’ll love rooting for him in my lineups this week
PGA DFS Picks This Week (Cheat Sheet)
Player Pool
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